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Mayweather vs McGregor Boxing Odds & Props
Should you take those big Boxing odds?
To start with, it’s not like Mayweather has had a lot of fights in recent years in which the odds have been all that close. When he took on Marcos Maidana, he sat at -900 the first time and then at -600 when they had their rematch. In 2012, his odds in his Miguel Cotto bout were -700. His last fight, against Andre Berto, saw -3000 odds in his favor. And those competitors were all boxers. On the other hand, McGregor is the biggest name in UFC today, but he’s never fought in a boxing match, and now he’s going to train for one in about ten weeks and take down the heavyweight champ? The smart money waits on those boxing odds to trickle down (like those books leaning down toward -600) and then jumps on that wager.Can McGregor actually win this fight?
It’s hard to imagine McGregor taking down Mayweather with his hands in those big 10-ounce boxing gloves instead of those smaller MMA grips — and without any kicks, choke holds or the other tactics that MMA fighters use to secure wins. That hasn’t stopped McGregor from taunting Mayweather for over a year now. Mayweather had a perfect 49-0 boxing record before entering retirement in 2015. What is McGregor’s hope? Landing a knockout punch that will send Mayweather to the canvas. Will Mayweather go on the offensive? He is known for his defensive skill, parrying big blows from his opponent while finding angles with his footwork, and then sliding in shot after shot from unexpected angles. That is what makes this fight so different for McGregor: he cannot use the shorter combat angles that serve him so well in MMA. Instead, he has to stand and fight. Here’s some perspective that Chris van Heerden, a sparring partner for McGregor back in May 2016, put it. Van Heerden is a former welterweight champ (IBO) and went into the ring somewhat out of shape against the MMA star. As he put it, McGregor might be able to find a place to land a punch on Mayweather, but he doesn’t deliver the heft (especially in those larger gloves) for it to do enough damage to Mayweather.
Can McGregor go the full 12 rounds?
Actually, this is a more interesting prop to consider than whether McGregor can actually deliver the knockout (which isn’t much more likely than him prevailing on the cards, but one lucky punch does seem more probable than waiting for him to win, point after point. However, McGregor has an iron chin, and he has a lot of size — despite giving up so much in that department to Mayweather. If McGregor can avoid Mayweather’s big blows and play defense with him for twelve rounds, he definitely has a chance to put the decision in the judges’ hands. That in itself would represent a victory, given the fact that he is brand-new to boxing under traditional rules, and given how much size he gives up to Mayweather. Depending on the odds you can find for that prop, I would definitely consider taking McGregor to last the distance.Recent Fight History & Boxing Odds
Floyd Mayweather
- Won by Decision – September 12th, 2015 – vs. Andre Berto. Boxing Lines: -3000
- Won by Decision – May 2nd, 2015 – vs. Manny Pacquiao. Boxing Lines: -200
- Won by Decision – September 13th, 2014 – vs. Marcos Maidana. Boxing Lines: -600
- Won by Decision – May 3rd, 2014 vs. Marcos Maidana. Boxing Lines: -900
- Won by Decision – September 14th, 2013 vs. Canelo Alvarez. Boxing Lines: -300
Conor McGregor
- Won by TKO – November 12th, 2016 vs. Eddie Alvarez. UFC Odds: -195
- Won by Decision – August 20th, 2016 vs. Nate Diaz. UFC Odds: -155
- Lost by Submission – March 5, 2016 vs. Nate Diaz. UFC Odds: -400
- Won by KO – December 12th, 2015 vs. Jose Aldo. UFC Odds: -105
- Won by TKO – July 11th, 2015 vs. Chad Mendes. UFC Odds: -210
