SNF Odds in NFL Week 15: The Seattle Seahawks (8-5) welcome the Green Bay Packers (9-4) in this week’s installment of Sunday Night Football. The Seahawks have a four-game winning streak, but they are still home underdogs against the arriving Packers.
The last time these teams met, back in 2021, the Packers shut out the visiting Seahawks, 17-0. Why are the Packers favored?
The Seahawks, with Geno Smith orchestrating the offense, remain underestimated while Tyer Lockett, Jaxon Smith-Njigba, and D.K. Metcalf excel as receivers.
The potential absence of All-Pro cornerback Jaire Alexander (torn PCL in his right knee) for Green Bay makes Seattle’s offensive chances even better.
In Alexander’s three-game absence, the CB2 position struggled as Eric Stokes failed to secure it, leading to a shared role between him and Carrington Valentine.
Neither one has really nailed down the role, making that side of the defense vulnerable.
Stokes has permitted a 64.4% completion rate on targets, which is pretty good, but he has also allowed a 110.1 pass rating when targeted, which is not good. He’s already permitted three receiving touchdowns.
Valentine’s numbers (81.6% completion rate on targets, 118.7 pass rating when targeted) have been worse on the season, but he did have better numbers than Stokes in the Packers’ last action, on last Thursday against Detroit.
Should the Packers really be sports betting favorites on the road? We will break all of this down in our showdown preview.
SNF Odds: Green Bay Packers at Seattle Seahawks – Week 15 NFL 2024/25 Season
NFL Lines: Green Bay -2.5 / O/U 45.5 // Green Bay -143 / Seattle +117
When: Sunday, December 15, 2024, 8:20 pm ET
Where: Lumen Field, Seattle
TV: NBC
Radio: Westwood One
Live Stream: Hulu
SNF Odds Final Score and Prediction
The home team has a ten-game winning streak in the Seahawks-Packers rivalry. Both of these teams play in relatively cold-weather cities this time of year, although we don’t expect to see snow swirling at Lumen Field. The Seahawks have a six-game winning streak against the spread when entering as underdogs after an NFC West game. The Packers have failed to cover in three of their last four games as favorites, coming after a loss on the road.
However, the Seahawks have lost four of five at home despite that four-game winning streak, and Green Bay is 12-1 ATS in their last 13 games against NFC West teams.
Both of these teams are trending upward, even with the Packers’ loss in Detroit last week. The Packers need to get off to a faster start offensively if they want to hang with the Seahawks. It’s hard not to see this line as imbalanced, as the Seahawks have played well on both sides of the ball. Their running game with Charbonnet may be a bit underrated, and teams have been able to run on the Packers this season.
I predict a final score of Seattle 27, Green Bay 23.
^Why should you bet on the Packers?
The Packers lost to the Lions 34-31, dropping their record to 0-2. Despite a late tie, the Lions clinched the victory with a field goal. The Packers say they would love to see Detroit a third time in the playoffs, but it’s hard to say that the Packers have the defense to make a third meeting go any differently than the first two. Fourth-down defense was particularly vexing, as the Lions went for it five times and converted on four of them.
One player who should get more exposure against Seattle is wide receiver Jayden Reed. On the season, he has been one of their top receivers, and he posted a 113-yard game in Week 9 against Chicago. However, Jordan Love only targeted him once against the Lions, and he only took the field for half of the offensive snaps. Since that big game against the Bears, he only has 73 receiving yards combined over the last four games.
The Packers head west with plenty of motivation – and should also have some confidence. Their result against the Lions at Ford Field was much closer than the home loss they took earlier this season against Detroit. Both teams scored four touchdowns in five red-zone trips, and Josh Jacobs was able to score three rushing touchdowns on a stout Detroit defense.
Jordan Love went 12 of 20 for 206 yards and a score. On the season, he has 2,724 passing yards and a 21:11 TD:INT ratio in 11 games this season. The Packers’ offense is seventh in scoring (26.8 points per game) and ninth in scoring defense (21.1 points permitted per game). They also had a pair of impressive wins before losing in Detroit as they routed San Francisco, 38-10, and soundly beat Miami, 30-17, with both wins coming at home.
^Why should you put your money on the Seahawks?
Seattle went to Arizona and delivered a 30-18 win last week to bring that winning streak to four games. They have a two-game lead on the Cardinals with four games to play, and they hold the tiebreaker by virtue of sweeping them in the regular season. They have a 64% chance to make the postseason and a 62% chance to win the division, according to ESPN Analytics. A division crown could end up with a home date with the Packers or Vikings in the wild-card round.
Without Kenneth Walker III, the Seahawks struggled with rushing, averaging 4.1 yards per attempt and 90.5 yards per game. Against Arizona, Zach Charbonnet thrived, rushing for 134 yards and two touchdowns, contributing to a total of 176 yards at 5.7 yards per attempt. Another problem has been ball security, as Geno Smith has thrown 13 interceptions on the year. None of those picks, though, have come in the last two games, so we may be seeing one of Smith’s hot streaks.
On the season, Smith has thrown for 3,474 yards and 14 touchdowns to go along with those 13 picks. The running game has produced 16 touchdowns between Walker and Charbonnet; Walker remains questionable with a calf injury. On offense, the Seahawks rank 15th in scoring (23.2 points per game) while allowing 21.8, which ranks 11th.
^Where's your team in the standings? pic.twitter.com/y2OXuMpEJb
— NFL (@NFL) December 10, 2024
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SNF Odds: Green Bay Packers at Seattle Seahawks, Week 15
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