College Football Week 13 Sharp Betting Picks

Not many earth-shaking college football betting upsets to talk about from Week 12? No problem, as there’s still plenty to talk about. For starters, all the top-4 ranked teams in the nation (Alabama, Ohio State, Michigan and Clemson) won their respective Week 12 games, but none of them covered the spread, with the look-ahead factor into Week 13 seemingly affecting their performances. Good news, though, is that none of the four top-ranked teams suffered any major injuries from the weekend games, so they should be good to go in a big way for Week 13’s monumental fixtures. Elsewhere, Lamar Jackson and his Louisville Cardinals, who were ranked at #5 last week, are pretty much out of the CFP conversation after falling to the Houston Cougars last week. Sad story for ACC fans, but not totally unexpected, kind of like LSU’s home defeat to the underrated Florida Gators. That win by the Gators, mind you, saw them clinch the SEC East title, earning them a trip to Atlanta for the SEC Championship game against Alabama. Week 12’s drama in the rearview mirror, all indications point towards a big upcoming week in college football, as Week 13 will be featuring some of the best rivalries and biggest showdowns in the history of the game. And as is true to our tradition, we will be providing our sharp NCAA Football betting picks and wagering angles for some of these games.

College Football Week 13 Sharp Betting Picks

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LSU at Texas A&M, Thursday, November 2016 7:30 PM ET

NCAA Football Pick: UNDER

So, the Tigers shot themselves in the foot repeatedly against Florida, squandering several scoring opportunities and eventually losing to Florida last week. The Aggies didn’t fare much better, but they did come through with a 23-10 win over Conference USA foe UTSA. Obviously, playing an angry LSU team with big bowl ambitions means a fierce Thanksgiving battle for the short-handed Aggies, and the Tigers could easily walk out with a win here. But after seeing LSU’s struggles in the offensive end for pretty much the whole season, we aren’t sure if picking the visitors is the best play against Kevin Sumlin’s boys, who tend to play their best when they have their backs against the wall. That makes the UNDER play a better-looking pick for this game. Myles Garrett is looking healthy and the Aggies’ defense, though banged-up, still has enough solid pieces to frustrate LSU’s inconsistent offense. Meanwhile, QB Trevor Knight’s season-ending injury should mean more struggles by A&M’s offense, which will be going against a disciplined Tigers defense that is allowing just 14.10 PPG on the season, including holding the No. 1 Crimson Tide to a measly 10 points barely three weeks ago. If you are looking for a solid play for this game at College Station, then you should probably make a strong consideration for joining the sharps on the UNDER play.

Washington at Washington State, Friday, November 25, 3:30 PM ET

NCAA Football Pick: OVER

Washington State’s underrated QB Luke Falk and Washington’s Heisman Trophy representative in QB Jake Browning have unquestionably been two of the best signal-callers in the Pac-12, so their meeting in the Apple Cup this Friday should surely provide a lot of fireworks, particularly in the passing department that has been the strongest suit for both QBs. Defensively, the Cougars have been sound for most part of the season, but after getting torched for 603 offensive yards in last week’s loss to Colorado State (despite a solid 325-yard, 3-TD effort from Falk), we are inclined to believe that Browning and his offense will be having a good game against WSU. Similarly, the Huskies have had a stout defense all season, but they should be in for a tough show against the explosive Cougars offense that is averaging 41.9 PPG scoring (good for 11th-best in the nation). As such, a back-and- forth high-scoring duel looks likely as both go at each other in this Pac-12 North title-deciding fixture, making an OVER bet appealing for the sharps’ play in this game.

