Top College Football Week 14 ATS Picks

The final week of the 2016-17 college football regular season is upon us, and that means there’ll be a lot at stake in this week’s NCAA Football odds, as various teams across the nation renew rivalries and duke it out over the weekend for a myriad of Conference Championships and postseason bowling slots. Join us as our expert NCAAF handicapper takes you through the top Week 14 college football ATS picks.

Top College Football Week 14 ATS Picks

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Temple vs. Navy, Saturday, December 03, 12:00 PM ET

NCAA Football Pick: Temple (+3)

Let’s make one thing clear; QB Will Worth and the Midshipmen have perfected the art of running the ball and they are damn good at it. Through their ridiculously efficient 342 rushing yards per game (good for #2 in the nation), the Midshipmen (9-2 SU, 7-3- 1 ATS) can run circles around you for days. Unfortunately for Navy, it will be playing one of the best defensive units in the nation in Temple that is allowing a measly 17.8 PPG (tied for 10th-best in the nation), including two shutouts in their last three games and total of just 23 points allowed in their last four games. Even more impressively, the Owls (9-3 SU) have been sure cash kings in the ATS lines, entering this week on a 10-0 ATS streak since failing to cover in their season-opener against Army. As if that is not enough, the Owls own a solid 6-3 ATS mark in their last 9 meetings against Navy. With all that considered, it’s hard not to like Temple value for the cover this weekend.

Oklahoma State vs. Oklahoma, Saturday, December 03, 12:30 PM ET

NCAA Football Pick: Oklahoma (-11)

Yes, the Cowboys (9-2 SU and 7-4 ATS this season) are very capable of holding their own against the Sooners (9-2 SU and 5-6 ATS). But here’s the thing, Bob Stoops owns an impressive record of 13-4 SU and 9-7- 1 ATS in the Bedlam Series against Oklahoma State, and that’s nothing to joke with. History aside, the Sooners will be playing this game at home, which is bound to swing a lot of support and favor to their side. And even if the home advantage is not factored into the equation, the Sooners should still have plenty of edge in their dynamic offense (322.73 YPG passing, 229.36 YPG rushing) that can pass and rush the ball very efficiently, as opposed to the pass-heavy Cowboys (334.91 YPG passing, 165.73 YPG rushing). Add that to the defensive improvements we’ve seen in Oklahoma’s defense in recent games, the ATS value in this game should be on the Sooners, especially with the line dropping from the opening number of -14 to -11 in most books.

Alabama vs. Florida, Saturday, December 03, 2016 4:00 PM ET

NCAA Football Pick: Alabama (-24)

While the Gators come into the SEC Championship game with a highly-reputed defense that is allowing 14.6 PPG and 291.6 YPG total, recent games indicate that their defensive tenacity has gone down a bit, with Florida allowing an average of 383.0 yards per games over its last 4 games (against Arkansas, South Carolina, LSU, and Florida State). A big reason for this is the long injury list for Florida over the recent weeks, with the likes of linebackers Alex Anzalone (arm) and Jarrad Davis (ankle), safeties Marcus Maye (arm) and Jaewon Taylor (arm), defensive ends Bryan Cox Jr. (ankle) and Jordan Sherit (leg), and center Cam Dillard (knee) all listed in Florida’s injury list entering this week, with a few other players also listed as questionable for the weekend. And as y’all know, Alabama is definitely in an offensive class that is much better than the Backs, Gamecocks, Tigers and Seminoles, so putting up yardages and points on the banged-up Gators shouldn’t be a biggie for the Tide. On the other side of the ball, Alabama has given up 14 points or less and fewer than 279 yards in 10 of its 12 games this season. Those numbers have actually become better in recent weeks, with the Tide allowing a measly 4.5 PPG 191.3 YPG total in their last four games (which have come against Auburn, Chattanooga, Mississippi State and LSU). Against a Florida team that has a struggling offense compared to those last four Bama opponents, a shutout could very easily be in the offing here, especially with starting Gators QB Luke Del Rio still nursing a shoulder injury and backup QB Austin Appleby and his UF offense coming off a pathetic show against the Seminoles where they failed to score an offensive TD. So although 24 points seems like a lot to give in such a big game, we are strongly convinced that the Tide (who are 8-2 SU and ATS in their last 10 overall vs. Florida) will deliver on both sides of the ball to pay its ATS backers handsomely.

Clemson vs. Virginia Tech, Saturday, December 03, 8:00 PM ET

NCAA Football Pick: Clemson (-10)

The last time the Tigers met the Hokies in 2012, Clemson won the game 38-17 as a 7.5-point favorite. A lot has changed since that game in terms of talent on the field, but the Tigers are still head-and- shoulders above the Hokies, as is affirmed by their season numbers—Clemson is 11-1 with 40.00 PPG scoring and 17.00 PPG allowed while V-Tech is 9-3 with 35.00 PPG scoring and 21.08 PPG allowed. More than that, the Tigers know that they have a very small margin of error if they are to make the college football playoff; something that should motivate Dabo Swinney’s boys to run up the score for a win and cover.