The last race in the Round of 8 in the 2019 Monster Energy NASCAR Cup Series Playoffs is set for Sunday, at ISM Raceway in Avondale, Arizona, as the 2019 Bluegreen Vacations 500 will get underway. You can catch the broadcast on NBC and listen in on the Motor Racing Network radio stations. This “500” is actually 500 kilometers, or 312 miles, as the drivers will complete 312 laps of the mile-long track. There are three stages, one ending after lap 75, the second ending after lap 150 and the third ending with the checkered flag. We have your NASCAR odds for each driver, as well as suggestions for your wagering card, as the eight remaining qualifying drivers vie for spots in the Championship 4, and the rest of the field races for the chance to take that purse with an outright win.
2019 Bluegreen Vacations 500 Odds & Betting Preview
The path to the #Championship4 comes down to this.#NASCARPlayoffs | @ISMRaceway pic.twitter.com/4MPhVIghgf
— NASCAR (@NASCAR) November 8, 2019
Race Info
- When: Sunday, November 10th, 2019
- Where: ISM Raceway, Avondale, Arizona
- TV: NBC
- Live Stream: NBCSports.com
Driver Odds to Win the 2019 Bluegreen Vacations 500
- Kyle Busch 3/1
- Denny Hamlin, Martin Truex Jr, Kevin Harvick 5/1
- Chase Elliott 8/1
- Ryan Blaney, Kevin Larson 12/1
- Brad Keselowski 16/1
- Erik Jones 20/1
- Joey Logano, Kurt Busch 25/1
- Clint Bowyer 30/1
- Aric Almirola, William Byron, Alex Bowman 50/1
- Jimmie Johnson, Daniel Suarez 60/1
- Ryan Newman, Matt DiBenedetto 200/1
- Austin Dillon, Ricky Stenhouse Jr 300/1
- Paul Menard, Chris Buescher 500/1
- Daniel Hemric, Darrell Wallace Jr, Ty Dillon 1000/1
- Ryan Preece, Michael McDowell, David Ragan, John H. Nemechek 2000/1
- Corey LaJoie, Landon Cassill, Reed Sorenson 5000/1
- FIELD (all other drivers) 1000/1
The Favorites
Kevin Harvick won the AAA Texas 500 last week and guaranteed himself a spot in the Championship 4. Along with Martin Truex Jr, that makes two spots taken — and the other two spots are open for the other six contenders. Harvick always races hard, but he doesn’t have the same motivation as the others who could still qualify, so I would back off from wagering on him to win back-to-back races. He has won 7 of his last 14 starts at this track, which is why he is near the top of the odds list once again, but I think someone else wins this race.
Kyle Busch continues to see his winless streak grow. However, he has won two consecutive races at the ISM Raceway. In his last eight races in Phoenix, he has cracked the top five seven times. With a win coming as his best way to guarantee himself a spot in the Championship 4, there is a good reason that he is the favorite. That means he doesn’t bring as much value, but you can’t really argue for leaving him off your card, with that combination of track record and motivation.
Chase Elliott has to win here if he wants to get to the Championship 4; there is no other path here for him. In his last two races at ISM Raceway, he has a runner-up finish and a third-place finish. His last two outings in the Monster Energy NASCAR Cup Series Playoffs have not gone well, though, and the pressure may be getting to him. He offers more value than some of the other choices, and for good reason — it will take a lot of things happening the right way to get him the checkered flag.
Kyle Larson has a runner-up finish and a third-place finish at ISM Raceway over his last six races here. He is another driver who basically has to win first place to get into the Championship 4. He could get enough stage points and qualify if disaster strikes for some of the others on top of him in the standings, but a win gets him in. He doesn’t quite have the track record of some of the other contenders, but he does have the motivation.
Ryan Blaney led 94 laps and came in third at the March race at ISM Raceway this year, so he should have confidence coming in. However, he is not looking good in the points, so a win is his best shot. Pressure still tends to get to him, as we saw at the AAA Texas 500 when he almost drove his car off the jack while in pit row. He offers more value and has the track record here to win, but this young driver may still be a year or two away.
