On Monday, we saw a rare edition of the Daytona 500 as the storied race was pushed from Sunday due to heavy rains. After some chaos after a Lap 197 restart, William Byron zipped across the finish line, taking the win just seconds before the fifth caution of the night was called, prompted by Ross Chastain ending up in the infield grass thanks to an impact from Austin Cindric’s Ford. This was Hendrick Motorsports’ first Daytona 500 win since 2014, when Dale Earnhardt Jr got the victory. This week the series moves to Atlanta Motor Speedway, and the Cup Series event is the Ambetter Health 400, set for 2:30 pm Eastern time on Sunday. FOX will have the telecast, and you can also listen on PRN or SiriusXM. We have each driver’s NASCAR betting odds to win along with suggestions for your wagering.
NASCAR Betting Analysis: Ambetter Health 400 Preview and Odds to Win for the Top 10 Drivers
- Denny Hamlin +900
- Chase Elliott +1000
- William Byron +1000
- Ryan Blaney +1000
- Joey Logano +1200
- Christopher Bell +1200
- Brad Keselowski +1200
- Kyle Busch +1400
- Bubba Wallace +2000
- Tyler Reddick +2000
Bet on the NASCAR Lines! for Ambetter Health 400
Denny Hamlin was one of the drivers who saw their shot at a Daytona 500 win crash and burn in that huge crash late in the race. At speedways like Atlanta, Hamlin will be among the favorites every week.
Chase Elliott returns home for this race after a difficult 2023. He finished 14th at Daytona and was the 2023 NASCAR Most Popular Driver; that finish marks an improvement over much of his 2023 season. Can a race on his hometown track propel him back to the top?
William Byron is one of the new faces of NASCAR, and his Daytona 500 win is just another bullet point on that resume. He won the July race at Atlanta last year, and given his form last week, it won’t be surprising if he makes it two wins in two 2024 races.
Ryan Blaney won the Cup Series title in 2023, but Daytona was marred for him in wrecks, both in the Thursday Duel race and the main event. He came in 30th, which means that he’s looking for redemption in Week 2.
Joey Logano entered the Daytona 500 with pole position and seemed like he would cruise to victory, sitting at or near the front for the whole race. That late wreck took Logano off the track and he ended up in 32nd. He also had a win at Atlanta in 2023, so don’t count him out this weekend.
Christopher Bell won his Duel race and finished third at the Daytona 500. He has shown significant improvement in his superspeedway techniques.
Brad Keselowski still has yet to win while driving the #6 car, but he has been right there at the end in most races for the last year. At Atlanta, he almost pulled off a comeback win last year, so he makes an interesting value pick here. A late wreck kept him from contending in the Daytona 500.
Kyle Busch got off to a great start with Richard Childress Racing, but since the first half of 2023, things have not been as good. He did well in the first half of 2023 before settling back a bit. He looked impressive in the Daytona 500 before a wreck slowed him down considerably. If he can win the NASCAR Cup Series title in 2024, that would give him three crowns.
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2023 NASCAR Cup Series Ambetter Health 400
NASCAR Cup Series Odds and Betting Opportunities for Ambetter Health 400
NASCAR moves east this weekend, leaving Phoenix Raceway for the Atlanta Motor Speedway. The Cup Series event is the Ambetter Health 400, set for Sunday at 3:00 pm Eastern time. The action will unfold on FOX, with listeners able to tune in on PRN or SiriusXM. William Byron made it two straight wins at the United Rentals Work United 500 on Sunday at Phoenix Raceway, zooming past teammate Kyle Larson in overtime. It helped that Harrison Burton spun with a few laps remaining, giving Byron the opportunity to move into the lead. That was the second straight week a Ford driver had suffered a miscue to give Byron the chance, after Aric Almirola did something similar in Las Vegas the week before. Now Byron has a guaranteed slot in the Cup Series Playoffs and six career wins – and his first win at Phoenix. Let’s look at this week’s NASCAR betting odds and wager card suggestions.
| Driver | Odds | William Byron, Kyle Larson | +900 |
|---|---|
| Kyle Busch | +1000 |
| Ryan Blaney, Ross Chastain, Joey Logano, Denny Hamlin | +1200 |
| Christopher Bell | +1500 |
| Tyler Reddick, Brad Keselowski, Alex Bowman | +1800 |
| Bubba Wallace | +2000 |
| Kevin Harvick, Daniel Suarez, Chris Buescher, Martin Truex Jr | +2500 |
| Ricky Stenhouse Jr, Erik Jones, Austin Cindric, Aric Almirola | +3000 |
| Chase Briscoe, Austin Dillon | +4000 |
| Ryan Preece, Josh Berry, Corey LaJoie, AJ Allmendinger | +5000 |
| Michael McDowell, Justin Haley | +6000 |
| Todd Gilliland, Noah Gragson, Ty Gibbs | +8000 |
| Harrison Burton | +10000 |
| Ty Dillon | +25000 |
| JJ Yeley, Cody Ware, BJ McLeod | +50000 |
Ross Chastain is a driver who could benefit from the lottery that takes place at the end of superspeedway races, with spins and crashes allowing aggressive drivers to take advantage of adversity and drive around the insanity to get the win. Chastain’s car has a bit of an edge in speed that will allow him to get around that nonsense a bit more nimbly, and he’s an interesting value here.
Ryan Blaney refers to tracks like Atlanta’s 1.5-mile superspeedway as a “survival track.” The racing takes place in a pack thanks to the plates, and Blaney has won at two similar tracks, Talladega and Daytona.
William Byron won the first Atlanta race and led the most laps, and he comes in red-hot, but the gods of racing may not allow a third straight event ahead of him to take advantage of. His success at Atlanta in the past makes him a smart pick, all the same.
Kyle Larson should have won in each of the last two weeks. At Las Vegas and Phoenix, he got caught up in the chaos near the end of the race when he was in position to win. At Fontana, he had the speed to win but had a wiring issue pull him out. At some point, the bad luck has to dissipate. Right?
Daniel Suarez came in sixth and fourth last year in the Atlanta races. Teammate Ross Chastain had runner-up finishes here, but this could be the time when Suarez jumps up and pays off with a bit more value.
Kevin Harvick had two top-15 finishes here last year and tends to take safer, mid-pack results in plate-track events. He used to dominate races here when the pavement was old and drivers were desperate to find grip. Can he get back to his winning ways?
Michael McDowell is an excellent example of the feast-or-famine nature of plate-track racing. At Talladega last year, he finished third and eighth. At Daytona, he wrecked out both times. At Atlanta, he came in 15th and 24th. Which will it be this week?
Ricky Stenhouse Jr will either win the race or run into at least one other driver. His aggressive style means that he is usually right at the front or wrapped around something at the end of the race.
Erik Jones had a top-5 and a top-15 finish at Atlanta in 2022. At Talladega, he has five top-ten finishes in his last six starts. He’s on a bit of a streak at plate-track races, and this week is his latest opportunity to jump up and snag a win.
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