2019 CFL Week 11 Odds, Preview & Picks

2019 CFL Week 11 Odds, Preview & Picks

The Hamilton Tiger-Cats picked up a huge road win last week to move to 7-2 and take a commanding lead in the Canadian Football League’s East Division. They are now 2 ½ games ahead of Montreal (4-4), four games ahead of Ottawa (3-6) and 5 ½ games ahead of Toronto (1-7) in the standings. The West Division leaders, the Winnipeg Blue Bombers, also sit at 7-2, but they are in a much tighter division, with Edmonton just a game back at 6-3, Saskatchewan 1 ½ games back at 5-3, and Calgary two games back at 5-4 (but with a two-game losing streak). British Columbia is in the West basement still at 1-8, riding a five-game skid. We have the schedule for this week’s action north of the border, along with CFL Week 11 betting thoughts for each matchup.

2019 CFL Week 11 Odds, Preview & Picks

Friday, August 23

Winnipeg at Edmonton

Winnipeg is 2-2 in their last four games away from home, but Matt Nichols continues to put up impressive passing numbers, completing 71 percent of his passes and throwing for 15 touchdowns against just five picks — but he is expected to miss this game with an arm injury. Lucky Whitehead and Andrew Harris have been his two favorite targets, combining for five scores, and Harris has also been terrific in the running game, picking up 819 yards on the season. On defense, Winnipeg limits teams to 19 points per game. Edmonton is 4-0 at home this season and is 4-2 in their last six overall. Trevor Harris has lit up opposing secondaries for 3,051 passing yards, with 13 touchdown passes against a pair of interceptions. His favorite targets are Greg Ellingson and Ricky Collins, who have combined for seven touchdown catches. The Eskimos’ defense has also been stout, permitting just 18.2 points per game. Given that this is in Edmonton, I’m leaning toward the Eskimos — but this is a big line. If Winnipeg had their starting quarterback, I would go with them, but instead I like Edmonton to cover. Final Score Prediction: Winnipeg 27, Edmonton 13

Saturday, August 24

Ottawa at Saskatchewan

Ottawa has now dropped six of seven, and quarterback Dominique Davis is not helping, as he has a dozen picks and just eight touchdown passes in his last 304 attempts, with a 5:11 TD:INT ratio for the season. Tailback John Crockett leads the team with 394 yards on 70 attempts. The defense has also struggled, allowing over 27 points and 426 yards per game. Saskatchewan has won four in a row and comes in off a bye week. Over their last four home games, they have won three. Cody Fajardo has been serviceable at quarterback, with a 74.2 percent completion rate and a  7:4 TD:INT ratio. The Roughriders’ defense has been adequate as well, permitting 22.9 points per game. I like Saskatchewan to win — but Ottawa has a way of covering on the road. Final Score Prediction: Saskatchewan 24, Ottawa 17

Hamilton at British Columbia

Hamilton has won four of five — but just two of their last four on the road. Jeremiah Masoli has been decent at quarterback, with a 9:7 TD:INT ratio, and Brandon Banks and Bralon Addison have combined to catch eight of those touchdowns. Sean Thomas Erlington has been a strong runner, averaging over seven yards a carry on 33 attempts this year. The Tiger-Cats’ defense has been solid, permitting just 20 points per game. BC comes in with an 0-3 home record on the season, thanks in part to nine interceptions so far from Mike Reilly. The defense has been the real problem, permitting over 34 points per game. As poorly as BC has played this year, they have covered in four of their last five home games against Hamilton. However, BC has not covered in any of their three home losses this season. Final Score Prediction: Hamilton 31, BC 24

Sunday, August 25

Montreal (-6) at Toronto (54.5) (12:00pm ET)

Montreal has a 2-2 record in their last four games away from home, Quarterback Vernon Adams has struggled with ball security over his last three games, with a 3:3 TD:INT ratio. William Stanback now leads the team in rushing with 592 yards and four scores. On defense, Montreal has given up 26.5 points per game. The Alouettes have covered in 10 of their last 12 road games. Toronto has been dreadful so far this season, as they lost seven of their first eight games to start the year. McLeod Bethel-Thompson has picked things up lately, though, with at least two scoring passes in four of the last five games. On defense, the Argonauts have been porous, permitting 35.2 points per game. Toronto has lost their last three games by a combined 40 points. Final Score Prediction: Montreal 34, Toronto 27