F1 2019 German Grand Prix Odds, Preview & Picks

At the British Grand Prix, Ferrari’s Sebastian Vettel crashed out when he ran into Max Verstappen from behind, and Lewis Hamilton went on to win the race for the sixth time, giving himself another victory in a Driver’s Championship that has turned out to be absolutely no contest in 2019. Now Vettel comes home to Germany for this week’s edition of the Grand Prix, a race he last won in 2013, when he was on Red Bull’s team. He started on the pole in 2018 but crashed out from the lead, starting a trend of making mistakes that have cost him a chance to contend, race after race. Vettel now sits 100 points behind Hamilton in the Driver’s Championship table, having gone since August 26, 2018, without a win. Hamilton comes with four career wins at this race, three more than any other active driver. Charles Leclerc for Ferrari has crashed the podium in four straight races and will be looking to take the win. We have the F1 odds for the drivers in the 2019 German Grand Prix, as well as thoughts about the course and the drivers.

F1 2019 German Grand Prix Odds, Preview & Picks

 Event Info

• When: Sunday, July 28
• Where: Hockenheimring, Hockenheim, Baden-Wurttenberg, Germany
• TV: ESPN2
• Live Stream: WatchESPN

Driver Odds to Win the 2019 German Grand Prix

• Lewis Hamilton                                                                                                           4/6
• Valtteri Bottas                                                                                                             11/4
• Max Verstappen                                                                                                          6/1
• Sebastian Vettel                                                                                                          8/1
• Charles Leclerc                                                                                                          9/1
• Pierre Gasly                                                                                                                100/1
• Daniel Ricciardo                                                                                                         500/1
• Lando Norris, Nico Hulkenberg, Carlos Sainz, Sergio Perez                                    750/1
• Kimi Raikkonen, Romain Grosjean, Kevin Magnussen, Lance Stroll,
• Antonio Giovinazzi                                                                                                      1000/1
• Daniil Kvyat, Alexander Albon                                                                                    1500/1
• George Russell, Robert Kubica                                                                                  5000/1

The course at Hockenheim features 17 turns, but the only ones that require serious reduction of speed in the first two sectors are Turns 2 and 6. Turns 13, 16 and 17 in the third sector will slow drivers down a bit, but this is a speedy course, which will favor Mercedes — and could favor Red Bull, as we explore below.

Who’s the Favorite?

Red Bull appears to have moved past Ferrari in terms of speed. We saw Max Verstappen deliver a win in Austria, and both Verstappen and Pierre Gasly delivered intriguing performances at the British Grand Prix. They pushed the Ferraris hard, and some fancy maneuvering by Sebastian Vettel was necessary to keep Verstappen off the podium. The last two races have shown considerable growth for Red Bull. Given how much of the course allows drivers to move at flat-out speed, Red Bull is an interesting play, which is why Verstappen has climbed past Vettel on the odds list and while Gasly is not with the rest of the bottom-feeders where one usually finds him on the moneylines.

Who’s a Smart Pick?

Mercedes has the Constructors’ Championship locked up, with seven wins in the first ten races of the season. This will be the 200th Formula 1 start for Mercedes. Hamilton is the two-time defending champion, but he did benefit from Vettel’s meltdown a year ago. The ways in which the W10 combines traction and downforce will bring them an advantage on those parts of the course where the turns come into play. Temperatures are expected to go into the 30s (Celsius) given the heat wave across Europe. That brought disaster for Mercedes in Austria, but the air was thinner there. Even so, the heat could slow Mercedes down once again.

Who’s the Surprise Pick?

Ferrari has a chance here, but they have had a hard time maintaining consistent race paces in 2019. Some of this has to do with poor strategic decisions, and some of it has to do with a change to thinner-gauge tires this year. Until they answer some questions with a solid race, though, it’s hard to argue that you should put money down on Vettel.