2018 Hollywood Casino 400 Odds & Betting Preview

The Hollywood Casino 400 is set for this Sunday and will determine which drivers move on to the Round of 8 in the Monster Energy NASCAR Cup Series. Alex Bowman, Brad Keselowski, Kyle Larson and Ryan Blaney are the four drivers under the cutline who could end up being eliminated from the postseason. Keselowski and Blaney are 18 and 22 points out of the playoffs right now, respectively, while Larson is 36 out, and Bowman is 68 out. Larson and Bowman would need an outright win to advance. Martin Truex Jr is only 18 points above Keselowski after coming in 23rd last week at Talladega. So as the NASCAR circuit moves to Kansas, there is still plenty of excitement as the playoff races tightens, and you can follow the action on NBC starting at 2pm Eastern time on Sunday. Take a look at our NASCAR betting thoughts as you put your wager card together.

2018 Hollywood Casino 400 Odds & Betting Preview

Four seasons on the brink at @kansasspeedway.#GoingFor2 | #TeamLarson | #Blaney | #Bowman88 pic.twitter.com/JS7iinS71F

— NASCAR (@NASCAR) October 19, 2018

Driver Odds to win the 2018 Hollywood Casino 400 

• Kevin Harvick                                                                                                            +250
• Kyle Larson                                                                                                               +350
• Martin Truex Jr                                                                                                          +450
• Kyle Busch                                                                                                                +650
• Brad Keselowski                                                                                                       +700
• Ryan Blaney                                                                                                              +1000
• Joey Logano                                                                                                              +1400
• Chase Elliott                                                                                                              +1600
• Clint Bowyer                                                                                                             +2000
• Denny Hamlin, Kurt Busch                                                                                      +2200
• Erik Jones                                                                                                                  +2500
• Aric Almirola                                                                                                             +2800
• Jimmie Johnson                                                                                                       +4000
• Daniel Suarez                                                                                                            +6600
• Alex Bowman                                                                                                                        +7500
• Paul Menard, Austin Dillon, Ryan Newman, Jamie McMurray                            +10000
• Ricky Stenhouse Jr                                                                                                  +20000
• William Byron                                                                                                                        +25000
• Chris Buescher, Bubba Wallace, AJ Allmendinger, Trevor Bayne, Regan Smith                                                                                                              +50000
• Ty Dillon, Ross Chastain, JJ Yeley, Matt DiBenedetto, Michael McDowell, David Ragan, BJ McLeod, Timmy Hill, Corey LaJoie, Jeffrey Earnhardt                                                                             +100000

Kevin Harvick doesn’t offer a whole lot of value in this race, but he won the other race at Kansas Speedway this year and has seven top-3 finishes here in his last ten races. He has also won this particular event twice before. Kansas Speedway is a historically good track for him as he has five straight top-10 finishes here. All of this explains why Harvick’s moneyline is so low — but sometimes a heavy favorite is worth adding, and this is one of those times. Joey Logano has seven top-10 finishes in his last nine starts and has also won this particular race twice in the past. In the NASCAR race at Kansas Speedway earlier this year, he came in third, and he has seven top-5 finishes here in his last 10 races on this track. The odds here actually seem a little high given his success here, and I like to jump on moneylines that offer more than they should. Clint Bowyer has taken off in the Monster Energy NASCAR Cup Series playoffs, finishing in the top three in two of his last three faces. His moneyline is as high as it is because he only has one top-ten finish in his last ten races at Kansas Speedway and has gone six years since a top-10 finish in this particular event. Ryan Blaney won three weeks ago in North Carolina but has sputtered since and has only made the top 10 twice in his last seven races. He is still alive in the playoffs, and he has four top-10 finishes in his last six races at Kansas Speedway. He doesn’t have a win here, but he came in third in 2017 and seventh in 2015. If you take that course confidence into account, he’s a good value. Kyle Busch has definitely cooled off dramatically since that three-race winning streak he built. That’s why he’s slid down the odds table — and since he has only gone over three weeks without a win once since April, when he started this run with a victory at the O’Reilly Auto Parts 500. He has three top-five finishes in his last four tries at this race, and now that he offers some more value, it’s not a bad idea to add him to your card.