NFL Week 13 Betting Underdogs

In Week 12 NFL betting, eight underdogs covered the spread from the 16 games played between Thursday and Monday, and the clash between the 49ers and Dolphins pushed in most books, translating into a good week for underdog NFL bettors. And for good measure, the Bucs, Chiefs, Raiders and Packers won their games straight up despite closing the sportsbooks as underdogs, adding more cash to those who picked them in the SU lines. Which underdogs look good for the green in NFL Week 13? Read on below as we take you through a number of sumptuous options.

NFL Week 13 Betting Underdogs

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Los Angeles at New England (-13.5), Sunday, December 04, 1:00 PM ET

NFL Pick: Los Angeles (+13.5)

Betting against New England is never the smartest of things to do. Betting against New England in a game against a poor team like the Rams is even more risky, if not silly. I totally agree on both counts. But then again, I saw some raw talent in Jared Goff last week against the Saints, enough for me to believe that he could lead a decent number of scoring drives against the Pats this week, especially if 2015 Offensive Rookie of the Year Todd Gurley and the Rams above-average defense (227.55 YPG passing allowed, 21.45 PPG allowed) can join him in the act. More importantly, Tom Brady has been limited in practice this week due to injury and the things just got worse for the Pats on Thursday, following reports that star TE Rob Gronkowski has a ruptured disc in his back and will undergo surgery on Friday, which translates to him missing eight weeks. As was clearly highlighted by NFL.com, the Patriots tend to have less efficiency in offense when Gronk is out, and we believe that trend will hold true this week, particularly after Brady and his offense labored without him in the last-gasp victory against the Jets last week. The Patriots will win against the Rams, no doubt, but it won’t be by as many as two touchdowns, putting LA in a good underdog spot for the ATS value.

Kansas City at Atlanta, Sunday, December 04, 1:00 PM ET

NFL Pick: Kansas City (+4.5)

The underrated Chiefs have been proving their doubters wrong since last season and we like the spot they are in when they take on the Falcons this week. Yes, Atlanta has won 5 of its last 8 overall meetings against KC, including 3 of the last 4 dating back to 2000. And as far as momentum goes, the Falcons have plenty, following their 7-4 SU and ATS campaign so far, spearheaded by their on-song offense that is scoring a league-best 32.55 PPG. Unfortunately for the Falcons, they have two key vulnerabilities that could be exploited by the Chiefs. First, Atlanta’s defense is very porous (27.45 PPG), something Alex Smith and the Chiefs and his rushing attack can take advantage of in the same manner the Bucs and Chargers did recently. Second, the Falcons have a tendency of struggling against good defensive teams. Explicably; the Falcons have lost their last two games against the two good defensive teams they’ve faced—Philadelphia (24-15 defeat) and Seattle (26-24 defeat). With KC owning a mean defense that is allowing just 19.45 PPG on the season, it wouldn’t be a surprise if the Chiefs—who are coming off an exhilarating overtime upset road win in Denver—deliver another upset here, or at least a cover of the spread.

Miami at Baltimore, Sunday, December 04, 1:00 PM ET

NFL Pick: Miami (+3.5)

You don’t have to look further than Baltimore’s record to understand why we feel the Dolphins could be swimming into paydirt at the Ravens’ expense this week. In Baltimore’s six wins this season, five have come by a touchdown or less, with Baltimore mostly surviving those wins due to a late-game score or a defensive stand of some sorts. And which teams have those wins come against? Good question… A Buffalo team that was caught unprepared in Week 1, two wins over the hapless (and still win-less) Browns, a Jacksonville team that is clearly a top-3 worst team in the league this season, and an injury-bugged and slumping Bengals unit. Just about the Week 10 over Pittsburgh is what you can call a quality win, and even then, Steelers QB Ben Roethlisberger wasn’t fully fit. The Dolphins, meanwhile, have seemingly figured things out in their camp and bring with them a six-game winning streak into Week 13. They too have beaten a couple of weak teams like San Francisco and Los Angeles, but the class and fighting spirit shown against elite teams like Pittsburgh, Buffalo and San Diego puts them a shoulder above the Ravens. Mind you, in that six-game winning stretch, the Dolphins were placed as underdogs in four occasions and at EVEN odds in more instance, yet Adam Gase’s boys never stuttered, going 6-0 SU and 5-0- 1 ATS in the process. Being placed as underdogs against the Ravens, who are 3-6 ATS in their last 9 outings, should therefore not bother you. Instead, it should be loud call for you to ride on the Dolphins for some solid underdog pay in the NFL odds.

Washington at Arizona, Sunday, December 04, 4:25 PM ET

NFL Pick: Washington (+2.5)

If you have been keenly following the league, then you must be aware that QB Kirk Cousins has entrenched his name among the league’s best arms this season. Wait, he is actually second-best in the league in passing yards (3,540) ahead of Week 13’s games. And after torching the Packers three weeks ago (for 375 passing yards and 3 TDs against zero pick on 70.0 percent passing), and then following it with another spectacular performance (41-of- 53 for 449 yards and 3 TDs against zero picks) in the respectable losing effort to the Cowboys on Thanksgiving Day; you have every reason to feel confident about betting big on the Redskins as narrow road dogs to the Cardinals in Week 13. The old Carson Palmer has officially lost his game, and there’s just so much David Johnson—talented as he is—can do with his legs and arms against the Redskin defense that will have his number all afternoon. Combine that with the fact that Washington has owned its games against Arizona (the Redskins are 8-2 SU in last 10 vs. Arizona) and the Skins are rolling with an 8-1 ATS mark in their last 9 games while the Cards are 0-5 ATS in their last 5 games; you really shouldn’t be thinking twice about banking on Washington this Sunday.