2019 Safeway Open Odds & Betting Preview

2019 Safeway Open Odds & Betting Preview

Written by on September 25, 2019

We move another week into the 2019-20 PGA Tour campaign at the Silverado Resort and Spa’s North Course, in Napa, California, the site of this week’s 2019 Safeway Open. Now that more time has passed since the PGA Championship and the end of the 2018-19 season, we are seeing more of the top tier of players showing up for tournaments. Patrick Cantlay, Adam Scott and Hideki Matsuyama will take part this week, along with Phil Mickelson, Collin Morikawa and Francesco Molinari. Former Dallas Cowboys quarterback Tony Romo will also join the field as part of a sponsor’s exemption (at 10,000/1 odds for the win). We have the golf odds for the contending players (odds of 100/1 or less), as well as thoughts about the course suggestions for your wager cards.

2019 Safeway Open Odds & Betting Preview

Event Info

  • When: September 26th to 29th
  • Where: Silverado Resort and Spa, Napa Valley, California
  • TV: Golf Channel
  • Live Stream: Golf.tv

Contender Odds to Win the 2019 Safeway Open

  • Justin Thomas                                                                                                            7/1
  • Patrick Cantlay                                                                                                           10/1
  • Hideki Matsuyama, Adam Scott                                                                                 16/1
  • Bryson DeChambeau                                                                                                 20/1
  • Collin Morikawa, Sungjae Im                                                                                      25/1
  • Byeong Hun An, Francesco Molinari, Brandt Snedeker                                            30/1
  • Marc Leishman, Chez Reavie, Ryan Moore, Kevin Na                                             40/1
  • Emiliano Grillo, Scott Piercy, Lucas Glover, Dylan Frittelli, Kevin Streelman, Abraham Ancer                                                                              50/1
  • Phil Mickelson, Bud Cauley, Corey Conners, Sebastian Munoz, Charles Howell III                                                                                                       60/1
  • Harold Varner III, Daniel Berger, Adam Hadwin, Kevin Tway, Brendan Steele, Harris English, Bronson Burgoon                                                                               80/1
  • Jim Furyk, C.T. Pan, Si Woo Kim, Charley Hoffman, Kyle Stanley, Nate Lashley, Lanto Griffin, Carlos Ortiz, Troy Merritt, Vaughn Taylor, Martin Laird                                                                                       100/1

The Course

The course this week is almost 7,200 yards in length and will play as a par 72. The greens will have poa annua as a surface. This was one of the easier courses in 2018, coming in 29th of 49 in terms of scoring relative to par. The course ranked tenth in the most birdies that a course permitted in the 2018-19 season. Almost half of the birdies at this tournament a year ago came on par 5s, so you will want to consider golfers with a solid par 5 scoring average as you place your wagers. Strokes Gained: Approach the Green was a helpful stat in 2018; four of the top five golfers in that stat in the Safeway Open field last year also cracked the top five for the weekend.

Chez Reavie

Reavie is in the top 20 in Strokes Gained: Approach the Green over his last three tournaments, as well as second in fairways hit. His weakness here is slightly worse par-5 scoring than Justin Thomas and other contenders. However, he is fourth in overall proximity to the hole in his last three tournaments. Reavie enjoys putting on the poa grass; in the field, he is second in putting on this surface.

Bronson Burgoon

Burgoon has tied for 19th and tied for sixth so far in the fall portion of the season. In his last three tournaments, he is 23rd in fairways hit over the last three tournaments and 26th in Strokes Gained: Approach the Green. He had a solid Sunday at the Sanderson Farm Championship, posting a -7 on the tournament’s last day. Last year at the Safeway Open, Burgoon cracked the top 20.

Byeong Hun An

Hun An is one of the top players on the PGA Tour who still has not won a tournament. He finished as runner-up twice in 2018 and came in third at a couple of tournaments in the last two months that he could easily have won, including the Sanderson Farms Championship where he led for much of the way but saw the lead slip away on Sunday. His biggest improvement lately has come on the greens, but last week he gained 4.3 strokes through putting.

Bud Cauley

Cauley came in 14th at Greenbrier a few weeks back, thanks to a terrific putting week, but overall his game seems to have a strong foundation. There are better strikers, but his game does not have a serious flaw, which helps when it is time to gain strokes. He came in seventh at the Safeway Open two years ago, and he could pull off a win — and bring in some value for bettors.