The NASCAR Cup Series returns to Texas Motor Speedway, as the All-Star Open will take place on Sunday at 6:00 pm Eastern time. This race has featured seven different winners in the last seven years, and things look just as open this time around. Kyle Larson will have the pole position after a random draw, but given that he has won the last two Cup Series races, this makes a lot of sense. There will be 21 drivers in the event, but we only know 17 of them now; drivers who have either won an All-Star RAce in the past or who have won a race since the All-Star Race in 2020 are already in the field. Three will come from the outcome of a preliminary race, and then the 21st will come from fan voting.
Let’s look at the NASCAR betting odds for the 17 drivers we know so far to win the race, along with some suggestions for your wager cards.
NASCAR News: Cup Series All-Star Open Preview
| Driver | Odds |
|---|---|
| Kyle Larson | +480 |
| Denny Hamlin, Martin Truex Jr | +750 |
| Kyle Busch, Kevin Harvick | +800 |
| Ryan Blaney, Chase Elliott | +900 |
| Joey Logano | +1000 |
| Brad Keselowski | +1500 |
| Alex Bowman, William Byron | +1600 |
| Christopher Bell, Kurt Busch, Austin Dillon | +2500 |
| Michael McDowell | +4000 |
| Cole Custer, Ryan Newman | +5000 |
Kyle Larson has two straight wins and six straight top-two finishes on the Cup Series. The only driver ahead of him in the points standings is Chase Elliott, but Elliott hasn’t been as hot as Larson in the last two months. Larson won the All-Star Open in 2018. In Larson’s win at Sonoma, it was clear from the very start that his car was the fastest, as he simply pulled away. When he had to fight his way back through the field after pit stops, it was easy for him to glide back to the front. He had been the runner-up on a road course at Circuit of the Americas in Austin, and we saw that this was no fluke with his win on a similar course at Sonoma. It is worth noting that Larson just has one finish in the top 12 in his last five races at Texas Motor Speedway. However, he was with Chip Ganassi for all of those races instead of Hendrick Motorsports.
Alex Bowman is an interesting pick from the same Hendrick Motorsports team as Larson and Elliott, the defending champion. Hendrick is dominating the Cup Series right now: in the last four races, its drivers have finished 1-2, 1-2, 1-2 and 1-2-3-4. Bowman has four top-ten finishes and a win in the last month, and at Texas Motor Speedway, he has a solid record, with fifth-place finishes in each of the last two seasons. He has the car to take advantage of some of the wacky field inversions that will take place after stages on Sunday.
Kyle Busch leads all of the Cup Series active drives with four wins at Texas Motor Speedway, three of them coming since 2016. In his last six starts there, he has five top-ten finishes. So despite a relatively disappointing 2021 campaign so far, this is a race where he could pop up as a value winner — which is why his odds are already trending low. You could say the same about Kevin Harvick and Denny Hamlin, each with three victories at Texas Motor Speedway. Neither has picked up a win in a points event in 2021. Christopher Bell is interesting because he came in third in the last race at Texas Motor Speedway and offers decent value on a wager to do it again.
Chase Elliott has not cracked the top ten in five straight starts at Texas Motor Speedway. Given the results that Hendrick drivers have been getting lately, it’s hard not to argue Elliott as at least a top-three pick, but you don’t get a ton of value for that wager (currently at +100).
NASCAR Betting Odds
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