Week 6 of the 2015 NFL season will be wrapping up with a huge NFC East clash between the New York Giants and the Philadelphia Eagles. Both teams have been far from predictable in the NFL odds through the first five weeks, but as a common denominator, they have been recently giving some surging performances. After losing their first two games, the Giants have won their last three on the trot, earning them a 3-2 record on the season, which is the best mark in the NFC East standings so far. The Eagles (2-3), on the other hand, have bounced back from their two losses in Week 1 and 2 by winning two of their last three games, including the 39-17 win over the Saints in Week 5, which was—by far—their best performance of the season.
With both teams taking center stage in Monday Night NFL betting odds, where are bettors most likely to find value on the SU, ATS and total betting lines? Read on as we offer a guide on the brief game analysis detailed below.
Venue: Lincoln Financial Field, Philadelphia, Pennsylvania
Date: Monday, October 19, 2015
Time: 8:30 PM ET
TV: ESPN/WATCH ESPN
NFL Lines: NY Giants (+4) at Philadelphia (-4), OVER/UNDER 51
— New York Giants (@Giants) October 19, 2015
Giants at Eagles NFL Preview
Entering Week 6 as NFL’s fourth-leading passer, Eli Manning (1,417 yards, 10 TDs) has certainly been a crucial piece for the Giants this season. The Giants will be hoping that Manning will continue his solid season in this Monday Night matchup, as New York seeks to avenge the fact that Philadelphia won both divisional games during the regular season last year.
Considering the Giants are averaging just 91.2 rushing yards per game (good for just 26th in the NFL), Manning (who became the winningest quarterback in team history with 102 victories following last Sunday’s 30-27 thrilling win over the 49ers) will need to use his top aerial targets in Odell Beckham Jr. and pass-catching running back Shane Vereen to exploit Philadelphia’s weak passing defense that is allowing 279.6 passing yards per game, ranked 26th in the NFL.
Playing on the road means that starting strong will be extremely vital, as most of such games tend to favor the home team in the latter stages, mainly due to the home crowd support. Not to mention, the Giants have worst scoring defense in the league during the final quarter, currently give up an average of 12.8 fourth-quarter points per game. To avoid any last quarter hiccups, as we’ve seen from them this season, getting as many early points will be very essential.
Conversely, QB Sam Bradford has not been the strongest of passers so far in the league. However, he was able to overcome two red-zone interceptions last week to finish the game with two touchdowns, as the runners also chipped in handily along with the defense.
Philly’s two main running backs in Ryan Mathews and DeMarco Murray both offered solid support last week with each of them scoring a rushing TD. Murray finished the game with 83 yards on 20 carries, while Mathews had 73 yards on eight carries. Many Philadelphia fans are hoping that both backs will be lighting it up again this week. Unfortunately, their production cannot be guaranteed, considering the Giants have one of the meanest rushing defenses in the league, allowing just 80.6 YPG this season, which ranks second-best in the NFL.
In essence, this means that Bradford, who has racked up 1281 passing yards and 8 TDs, must improve on his relationship with his receivers (Josh Huff, Zach Ertz and Brent Celek). This, he can do, by passing the ball more often in attempt to get maximum offensive production against New York’s porous passing defense, currently ranked dead-last in the NFL with 304.2 passing yards allowed per game.
Defensively, Philadelphia looks to have the upper hand, having collected the sixth-most interceptions in the league this season (six), and boasting of a solid cornerback unit that will cause all kinds of problems to New York’s receivers. The Giants, outside their solid run defense, are very questionable in pretty much all positions in the D-line. Still, they’ve shown grit in their last three games, so it would be ill-advised to write them off.
Key Betting Trends
• Philadelphia is 3-6 SU in its last 9 games.
• New York is 6-3 SU in its last 9 games
• Philadelphia is 3-6 ATS in its last 9 games
• New York is 6-3 ATS in its last 9 games
• Philadelphia is 11-4 SU in its last 15 games at home
• New York is 7-15 SU in its last 22 games on the road
• New York is 5-5 SU and 6-4 ATS in its last 10 trips to Philadelphia
• Philadelphia is 4-2 SU in their last 6 home games against NY Giants
• New York is 3-7 SU and ATS in its last 10 overall against Philadelphia
• Philadelphia is 11-3 SU in their last 14 overall games against NY Giants
• The UNDER is 4-1 in Philadelphia’s 5 games this season
• The OVER is 3-2 in NY Giants’ 5 games this season
• The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Philadelphia’s last 5 home games against NY Giants
• The total has gone OVER in 7 of Philadelphia’s last 10 home games
Philadelphia is a run-first team, so going against NYG’s solid run defense is likely to cramp the Eagles’ offense. On the flip side, Manning and his receivers will still have room to move the ball, but it won’t be that easy, considering the Eagles can be very disruptive on the air, especially in the cornerbacks vs. receivers’ matchup. That also means that pass-first Giants won’t be as volatile. So although both sides are well-endowed with offensive talents, the mismatches are likely to lead to an UNDER 51 total.
As for the SU and ATS lines, the Giants are certainly capable of covering the spread, if not winning the game altogether, going by the fact that Manning has been playing better than Bradford. Even so, we feel that Eagles are likely to build on last week’s solid performance, which should give them some slight edge here. And for that reason, Philadelphia should offer solid juice at -4 on both the SU and ATS lines.