2017 Cure Bowl Betting Preview: Western Kentucky vs. Georgia St.

2017 Cure Bowl Betting Preview: Western Kentucky vs. Georgia St.

Written by on December 13, 2017

The first bowl games of the 2017-18 season are getting underway, and this year’s AutoNation Cure Bowl features the Western Kentucky Hilltoppers and the Georgia State Panthers. Both of these teams squeaked into bowl qualification with six wins. Georgia State lost their final home game at home to Idaho, 24-10, to finish at 6-5, while Western Kentucky lost four of five to finish at 6-6. These teams have met once before, down at Georgia State in 2013. The Hilltoppers came away with a 44-28 road win in that tilt. Check out our NCAAF lines preview for one of the better bowl matchups in the opening weekend of the college postseason.

2017 Cure Bowl Betting Preview: Western Kentucky vs. Georgia St.

When: Saturday, December 16, 2017, 2:30pm ET Where: Camping World Stadium, Orlando, FL TV: CBSSports.com Radio: Hilltopper IMG Radio Network / WCNN 680 AM Atlanta Live Stream: CBSSports.com Cure Bowl Odds: Western Kentucky (-6.5), O/U 52

Weather Forecast

  • Chance of Thunderstorm: 22°C/72°F
  • Humidity: 48%
  • Precipitation: 0%
  • Wind: 6 mph NE
  • Cloud Cover: 8%
  • Type of Stadium: Open

Why should you bet on the Hilltoppers?

The defense for Western Kentucky really fell off the table down the stretch, as they permitted 35.5 points per game in their last six games after permitting just 18.2 points per game in the first six. That was a major factor in their dropping four out of five and barely qualifying for bowl status. Western Kentucky does have the experience of a big bowl win last year to motivate them, as they took down Memphis in the Boca Raton Bowl, 51-31. The Hilltoppers do not face an elite offense in Georgia State, but they will need to be able to mount credible pass coverage and get rushers into the face of Connor Manning. The Hilltoppers have scored 26.2 points per game this year, good for 84th among FBS programs. Quarterback Mike White has been the catalyst on office, throwing for 3,836 yards and firing 24 touchdown passes against just seven interceptions. If he can get the passing game up and running, the Hilltoppers can score points in a hurry. That glut of poor defense in the second half of the season pushed the points permitted average to 26.8 for the whole season, a trend that Western Kentucky will need to reverse if they plan to win a bowl game for the second season in a row.

Why should you put your money on the Panthers?

This is Georgia State’s second bowl appearance in just five seasons playing at the Football Bowl Subdivision (FBS) level. This is also their second appearance in the AutoNation Cure Bowl; back in 2015, they faced San Jose State and lost, 27-16. Their season started slowly with two losses, but then they won six of seven to punch their postseason ticket — and then dropped their last two. Connor Manning has done a good job at the quarterback position, completing 63.7% of his passes and throwing 13 touchdown passes against just seven interceptions. Over the last four games, he has thrown for almost 290 yards per contest. The Georgia State defense has been fairly average this year (as one might expect from a six-win team). They are #61 in the nation in yards permitted per game (391.4) and allow 25.5 points per game, which ranks them #55. Western Kentucky has a stout offense that will generate points, so the Panthers need Manning to guide them up and down the field and put up plenty of points of their own. The potential for this to turn into something of a track meet is why the point total is a bit higher than average. If you like Georgia State, you see Manning able to do this, and you see the Panther defense able to keep the Hilltoppers within reach.

Latest Cure Bowl Betting Trends

  • Western Kentucky is 3-9 ATS in its last 12 games
  • Western Kentucky is 14-6 SU in its last 20 games
  • Georgia State is 1-5 ATS in its last 6 games
  • Georgia State is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games
  • The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Georgia State’s last 6 games

Expert Pick and Final Prediction

It’s great to see Georgia State back in a bowl game, even though they dropped their last two games. Both teams come in needing to reverse some negative momentum. Given the fact that Western Kentucky has the stronger offense, I see the Hilltoppers winning by a final score of 34-24.