Michigan at Ohio State, Saturday, November 26, 12:00 PM ET

NCAA Football Pick: Ohio State (Money Line)

Going by John O’Korn’s struggles as Michigan’s fill-in quarterback for injured starter Wilton Speight in last week’s 20-10 win over Indiana, it is safe to say that the Wolverines will be in big trouble if Speight isn’t fit for Saturday’s encounter against OU. And even if Speight is available, he will probably not be 100% fit, meaning some much-needed edge for the home-playing Buckeyes. Yes, Ohio State was far from fluent in its 17-16 over Michigan State, but Urban Meyer is sure to prepare his team better against Jim Harbaugh’s Wolverines, so there shouldn’t be too much to worry about even with Michigan’s defense causing all kinds of headache to J.T. Barrett and gang. Oh, and the Buckeyes have owned this series so dominantly, going 9-1 SU and 7-3 ATS in their last 10 overall games vs. Michigan, which—according to the sharps—spells plenty of value NCAAF betting for Ohio State

Auburn at Alabama, Saturday, November 26, 2016 3:30 PM ET

NCAA Football Pick: Alabama (-17.5)

Don’t be fooled by Nick Saban’s mind games and the fact that he downplayed his team’s strengths by coaching his team to an iffy win over Chattanooga last week. The fact that Bama trailed 3-0 after the first quarter, before leading just 14-3 at halftime and collecting only 332 yards in the 31-3 win was not because the Tide were playing poorly, but rather because Saban wanted his team to play in a slow tempo and find as much rest as possible ahead of this week’s meeting against Auburn. Similarly, you shouldn’t be fooled by the 55 points scored and 598 offensive yards (including 451 rushing) put up by Auburn in its shutout win over Alabama A&M last weekend. The Tigers are good and the Tide have weaknesses, but with a perfect season at stake for Bama and heavy in-state bragging rights on the line in this much-anticipated Iron Bowl clash; expect Saban to coach his team as he’s done in all big games this season—planning a perfect combination of suffocating defense and efficient offense en route to a big win and cover. As a note, though, keep away from this line if it goes up in favor of Alabama rather than come down towards the Tigers, given that Auburn is capable enough of keeping things respectable below the three-touchdown spread.

Mississippi State at Ole Miss, Saturday, November 26, 3:30 PM ET

NCAA Football Picks: Ole Miss (-7.5)*, OVER

The Bulldogs and the Rebels have been struggling all season on the defensive side of things, and it therefore comes as no surprise that the sharps are expecting a shootout affair when these two teams meet on Saturday. Last weekend, for example, the Bulldogs scored 42 points against a decent Arkansas defense, but still lost by 16 points, thanks to their leaky defense that allowed the Razorbacks to compile a whopping 661 total yards (including 357 rushing yards). While that was happening, the Rebels were also having a day to forget, giving up 481 yards to a Vandy team that entered the game ranking worst in the SEC in offense. QB Shea Patterson didn’t get a ton of help from his offense after playing well two weeks ago, as Ole Miss collected just 17 points in the stunning 38-17 loss to the Commodores. With postseason bowl ambitions at stake for the Rebels, you can expect Hugh Freeze to rally up his team to give everything against the Mississippi State, who are already out of postseason bowl contention. And on that account, we believe the Rebels will be in a good position to claim the SU and ATS in this Egg Bowl fixture. Meanwhile, both teams should continue to struggle defensively for a highly-likely OVER betting payout.

Minnesota at Wisconsin, Saturday, November 26, 2:33 PM ET

NCAA Football Pick: Minnesota (+14)

Nothing would please the Golden Gophers than to upset the Badgers and prevent their Big Ten title and narrow CFP ambitions. Unfortunately for Minnesota, the Badgers (9-2) are playing in a whole different stratosphere right now, recording five straight wins since suffering back-to- back October losses to Michigan and Ohio State. Wisconsin’s defense is as lethal as ever, the offense is finding its rhythm at the right time of the season, and the Badgers are flawlessly 10-0 SU in their last 10 overall meetings against Minny. Even so, the Golden Gophers have covered the spread in 6 of those 10 overall meetings and 9-5 against the spread when placed as double-digit underdogs in this series. More notably, Minnesota has been a solid team in its own merit this season with an 8-3 overall record, and all the three losses have come by 7 or less points, including the hard-fought 24-17 loss to the ranked Nebraska Cornhuskers less than three weeks ago. So, while most of our sharps love Wisconsin for the win, they feel that the Golden Gophers—who can finish in a three-way 6-3 tie atop the Big Ten West if they beat Wisconsin and Nebraska loses to Iowa this week—will give their all until the final moments of this game to cover the bloated spread against Wiscy.