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Top MLB Betting Pick for Wednesday (June 21st)
.@DaveValleMLB and @KellyNash rank the best teams in baseball right now on #TheRundown pic.twitter.com/bkbCrLi7q7
— MLB Network (@MLBNetwork) June 20, 2017
Boston at Kansas City (2:15pm ET, FSKC / NESN)
Boston has dropped three of five, including the opener of this series in a 4-2 Kansas City win on Monday night. The Royals showed plenty of poise in that game, as Jason Hammel provided a throwback performance on the mound, reminding the Kansas City faithful why they spent so much money to pry him away from the Chicago Cubs. Eric Hosmer delivered a two-run blast, and Whit Merrifield drove in the winning run in the seventh inning. The Royals have now won eight games of nine — and Boston still sits on the verge of taking over first place in that American League East race, now that the Yankees have settled back down to earth.Who Will Start on Wednesday?
The Red Sox start Drew Pomeranz (6-4, 4.19 ERA) while the Royals send Ian Kennedy (1-6, 5.03 ERA) to the hill. Pomeranz has a 3.41 ERA in road games this year, and on Friday he permitted just one run on four hits in 6 ⅓ innings. Kennedy finally picked up his first win of the season, taking a perfect game into the sixth inning. Lorenzo Cain is the only Royal who has ever gotten a hit off Pomeranz, and I see him outpitching Kennedy in this one, with the Red Sox favored in the MLB betting odds, winning, 5-3.Latest MLB Betting Trends
- Boston is 3-6 ATS in its last 9 games
- Kansas City is 8-1 ATS and SU in its last 9 games
- The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Boston’s last 5 games
- The total has gone OVER in 10 of Kansas City’s last 14 games
Cleveland at Baltimore (7:05pm ET, STOh / MASN)
Baltimore put up a combined 23 runs on St. Louis in some big wins on Saturday and Sunday…and then put up a big goose egg in their series opener against the Tribe on Monday night, as Corey Kluber threw his fifth career complete-game shutout, scattering three hits as Cleveland rolled to a 12-0 laugher behind home runs from Jason Kipnis and Carlos Santana. That’s six straight for the Indians, who have rolled into first place in the American League Central.
Who Will Take the Mound Come Wednesday?
On Wednesday, Cleveland starts Carlos Carrasco (7-3, 3.21 ERA), while the Orioles send Kevin Gausman (3-6, 6.60 ERA) to the mound. Carrasco looked terrific on Friday, permitting just four hits and a single run and fanning seven in 6 ⅓ innings to beat the Twins, 8-1. He’s been even better away from the reservation this season, posting a 5-1 record and a 2.89 ERA in seven starts. Gausman continues to struggle, needing 116 pitches to complete 5 ⅔ innings on Friday night, permitting five earned runs on nine hits. He did strike out seven — but his control was an issue as he walked three, and he also left too many pitches out over the heart of the plate. Taking into consideration the latest MLB betting trends, I see the Tribe winning this one, 5-1.Latest MLB Betting Trends
- Cleveland is 5-0 ATS and SU in its last 5 games
- Baltimore is 3-9 ATS and SU in its last 12 games
- The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Cleveland’s last 6 games on the road
- The total has gone OVER in 5 of Baltimore’s last 6 games
Houston at Oakland (10:05pm ET, NSCA / RTSW)
The Astros continue to scuffle a little bit, as they have dropped five of eight — but they did win the opener of their series in Oakland, knocking off the A’s, 4-1 on Monday night. George Springer belted his 20th home run of the season, and Derek Fisher and Jake Marisnick also went deep in the victory. The Athletics saw a four-game winning streak — a four-game home sweep of the New York Yankees over the weekend — come to an end in the loss.Who Will Start the Series for Both Teams?
Both teams have starting pitchers with similar ERAs — Mike Fiers brings a 4.00 mark for the Astros, while Sean Manaea has a 4.01 ERA for Oakland. Manaea has a 5-0 record in his last six starts, with a 2.84 combined ERA over that stretch. That includes a no-decision his last time out, when he permitted five earned runs in six innings against New York — a game that the Athletics came back and won. Fiers has gone seven innings and permitted one run or fewer in each of his last two starts. He has posted a 1.78 ERA and 24 strikeouts in 25 ⅓ innings, over his last four starts combined. Given that Houston has rebounded a bit from their three-game slide early last week, and given how well Fiers has pitched, I see Houston winning, 4-2.Latest MLB Betting Trends
- Houston is 16-8 SU in its last 24 games
- Oakland is 4-1 ATS and SU in its last 5 games
- The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Houston’s last 7 games
- The total has gone OVER in 8 of Oakland’s last 12 games
