MLB Betting Analysis After Week 11: Four Pitchers you must Avoid

MLB Betting Analysis After Week 11: Four Pitchers you must Avoid

Los Angeles Angels prospect Jo Adell launched a home run on Tuesday that showed the Internet why the Halos picked him tenth overall in the 2017 MLB draft. He currently leads all of the minor leagues with 20 home runs in 2023. Playing for the Salt Lake Bees, he hit a blast in the eighth inning that tied the game and brought in three runs – and traveled 514 feet. This the longest dinger that MLB’s Statcast system has ever measured. Only three MLB home runs during the Statcast era have ever gone at least 500 feet; two 504-footers by Giancarlo Stanton (2016) and C.J. Cron (2022). Nomar Mazara hit a 505-foot shot in 2019 that set the MLB record. Stanton and Cron hit their blasts at Coors Field in Denver, where the air is thinner. Salt Lake City is also a high-altitude city, though. Adell has had a hard time hitting MLB-level pitching, although his one hit in the majors this year was a 451-foot home run. Maybe he could build on that if he came to bat against one of these struggling pitchers. Read on as you plan your MLB betting.

 

MLB Betting News: Pitchers to Avoid after Week 11 | MLB Lines

 

Roansy Contreras, Pittsburgh Pirates (3-6, 6.34 ERA)

Whether in the starting rotation or coming in out of the bullpen for long relief, Roansy Contreras is struggling mightily right now. In four appearances in June (three starts and one in relief) he has a 19.96 ERA, allowing 17 runs over six innings in starts against St. Louis, Oakland and the Cubs. He did throw two scoreless innings in relief in Milwaukee on Saturday, but he’s still got a lot of work to do before sports bettors can trust him.

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Jhony Brito, N.Y. Yankees (3-3, 5.58 ERA)

Jhony Brito’s struggles on the mound are one reason why the Yankees are looking so far up at the Tampa Bay Rays in the AL East. He’s having a tough time lasting in games; even when he pitches serviceably, as he did against Oakland on May 10, he only made it 4 ⅓ innings, allowing two runs on five hits, including a couple of long balls. His last outing only lasted four innings, and he allowed four runs on four hits. He’s been able to rely on some solid offensive support, as the Yankees have won the last three games he’s started, but they can’t hit that well each time he starts.

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Graham Ashcraft, Cincinnati Reds (3-5, 6.78 ERA)

Graham Ashcraft has been on the 15-day IL but is set to rejoin the Reds’ rotation in two days. His ERA was a solid 2.00 after a nice six-inning outing against the San Diego Padres on May 2, but since then, he has allowed seven or more runs in four of his last seven starts, and he got knocked out of his last outing against the Dodgers after just 2 ⅔ innings. I expect him to have some rust to knock off for at least two or three starts after his return from the IL.

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Carlos Carrasco, N.Y. Mets (2-3, 6.34 ERA)

Carlos Carrasco finished May with a couple of nice starts, holding the Cubs and Phillies to a run apiece over 12 ⅔ combined innings. Since then, though, he has lasted five, 4 ⅔ and three innings respectively in losses to the Braves, Pirates and Cardinals, allowing a combined 12 runs (11 earned) on 17 hits, including four home runs. Carrasco was brought to the Mets because of his potential at the front of the rotation, but those kinds of numbers aren’t going to work.


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