NFL Game Odds: Cowboys vs 49ers SNF | Remember at the end of the 2023 NFL season, when Dallas Cowboys owner and general manager Jerry Jones said he was “all in” for 2024?
The team failed to sign key replacements at tailback, cornerback, and linebacker, as well as valuable depth players. They ended up overpaying for extensions for quarterback Dak Prescott and wide receiver CeeDee Lamb.
Dallas Cowboys are 3-3, winless at home with a -42 point differential. Wins at Cleveland, N.Y. Giants, and Pittsburgh, with close victories over Giants and Steelers.
Their home losses have been routs at the hands of a New Orleans Saints team that hasn’t won since and the Detroit Lions, along with a loss to Baltimore that was also a rout until the Ravens fell asleep in the fourth quarter.
With the trade deadline coming on November 5, there are rumors that the Cowboys are about to be sellers instead of using that $22 million in cap space to help them win now.
Jones has chosen to keep his wide receivers, hinting at a potential rebuild in 2025. The Cowboys will have to navigate expensive contracts for Prescott and Lamb. Help won’t arrive in time for their game against the struggling 49ers in San Francisco.
Dallas comes out of the bye to face a 49ers team that has just lost star wide receiver Brandon Aiyuk and still doesn’t have tailback Christian McCaffrey. Deebo Samuel and George Kittle both missed practice on Wednesday as the 49ers look to heal.
Can the Cowboys take advantage, or will they end up on the wrong end of another ugly score? Read on to get our sports betting prediction.
NFL Game Odds: Cowboys at 49ers SNF in Week 8 | NFL 2024/25 Season
When: Sunday, October 27, 2024, 8:20 pm ET
Where: NRG Stadium, Houston
TV: NBC
Radio: Westwood One
Live Stream: Peacock
Opening NFL Game Odds Subject to Change: San Francisco -4.5 / O/U 47
Dallas Cowboys SNF Line +172
The Cowboys should be glad to get on the road because AT&T Stadium has been a house of horrors for them. After the 47-9 beating they took from Detroit two weeks ago, the Cowboys are 0-3 at home this season and, including last season’s wild-card embarrassment against Green Bay, they’ve gotten undressed in front of their own fans four straight times. They’ve become the first team since at least 2000 to trail by at least two touchdowns at halftime in four straight home games, including the playoffs.
Last 4 Games
If you go back to that loss to the Packers, the Cowboys have trailed by a combined 110-35 at the half in their last four home games. They’ve allowed 167 total points in those four games, the third-worst total in any four-game set of home games in the history of the league. The Dallas defense gave up a 52-yard score on a flea-flicker play from Jared Goff to tight end Sam La Porta. On offense, Dallas turned the ball over five times, including a pair of interceptions from Dak Prescott, who finished with the second-lowest passer rating of his career (42.2).
Even with all of this bad news, the 49ers have a lot of key players who will either be on the shelf or well below 100 percent for this game. Also, Dak Prescott has a 13-8 career mark in SNF games. A player who could stand out is tailback Rico Dowdle. The San Francisco defense has allowed running backs to average five receptions and 41 yards per game. Dowdle has receiving touchdowns in two of the last three games.
CeeDee Lamb
The San Francisco defense should focus on Lamb, which could leave Dowdle open for some wheel routes and other opportunities on Sunday night. It’s also worth noting that the bye week has helped defensive starters DaRon Bland and Micah Parsons get healthy and back into the lineup. Given how many people are missing on San Francisco’s offense, they could struggle enough for Dallas to stay close.
^Cowboys' Dak Prescott Says He's Been 'Average' amid 3-3 Start: 'Isn't Good Enough': Quarterback Dak Prescott gave an honest assessment of his play this week amid the Dallas Cowboys' uneven start to the 2024 NFL regular season. Speaking to… pic.twitter.com/cltNBwNocB
— NFL Buzz (@nfl_buzzfeed) October 25, 2024
San Francisco 49ers SNF Line -216
The 49ers should be smarting for some revenge after losing to Kansas City, 28-18, at home on Sunday in a Super Bowl rematch. You might think that the Chiefs torched the San Francisco secondary, but it was the run defense that let the home team down on Sunday. Kansas City ran for 184 yards and scored four rushing touchdowns. The defense also stood tall, picking off Brock Purdy three times.
Patrick Mahomes only threw for 154 yards, the second-lowest total he’s posted in a game that he played from start to finish. On the ground, though, he had a 33-yard scramble and then finished on fourth-and-goal, running in from a yard out and trucking safety Malik Mustapha in the process.
The Offensive
On offense, the 49ers couldn’t get much done; Brandon Aiyuk was carted off the field with a torn ACL in his right knee. Purdy went 17 of 31 for 212 yards. He scored a pair of rushing touchdowns, but had those three picks, including a backbreaker in the end zone at the midway point of the fourth quarter.
The Streak
The 49ers have a three-game winning streak in their rivalry with Dallas, including wins in the playoffs at the end of the 2021 and 2022 seasons and a regular-season rout during 2023. They’re also 3-0 ATS in those wins. The 49ers are just 1-2 with a rest disadvantage on the season, and they do have a lot of injuries, which we’ll enumerate later on. However, even with the Cowboys having a bye week ahead of this showdown, there’s little to suggest that Dallas will have an answer for Jordan Mason at tailback.
The Defense
The Dallas defense has allowed an average of 150 all-purpose yards per contest to opposing tailbacks, who have scored nine touchdowns. Mason had a hard time finding running room against Kansas City, but the Cowboys’ defense shouldn’t offer any similar resistance. Even if the rest advantage helps Dallas get off to a more energetic start, the Cowboys’ inability to make in-game adjustments is likely to turn an early advantage into a disappointing finish.
^Cowboys week.
— San Francisco 49ers (@49ers) October 24, 2024
📺 #DALvsSF on NBC
⏰ 5:20 PM pic.twitter.com/DZc1to6St1
Cowboys at 49ers SNF Final Score and Prediction in Week 8
Cowboys Injuries
For the Cowboys, we know that wide receiver Brandin Cooks and defensive end DeMarcus Lawrence are out. Cornerbacks DaRon Bland and Caelon Carson, linebackers Eric Kendricks and Micah Parsons, and offensive tackle Tyler Guyton are all listed as questionable, but I would be surprised if all five of those players don’t end up suiting.
49ers Injuries
For the 49ers, tailback Christian McCaffrey has been upgraded from “out” to “doubtful,” but I’d be shocked to see him take the field. Tight end George Kittle is questionable, as is kicker Jake Moody and, as are wide receivers Jauan Jennings and Deebo Samuel.
When the Cowboys headed to Pittsburgh three weeks ago, I thought that the advantages that the Steelers had in terms of coaching and leadership would make up for the fact that quarterback Justin Fields is still finding his way in the NFL.
The Cowboys were able to take advantage of some turnovers and timely penalties to keep the game within reach and win a one-score battle. Brock Purdy is struggling for San Francisco this year, but he has bounced back in previous years and should be ready to go in prime time.
I predict a final score of San Francisco 27, Dallas 20.
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NFL Game Odds: Cowboys at 49ers SNF Week 8
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