Top College Football Week 10 Underdog Picks

Top College Football Week 10 Underdog Picks

Written by on November 1, 2016

Alabama, Michigan, Clemson and Washington are still undefeated and are rank as the best teams in the nation as we enter Week 10. But really, who cares? These top teams are often favored so highly in college football betting sportsbooks, so unless they are involved in big games where they are placed as slight favs or outright underdogs, you will rarely find value by betting on them. If you are all about money, and making lots of it, then you are better off shopping for the best underdogs. And that brings us to the matter at hand; join us as we take you through our top NCAA Football Week 10 underdog picks.

Top College Football Week 10 Underdog Picks

Bowling Green at Northern Illinois (-18), Tuesday, November 1

The Falcons will open the Week 10 NCAA Football slate with a road game against the heavily favored Northern Illinois. The Falcons have been a poor defensive team–allowing 45.1 PPG—and that is the big reason they’ve only managed to 1-7 on the season. Northern Illinois (2-7) hasn’t fared any better in terms of scoring wins, but the Huskies are coming off a morale-boosting 44-7 victory over Buffalo, no wonder they are spotting many points in this home fixture. Granted, QB Anthony Maddie and his NIU offense is far from formidable, scoring just 21.4 PPG, so we doubt if the Huskies will be lighting it up that much against Bowling Green. But even if they do take advantage of BG’s porous scoring defense, QB James Morgan, who’s passed for more than 335 yards in each of his last two games and totaled 8 TDs in that span, should be more than capable of using his potent targets to keep things close enough NIU’s permeable defense that is allowing 33.50 PPG. And with that, the Falcons, who are 6-2 ATS in their last 8 road games should be able to cover the spread against the overrated Huskies, who are Northern Illinois is 1-6 ATS in their last 7 home games. Pick: Bowling Green (+17)

Nebraska at Ohio State (-17.5), Saturday, November 5

Kindly take note that this pick is based more on how the Bucks have been playing recently rather than their true potential. After going 4-0 SU and ATS through their first four games of the season, the Buckeyes have failed to cover the spread in their last four straight games (0-4 ATS, 3-1 SU), including last week’s head-scratching 24-20 home win over Northwestern where they failed to cover the spread as massive 26-point favorites. This puts them on our radar as a potential good-value bet-against team in the Week 10 ATS lines, considering the Bucks will be playing against a very good Nebraska team that is similarly 7-1 on the season like Ohio State. The Cornhuskers did suffer their first loss of the season last week in a gritty 23-17 loss to Wisconsin, but they still covered the spread as a 9-point underdog, improving to 5-2- 1 ATS on the season. If quarterback Tommy Armstrong and the Huskers can bring their A-game like they’ve been doing all season, there’s no reason the visitors—who have everything to play for in the Big Ten—shouldn’t be able to give a strong showing to cover the spread against J.T. Barrett and Ohio State. After all, Nebraska is decently 5-1 ATS in its last 6 road games while Ohio State is worryingly 4-10 ATS in its last 14 home games. Pick: Nebraska (+17.5)

Washington (-16.5) at California, Saturday, November 5

Jake Browning continued to impress as a Heisman hot-shot last week, as he completed 12 of 20 passes for 186 yards with two touchdowns and one interception to help the Huskies to a hard-earned 31-21 win over Utah. The Huskies were, however, unable to cover as 10-point road favorites in Utah. Up next for the undefeated Washington (8-0 SU) is a clash against pesky California Golden Bears (4-4). While Washington is certainly the better team here and we expect the visiting Huskies to record their ninth win this Saturday, we feel that the Bears (4-4 ATS) should be able to keep things relatively close to take the points against the Huskies, who are also 4-4 ATS this season. Reasons? For starters, the Bears tend to play very well at home, as is depicted by their 5-0 SU mark in their last five home games. Furthermore, Cal’s main man in quarterback Davis Webb is well-capable of going toe-to- toe with Browning offensively, as the hosts wilt the power of their fiery scoring offense (41.3 PPG, ranked #14 in the nation) against Washington’s equally solid scoring unit (46.1 PPG, ranked #4 in the nation). So, even with the obvious overall defensive edge the Huskies have over the Golden Bears, Cal has the weapons and potential to make a game out of this home contest, especially if Sonny Dykes’ boys can find a way of exploiting Washington’s questionable rushing defense that is giving up 153.9 YPG (ranked #55 in the nation). Pick: California (+16.5)