MotoGP Odds and Analysis for Gran Premio d’Italia

MotoGP Odds and Analysis for Gran Premio d’Italia

The Gran Premio d’Italia Oakley is one of the oldest events in MotoGP history, dating back to 1949. Until 1990, it was called the Gran Premio Delle Nazioni. It took place on the Monza circuit for the first 23 editions until 1969, when it moved to Imola. It came back to Monza for the next two years before alternating among four different circuits over the next two decades: Monza, Imola, Misano, and Mugello. The Mugello circuit has hosted the race since 1994. It runs 2.359 miles and has an FIA grade of one. The surface is asphalt, and the circuit has 15 turns, nine right-hand and six-lefthand, with a long straightaway that runs 0.71 miles. This lengthy straight makes the circuit one of the top speed challenges in MotoGP; Jorge Martin set the speed record here at 225.9 mph in 2022. He didn’t win, though; that honor went to Francesco Bagnaia, who set a lap record that day of 1:46.588. Let’s break down the race as you consider how to incorporate it in your MotoGP betting.

 

MotoGP Betting News: Gran Premio d’Italia Oakley

 

While on the course, riders will brake 10 times per lap, for an average of 25 seconds – which means they’ll spend about a quarter of their race on the brakes, one of the lowest percentages on any of the MotoGP circuits. The hardest brake comes on Turn One at San Donato, which comes after a downhill that sees speeds climb above 200-215 mph. They have to slow to enter the turn around 55 mph.

This race is the first of three events in three straight weekends, as Sachsenring and Assen follow Mugello. Right now, defending champion Francesco Bagnaia leads Marco Bezzecchi by a single point in the rider standings. The Ducati is one of the top machines at Mugello. Bezzecchi and Baganaia will be the top favorites, but Luca Marini, another Italian, will work hard for the podium, and Jorge Martin, who just got a Sprint victory and a podium finish, is building momentum.

Alex Marquez

has raced well in 2023 but hasn’t had the luck he needs to get a top result. Teammate Fabio Di Giannantonio got the pole last year after a sensational qualifying performance. The riders will have plenty of time on the Mugello circuit ahead of qualifying, which should make up for the lack of testing that took place here.


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Enea Bastianini

should be back out there to race. It has taken longer to recover than he anticipated, but he has been training. His race fitness may not be where it needs to be, and expect there to be a little rust. As the race goes on, though, and he starts to relax into things, you could see him mount a furious rally.

Michele Pirro

is back as a wild card for Ducati. He has done quite well at Mugello and could mix things up in qualification, if not the race itself. Maverick Vinales has already had a podium finish this year and was mounting a furious rally in France before he ran into Bagnaia. He and Aleix Espargaro are looking for no less than a podium finish.

Miguel Oliveira

and

Raul Fernandez

find themselves on a fitness test. Oliveira has been on the shelf for two races now and still felt some effects on the bike at All Stars Day in Aprilia. Fernandez is still recovering from his arm surgery. Lorenzo Savadori is a wild-card entry for Aprilia. We don’t know much about Savadori at this point. Brad Binder sits third in the MotoGP rider standings, just 13 points out of the lead. He has won two of the five Sprints so far, and it’s not out of the realm of possibility for him to swipe the victory. Jack Miller had plenty of speed in France but could not get points with it. He’ll need a better strategy going into Mugello.

 
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