Top College Football Week 7 Over/Under Picks

We’ve had enough time to process the results from the weekend so let’s match forward by taking a look at some of the top NCAA Football betting picks for the coming week. Here are a couple of games and predictions to consider in your Week 7 college football betting picks on the OVER/UNDER.

Top College Football Week 7 Over/Under Picks

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Duke at Louisville, Friday, October 14, 7:00 PM ET

NCAA Football Pick: OVER 71

The Cardinals have been a sure OVER betting team this season (perfectly going 5-0 OVER in their 5 games), thanks to the free-scoring nature of their Lamar Jackson-led offense that has scored 59-plus points in all but one of their five outings. That lone exception came against Clemson two weeks ago, but the 42-36 victory by the Tigers still ensured that OVER bettors were paid as the total went way above the set 66-point mark. Duke’s defense (21.50 PPG allowed) has the potential to slow the Cardinals a bit, but the truth is that the Cardinals have too many weapons to use and the Blue Devils tend to allow too many points on the road—no wonder the total has gone OVER in 5 of Duke’s last 6 road games. Add to the fact that Louisville has been a perennial high-scoring team at home (the OVER is 4-1 in the Cardinal’s last five games dating back to last season), we feel that the betting value in this game’s total will be on the OVER side.

Kansas State at Oklahoma, Saturday, October 15, 12:00 PM ET

NCAA Football Pick: OVER 63

This one shouldn’t come as a big surprise. Oklahoma’s defense has been hellishly leaky all season, giving up a whopping 36.2 points per game (ranked poorly at #106 out of 128 FBS teams). The porousness of this defense was clearly evident last week, as the Sooners surrendered 40 points and 425 yards of offense to Texas in Red River Rivalry. Fortunately for Oklahoma, it also has one of the best offenses in the country. Against the Longhorns, for instance, QB Baker Mayfield went 22-of- 31 for 390 passing yards and 3 TDs, RB Samaje Perine tallied 214 rushing yards and 2 TDs, and WR Dede Westbrook set a school with 232 receiving yards and 3 TDs. So, if there’s one thing you can be sure of this Saturday, it’s that OU and Kansas State (34.2 PPG scoring) will be exchanging plenty of points, especially after Texas Tech exposed the Wildcats’ defensive vulnerabilities last week by totaling 592 yards of offense– including a whopping 504 passing yards and 5 total TDs to TTU QB Patrick Mahomes. Oh, and for those concerned with trends, here are some to drive the point home: the total has gone OVER in 7 of the last 8 overall meetings between Kansas State and OU; the total has gone OVER in 4 of Oklahoma’s last 5 games; and the total has gone OVER in 4 of Kansas State’s last 6 road games at Oklahoma.

Vanderbilt at Georgia Saturday, October 15, 12:00 PM ET

NCAA Football Pick: UNDER 42

Any time you see Vandy on the field, there is always a good chance that the game will be ending with a low-scoring UNDER total. This is basically down to two reasons. First; the Commodores just can’t seem to find rhythm in offense. This season, for instance, they are averaging just 19.0 PPG scoring (#121 out of 128 FBS teams), and have scored a total of 19 points in their last two games against Florida and Kentucky. Second; Vandy always has a good defense, as is depicted by the 23.0 PPG they are allowing this season, which is good for 40th-best scoring defense in the nation. On the opposite side, the Bulldogs can get points on the board, though their 26.7 PPG scoring this season is telling enough of their struggles to score points in a big way. When these two teams meet on Saturday, chances are that Vandy’s defense will be hounding Nick Chubb and Bulldogs all day, making it difficult for Georgia to score efficiently. Meanwhile, the Bulldogs’ serviceable defense (28.0 PPG allowed) shouldn’t have that many problems against the always- struggling Vandy offense. Throw in the fact that both Georgia and Vanderbilt like to run the ball than pass it, we should be due for lengthy time-consuming running plays from both sides, leading to few scoring opportunities. Not to forget, the UNDER has been a dominant trend for both teams– he total has gone UNDER in 6 of the last 9 games between Vanderbilt and Georgia; the total has gone UNDER in 15 of Vanderbilt’s last 20 games; the total has gone UNDER in 8 of Vanderbilt’s last 11 road games; and the total has gone UNDER in 6 of Georgia’s last 7 home games.

Missouri at Florida, Saturday, October 15, 4:00 PM ET

NCAA Football Pick: UNDER 48

Historically-speaking, the Gators and the Tigers have treated us to some pretty low-scoring encounters over the recent years, so it comes as no surprise that the Oddsmakers expect another tame-scoring effort from these two SEC rival on Saturday. And judging from a statistical perspective, it definitely looks like the Oddsmakers may be right, as the Gators are allowing just 11.60 PPG and has managed just 338 yards and 20 points in their last six quarters without their starting QB Luke Del Rio, who’s been out for two games. Mizzou, on the other hand, is giving up 23.40 PPG and is coming off a poor offensive showcase against LSU, where QB Drew Lock–who went into the LSU game averaging 377 yards passing– finished 17 of 37 for 167 yards and one interception with no touchdowns. Del Rio, who has thrown for 762 yards, with six touchdowns and two interceptions, will be back for Florida, and that should bode well for his the Gators in offense. Still, those numbers by Del Rio came in three games against struggling non-conference opponent (UMass, Kentucky and North Texas), so we doubt if he’ll be lighting it up against the decent Mizzou defense. Conversely, Lock figures to play better than he did against LSU, but his numbers should still be limited as he faces Florida’s third-best scoring defense in the nation, led by the we-feed- on quarterbacks-anytime pass rush duo of Jarrad Davis and Alex Anzalone. Add up all that, you get a game that is likely to go UNDER the set 48 total. FYI, the total has gone UNDER in 7 of Florida’s last 9 home games, and the total has also gone UNDER in 5 of Missouri’s last 5 road games.