Boston at Houston ALDS Game 2 MLB Odds & Betting Pick.

Boston at Houston ALDS Game 2 MLB Odds & Betting Pick

Written by on October 5, 2017

The Boston Red Sox and the Houston Astros open the second day of division series play with a matinee from Minute Maid Park. The Astros hold the home-field advantage in this series by virtue of their superior regular-season record, and they bring starter Dallas Keuchel to the mound opposite Boston’s Drew Pomeranz. You may want to see how Game 1 of the ALDS shakes out before doing any betting on this contest because right now the MLB odds for Game 2 are on hold, but it’s never too early to check out our expert analysis and other MLB lines to eventually increase your earnings.

Boston Red Sox at Houston Astros ALDS Game 2 MLB Odds & Betting Pick

  • When: Friday, October 6, 2017, 2:05pm ET
  • Where: Minute Maid Park, Houston
  • TV: FS1
  • Radio: ESPN Radio
  • Live Stream: MLB.tv
  • MLB Odds: TBA
  • Pitching Matchup: Drew Pomeranz (Boston; 17-6, 3.32 ERA) vs. Dallas Keuchel (Houston; 14-5, 2.90 ERA)

Weather Forecast

  • Clear: 31°C/88°F
  • Humidity: 42%
  • Precipitation: 0%
  • Cloud Cover: 26%
  • Wind: 4 mph NNE
  • Stadium Type: Retractable

NY YANKEES AT CLEVELAND ALDS GAME 1 ODDS & MLB BETTING PICK

Head to Head Statistics (Last 10 Games)

  • Runs: Boston Red Sox 4.40 / Houston Astros 5.60
  • Hits: Boston Red Sox 8.50 / Houston Astros 10.20
  • Walks: Boston Red Sox 2.80 / Houston Astros 4.40
  • Strike Outs: Boston Red Sox 7.90 / Houston Astros 8.60
  • Over/Under: Boston Red Sox 5-4-1 / Houston Astros 5-4-1

Why should you consider the Red Sox MLB Odds?

This will be Drew Pomeranz’s first playoff start, but he does have postseason experience with Boston, as he came out of the bullpen for the Sox during their playoff run a year ago. He should be quite familiar with the Astros’ lineup, as he saw them on Saturday in the last weekend of the regular season. He threw six strong innings, limiting the Houston lineup to a single run, although it should be noted that the Astros were resting some regulars ahead of the playoffs in that weekend series, with home field in the ALDS already wrapped up. Several of Houston’s best hitters have teed off on Pomeranz in the past. Jose Altuve (.417 career average, 1 RBI), Carlos Correa (.600), Jake Marisnick (.333, 2 HR, 4 RBI) and Cameron Maybin (.333) all likely look forward to seeing Pomeranz on Saturday afternoon. He has had more success against the likes of Carlos Beltran, Alex Bregman, Evan Gattis and Yuli Gurriel, who are all batting lower than .100 against him in their careers. If you like the Red Sox, then you see Pomeranz coming out strong in a day game and shutting down the Astros’ lineup.

Team Statistics

Offense
  • Runs: 4.85
  • Hits: 8.97
  • Walks: 3.52
  • Strike Outs: 7.56
Defense
  • Runs: 4.12
  • Hits: 8.55
  • Walks: 2.87
  • Strike Outs: 9.75

Why should you consider the Astros MLB Odds?

Dallas Keuchel has a Cy Young Award on his resume, and his last three starts in the regular season showed that he is ready for the postseason, as he posted a combined 2.00 ERA in those outings. He has struggled against Boston in the past, though, putting up an unsightly 9.88 ERA in three appearances (two starts). His postseason experience consists of three appearances in 2015 when he put up a 2.57 combined ERA. When Keuchel is on, there are few lefties in the American League that are as tough to hit, but which Keuchel will show up on Friday afternoon? The Astros home field advantage could produce a change in the MLB Odds for ALDS Game 2. Despite Keuchel’s awful historical numbers against Boston, he has pitched well against many of the regulars who will face him on Friday. Xander Bogaerts (.143), Mitch Moreland (.077) and Rajai Davis (.000 in 17 AB) have all had a hard time hitting against him. Only Bogaerts and Mookie Betts have ever homered off him. If you like the Astros here, then you see their patient lineup getting to Pomeranz (most of their best bats are right-handed, and Pomeranz is a lefty) and getting into that Boston bullpen early. But can Houston pull off two big offensive performances in a row?

Team Statistics

Offense
  • Runs: 5.53
  • Hits: 9.77
  • Walks: 3.14
  • Strike Outs: 6.71
Defense
  • Runs: 4.32
  • Hits: 8.11
  • Walks: 3.22
  • Strike Outs: 9.83

Latest MLB Betting Trends

  • Red Sox are 17-8 ATS in their last 25 games on the road
  • Red Sox are 5-0 SU in their last 5 games on the road
  • The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Boston’s last 5 games on the road
  • Astros are 10-3 ATS in their last 13 games at home
  • Astros are 11-2 SU in their last 13 games at home
  • The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Houston’s last 7 games at home

Expert Pick and Final Score Prediction

I picked Houston to win the series opener, but I’m not convinced that Keuchel can outpitch Pomeranz in this matchup. Pomeranz brings his best season so far to bear, in terms of wins, and he has the better of the two bullpens behind him. I see this one involving less offense than the opener the night before, simply because of the short turnaround time. I predict that Boston will win, 3-1, and the series will head to Fenway Park all tied up at a game apiece.