Denver at Kansas City NFL Odds & Betting Analysis for MNF Week 8

Denver at Kansas City NFL Odds & Betting Analysis for MNF Week 8

Written by on October 27, 2017

The Denver Broncos visit the Kansas City Chiefs in a key AFC West matchup on Monday Night Football. Both of these teams have lost two games in a row, as the Broncos, who looked dominant early on, especially in their thrashing of the Dallas Cowboys in Week Two, took a 21-0 beating at the Los Angeles Chargers last week. Kansas City was ahead for the whole game until a couple of untimed downs at the end of the fourth quarter, when the Oakland Raiders scored a literal last-minute touchdown and won that game, 31-30, back last Thursday. If the Broncos can continue the Chiefs’ woes, then the AFC West will really fall into chaos, something that seemed unthinkable just a couple of weeks ago, when the Chiefs were the NFL’s last unbeaten team. Take a look at our NFL odds preview for this classic AFC West matchup.

Denver at Kansas City NFL Odds & Betting Analysis for MNF Week 8

When: Monday, October 30, 2017, 8:25pm ET Where: Arrowhead Stadium, Kansas City TV: ESPN Radio: 103.5 FM (Denver) / 100.5 FM (Kansas City) Live Stream: NFL Live NFL Odds: Kansas City -7, O/U 43

Weather Forecast

  • Partly Cloudy: 13°C/55°F
  • Humidity: 48%
  • Precipitation: 1%
  • Cloud Cover: 32%
  • Wind: 6 mph NW
  • Stadium Type: Open

Why should you bet on the Broncos?

Trevor Siemian was never going to be John Elway, but it doesn’t help that he has injuries in his offensive line, and that star wideout Emmanuel Sanders missed last week with an ankle sprain and remains questionable for the Kansas City game. Siemian went 25 for 35 for 207 yards last week against the Chargers, but he had no touchdown passes and threw an interception to boot. Tackle Menelik Watson is missing, and you can see it in the reduced numbers from the Broncos’ rushing offense, as they carried the ball 19 times but only gained 69 total yards. The Chargers also took a punt return back to the house in the first quarter for an early touchdown, so the Broncos clearly have some issues on special teams. On the defensive side of the ball, the Broncos still look pretty solid. They limited the Chargers to 242 yards of total offense, including just 162 yards through the air. Alex Smith has shown that he can lead the Chiefs to plenty of points, but the Broncos bring a stout pass rush and can also cover receivers down the field. If you like the Broncos, you see Siemian doing a better job of working the ball down the field and the O-line doing a better job of blocking.

Why should you put your money on the Chiefs?

The Kansas City offense looked like it took Week Six off, as the Chiefs only put up 13 points against Pittsburgh. Then the offense came back but the defense took Week Seven off as the Raiders were able to put up 31 points in that win. Against Oakland, Alex Smith looked sharp, going 25 for 36 for 342 yards and three scores. That gave him 15 touchdowns for the year — without a single interception. Kareem Hunt picked up 87 yards on the ground, giving him 1,002 yards on the year — and he still has ten games to go. This is a team that gains 392.4 yards per game, third in the NFL. So production should not be a problem. The Denver defense is a solid unit, but if the Chiefs can limit the Broncos’ offense to three-and-outs, then they should be able to wear down that Bronco D. Are the Chiefs a safe bet in Week 8? On defense, the Chiefs looked very porous against Oakland, permitting 417 yards through the air. Luckily, Siemian does not have the downfield arm that Carr has, and backup Paxton Lynch remains injured (and Brock Osweiler has shown no signs of being any better than Siemian). So Denver looks stuck with what they have right now. If the Chiefs can get some sacks and turnovers, that defensive confidence that rocked the Patriots in Week One should return.

Latest NFL Week 8 Odds Trends

  • Broncos are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games on the road
  • Broncos are 1-4 SU in their last 5 games on the road
  • The total went UNDER in 4 of Denver’s last 6 games on the road
  • Chiefs are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 games
  • Chiefs are 15-5 SU in their last 20 games
  • The total went OVER in 5 of Kansas City’s last 7 games

Expert Pick and Final Score Prediction

I think that these Chiefs have a very high ceiling, and it is difficult to play an entire NFL regular season at perfection. I see Kansas City bouncing back in the NFL odds and winning a big home game against a hated divisional rival, and I predict a final score of Kansas City 27, Denver 16.