Texas A&M vs Georgia 2019 College Football Week 13 Odds & Prediction.

Texas A&M vs Georgia 2019 College Football Week 13 Odds & Prediction

Written by on November 20, 2019

The Georgia Bulldogs, currently ranked fourth in the College Football Playoff standings, welcome the Texas A&M Aggies to Athens this Saturday. Georgia ran out to a 21-0 lead over Auburn last week and held on for a 21-14 victory. Texas A&M routed South Carolina last week — the only team that has delivered a win over Georgia this year. Since Georgia took that home upset against the Gamecocks, they have reeled off four straight wins, two coming via shutout.

Texas A&M comes in at 7-3, with all of their losses coming to teams that were in the top ten at that time. Texas A&M finishes their regular season with Georgia and LSU, so if they can find a way to win one or two of these games, they could bring utter chaos to the SEC — and to the CFP standings. Will the Aggies deliver the upset? Or will the Bulldogs move one win closer to that playoff slot? Check out our NCAAF betting preview of Texas A&M vs Georgia before you commit to any wagers.

Texas A&M vs Georgia 2019 College Football Week 13 Odds & Pick

Why should you bet on the Texas A&M Aggies?

This is the sort of game where the Aggies excel. They like to run the ball, grind out long drives and win the battle for time of possession, with low-scoring point totals. That is also the sort of game that Georgia plays. Quarterback Jake Fromm can make quality throws when the team needs him to, but this isn’t a video-game offense like what LSU has.

Texas A&M is great at converting third downs, keeping opponents from converting on third down and keeping opponents from completing bombs.

In the last four games, no team has completed more than 46 percent of its passes against the Aggies. In three of those games, those opponents have not scored a touchdown through the air. For the 2019 campaign, Aggie opponents are averaging less than six yards per pass attempt. On offense, Kellen Mond will need to have a transcendent game.

He had a terrific game against Auburn, throwing a pair of touchdown passes, but he had a hard time against Clemson and in the competitive part of the Aggies’ game against Alabama.

Why should you bet on the Georgia Bulldogs?

Jake Fromm has been a solid game manager this season, which is why the Bulldogs keep winning. The only time he showed poor ball security — when he threw three interceptions against the South Carolina Gamecocks — the Bulldogs lost.

He doesn’t throw a ton of deep balls, but he can complete mid-range throws when he needs to, and the offense completes long, grinding drives as a result of his play.

The Georgia rushing defense is going to be the real problem for Texas A&M’s desire to chew up clock with long drives that go down the field. Kentucky, South Carolina and Vanderbilt cracked the 100-yard barrier on the ground against Georgia, and that’s been it. The Bulldogs have not given up more than five yards a carry against any opponent.

The only opponent that averaged more than four yards a game was Kentucky, in a game the Bulldogs won 21-0. Auburn, Missouri and Florida ran for a combined 155 yards against Georgia, averaging just over two yards an attempt combined. If you like the Bulldogs, you see them shutting down the Aggie offense and forcing a lot of three-and-outs.

Texas A&M vs Georgia College Football Week 13 Betting Trends

  • Aggies are 4-1 SU in their last 5 games against an opponent in the Southeast conference
  • Aggies are 0-5 ATS in their last 5 games played in week 13
  • The total has gone OVER in 8 of Texas A&M’s last 11 games played in November
  • Bulldogs are 17-1 SU in their last 18 games at home
  • Bulldogs are 11-5 ATS in their last 16 games played on a Saturday
  • The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Georgia’s last 8 games this season

Final Score Prediction for Texas A&M vs Georgia

Because Texas A&M and Georgia are not in the same SEC division, this is the first time that the teams have met in conference play, even though the Aggies entered the conference in 2012. They last played in the 2009 Independence Bowl, and before that they had played in 1980 — and 1954.

That means that you can’t get a lot of out head-to-head numbers. However, I just don’t see Georgia pulling away from the Aggies by enough to cover this line, given the grinding tempo that I expect out of Texas A&M vs Georgia. I see Georgia winning by a final score of 24-16, which means that the Bulldogs win but the Aggies cover.