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NASCAR Betting Preview AAA 400 Drive for Autism
Joey Logano won a week ago, picking up his first victory since Richmond back in 2017. However, he has not won consecutive races since late in 2015 — and he has never won a race at Dover International Speedway while racing in the Monster Cup Series. However, he has cracked the top ten in eight of his last twelve races here, and the top 15 in ten of those twelve races. Kyle Busch finished in 13th place last week, ending a streak of winning three consecutive races, but he still has top three finishes in seven of his last eight starts. Busch has already won the AAA 400 Drive for Autism twice in his career, and he has finished no worse than runner-up in three of his last five starts in Dover. He also has won several races at Dover while racing with the Camping World Truck Series and the Xfinity Series. Jimmie Johnson has not had much success in 2018 at all. However, he won the AAA 400 Drive for Autism in 2017, his third win in this race over the last four years. In that race, he started the race in dead last and blew by the opposition to draw the checkered flag and take home the trophy. Overall, he has six first-place trophies from this race, the most of any driver. In his last 12 races at the Dover International Speedway, he has won five. I’m dropping Johnson from my betting cards after this week if he doesn’t come through, but the numbers indicate that he is definitely someone to consider this week, particularly if you can get a good value on the odds. Martin Truex Jr has finished no better than 14th in his last four races, and he trudged in at 26th place a week ago. However, Truex is another driver who fares well in Dover. He won the AAA 400 Drive for Autism in 2007, and in his last three races at Dover, he has finished in the top four each time, and in the top ten in seven of his last eight races here. This could be a week for him to rebound, much like with Johnson. Denny Hamlin has cracked the top five on four different occasions here. In three of his last four starts at the AAA 400 Drive for Autism, he has finished no worse than eighth, and he has finished in the top ten in four of his last eight races at the speedway. His dry streak without a win is growing to historic perspectives for his career, so he’s worth checking out as you look at your wagers. Kyle Larson races well on the short tracks with steep turns, piling up results in three of his last four races at Dover as well as at Bristol, a similar course style. The groove will shift as drivers keep altering the courses around the track, and that will benefit an expert in this sort of driving like Larson. Kevin Harvick has gone a couple of months without drawing the checkered flag, but the main culprits have been poor starting positions and unacceptable work from his pit crew. He has done well at Dover International Speedway, particularly with his finishes between 2014 and 2016. Consider him as a value wager for this race.So, who ya got in the #AAA400 at @MonsterMile on Sunday?
— Atlanta Motor Speedway (@amsupdates) May 2, 2018
