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Read on to get our NBA betting odds and insights on this showdown. For the first time since the Miami Heat traded disgruntled Jimmy Butler to the Golden State Warriors on February 6, the two teams will square off in front of the Miami faithful.
The Warriors shipped Andrew Wiggins, Kyle Anderson, and a protected top-ten first-round pick in the 2025 draft for Butler, and Davion Mitchell also came south from Toronto as part of a three-team trade.
That ended a period of turmoil between the team and Butler, who had requested a trade.
The team had suspended Butler three times (seven games, then two games, and finally five games) for various violations (including for walking out of practice before the third suspension) before trading him.
Butler won’t stay at the team hotel during the Warriors’ four-day sojourn down to South Beach so that he can see his three young children, an arrangement that caused friction between Butler and teammates when he was with the Heat.
What kind of drama will ensue on Tuesday night? The Heat have dropped nine out of ten and sit at 30-41, but they still lead Toronto by 5 ½ games for the tenth seed in the East – and a spot in the play-in tournament.
The Warriors, by contrast, have won eight of ten and now sit in sixth in the West, which would guarantee them that seed in the playoffs if the season ended today.
Betting Warriors vs Heat NBA Betting Odds, Spread and Totals
NBA Odds: Golden State -5.5 / O/U 216.5
When: Tuesday, March 25, 2025, 7:30 pm ET
Where: Kaseya Center, Miami
TV: TNT
Radio: No National Broadcast
Live Stream: Max
NBA Betting Odds provided by Xbet
Why should you bet on the Warriors?
Steph Curry
Curry is listed as questionable for this game with a pelvic contusion, but the Warriors could use him back in the lineup as soon as possible so they can hold on to that sixth spot in the West and avoid the dangers of a play-in tournament. The Warriors lost on Saturday to Atlanta, 124-115, despite entering as a 2 ½-point favorite. Even with that loss, though, they remain a half-game ahead of the Minnesota Timberwolves in the West and seven games ahead of Dallas to stay at least in the play-in field.
Halftime
Against Atlanta, they were down 17 after the first period and never could come all the way back. They got the deficit down to six shortly after halftime, but they couldn’t get any closer. The Warriors shot 46.4% from the field and went 16 of 38 from behind the arc, but the Hawks shot 57% on the night. The top scorer for the Warriors was Butler, who had 25 points as well as eight assists.
The Golden State offense has been average this season as they rank 18th with 113.4 points per game. Their rebounding (45.6 per game) and assists (29.1 per game) both rank fourth in the NBA. Their scoring defense is above average, ranking eighth, as they permit 110.9 points per game. Butler has moved into the second-leading scorer role, putting up 17.3 points, 5.6 boards and 5.5 assists per game.
Curry leads the team with 24.2 points, 6.0 assists, and 4.4 rebounds per game, while Draymond Green averages 6.2 rebounds. Other notable scorers include Hield (11.2), Podziemski (10.5), Looney (10.0), and Moody (10.0). The team shoots 45.0% overall and ranks fourth in three-pointers made.
^Why should you put your money on the Heat?
Game Review
The Heat snapped a 10-game home losing streak with a 122-105 victory over Charlotte, covering a 7½-point spread. Despite trailing by six after the first quarter and by as much as twelve before halftime, they surged with a 22-2 run to lead by ten at halftime. They maintained control, finishing with 57.3% shooting and forcing 19 turnovers.
Andrew Wiggins dropped 42 points and five assists on Charlotte in the win. The Heat won the first matchup with the Warriors this season, 114-98 out in the Bay Area, but Jimmy Butler was wearing a Miami uniform back in January when they met.
On the season, the Heat is struggling to score, putting up just 109.2 points per game, which ranks 26th. Their rebounding ranks 24th (42.9 per game). Their scoring defense is fairly solid, limiting opponents to 110.6 points per game, which ranks seventh. The top scorer is Tyler Herro (23.5 points per game), and he also puts up 5.6 assists and 5.3 rebounds per game.
Top Players
The top rebounder is Adebayo (9.7), and the other double-digit scorers are Wiggins (18.4), Terry Rozier (11.2), Duncan Robinson (11.0), and Nikola Jokić (10.7). They rank 19th in field goal shooting (46.0%) and 17th in three-point shooting (35.9%). They make 13.5 three-points per game, which ranks 12th. The biggest name on the injury list for the Heat is Robinson (back), but he’s a game-time decision (to consider in the NBA betting odds).
^Final Score and Prediction
Since Butler went west, Golden State has gone 16-4 – and the Heat have gone 5-17, falling all the way down from first place in the Southeast Division to the last spot in the play-in tournament.
Curry is still questionable, but the Warriors have a ton of depth. Yes, the Heat just ended a 10-game skid, but Charlotte is one of the league’s worst teams, and Miami fell behind by a dozen before waking up. At home, Miami is just 16-19. Golden State to win and cover.
^ 
PLAYOFF PICTURE
— NBA (@NBA) March 25, 2025
▪️ West 3-5 (DEN, LAL, MEM) all tied in loss column
▪️ MIL & DET (East #5 & #6) separated by 0.5 games
The #NBAPlayoffs presented by Google begin April 19! pic.twitter.com/cou5TOCm4j
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