Best 2019 College Football Win Total Bets in Each Conference

Best 2019 College Football Win Total Bets in Each Conference

We’re less than six weeks away from the first games in the 2019 college football season, which means it is time to take a closer look at one of the more interesting futures opportunities in sports betting — win-loss totals. If you have done the research on a particular team, you may be able to take advantage of a gap between the total that the sports book have set for a team and what you know is a realistic total. We have the 2019 College Football win total odds for you to consider in each of the Power 5 conferences plus the American Athletic Conference.

Best 2019 College Football Win Total Bets in Each Conference

AAC

SMU

The Mustangs’ fate here might depend on their opener, as they head to Arkansas State, where the Red Wolves are favored by three points. SMU has won two of three overall against Arkansa State but lost in their only previous trip to Jonesboro. After that, the Mustangs host North Texas, who beat SMU a year ago, before hosting Texas State and then going to TCU. It would be surprising to see SMU with a record better than 2-2 after their non-conference slate. Then they go to South Florida and host Tulsa, and neither of those games is a gimme. However, having transfer Shane Buechele at quarterback should boost the SMU offense, and their defense had a solid recruiting year. I see them going into the bye at 3-3. Then they host Temple and visit Houston (who has Dana Holgorsen as their new coach) and Memphis. Then comes Homecoming against AAC basement-dweller East Carolina, and so at that point I see them at 5-5. Then they head to Navy, where they never win, and host Tulane in the season finale. With 6-6 looking like a best case scenario, I’m taking the under.

ACC

Virginia

The Cavaliers finished 7-5 last season, their first winning season in seven years. Bronco Mendenhall has turned things around since coming over from BYU two years ago. Three of those five losses were by no more than four points. They also had a lot of bad luck, recovering only a third of their opponents’ fumbles. They did lose tailback Jordan Ellis and receiver Olamide Zaccheaus, but they still have Bryce Perkins, who might be the best quarterback in the ACC not named Trevor Lawrence. Perkins averaged 7.7 yards per attempt and completed 64.5% of his passes, throwing for 25 touchdowns against nine picks. He also ran for 923 yards (1,124 yards if you take out the losses for sacks). Cornerback Bryce Hall returned to make the defense still the better unit on this team. Non-conference play includes William & Mary, Old Dominion, Liberty and Notre Dame, so 3-1 is definitely possible. They don’t play Clemson this year, so there are only two games where the Cavaliers are likely to be underdogs, at Notre Dame and at Miami. They finish the season at home against Virginia Tech, who has beaten the Cavaliers 15 straight years. I’m taking the over.

Big Ten

Wisconsin

In 2018, a lot of observers (including me) thought that Wisconsin could scoot through a soft Big Ten West, knock off the Big Ten East winner and make it to the College Football Playoff. Well…not so much. Quarterback Alex Hornibrook has graduated, which means that Jack Coan or Graham Mertz will be the new signal-caller. This is going to be a younger Badger squad than what we have seen in recent years, and D’Cota Dixon and T.J. Edwards leave some big holeson defense. The Badgers do get both Michigan and Michigan State at home, which could lead to one upset but probably not two. They have to go to Ohio State, and while they host both Iowa and Purdue, those schools have improved significantly. Then they had to Nebraska, which is definitely up and coming. I’m taking the under.

Big 12

Texas

Theoretically, the Longhorns could lose to both LSU and Oklahoma and still get to 10 wins, and get the over. Sam Ehlinger returns to lead the Texas attack, and let’s remember that the Longhorns beat Georgia in their bowl game at the end of last season. Was Georgia disappointed by their loss in the SEC Championship? Absolutely. But Texas has the defense to stand tall this season, and they have a quarterback who has come into his own. The Longhorns open with Louisiana Tech and LSU in home games, before heading to face Rice in a neutral-site game that is still in Houston, and then they open Big 12 play at home against Oklahoma State. That could be a 4-0 start without a true road game going into their first bye week. Then they head to West Virginia, which was a lot scarier before the Mountaineers’ coach went to Houston. Then comes the neutral-site game against Oklahoma before a home game against Kansas — and a date at TCU against a Horned Frogs team that is on the decline. A 7-1 record at this point is quite realistic. Then comes a home game against Kansas State, also with a new coach, games at Iowa State (frequently a house of horrors for Texas) and at Baylor — improving, but not good enough to knock off Texas. Finally comes the finale against Texas Tech — another Big 12 team with a new head coach. I’m taking the over.

Pac-12

Oregon State

You don’t often see the Beavers showing up in sports betting articles. Last year was another dreadful campaign, as Oregon State permitted at least 34 points in every game except a 48-25 home victory over FCS foe Southern Utah. Oregon State was the only team in the nation not to force at least 10 turnovers. However, they still won two games last year. The whole defense is returning, and then are bringing in two four-star linebackers via transfer. They are also getting back two blue-chip redshirt players from injury. The offense is pretty solid, with tailback Jermar Jefferson rumbling for 1,380 yards, setting a school record for a freshman. Jake Luton returns at quarterback, completing 62.5% of his passes and throwing 10 touchdowns against four picks. The Beavers will only be favored once, against Cal Poly, but they head to Hawaii in a winnable game as well. With their overall improvement, I’m taking the over.

SEC

Arkansas

Arkansas had a dreadful campaign in Chad Morris’ first season, going 0-8 in SEC play and getting routed at home by Sun Belt Conference opponent North Texas, a game that featured a trick punt return play that fooled the Razorbacks and went viral. The Hogs also went to Colorado State and gave up a double-digit second-half lead. This year, Arkansas opens with Portland State and then heads to Ole Miss, another team that should struggle this year. Then comes the rematch at Colorado State, this time at home, and a game against San Jose State. Arkansas could come out of that 3-1, going into their neutral-site game against Texas A&M in Dallas. I see the Aggies rolling there, so that would put Arkansas at 3-2 going into the bye. Then comes a trip to Kentucky, who will be down this year after a 10-win 2018, but that’s a tough road game. Then a home game against Auburn, a trip to Alabama, and Homecoming against Mississippi State. Let’s be optimistic about Homecoming and put the Razorbacks at 4-5. Then they face Western Kentucky at home — and then visit LSU and host Missouri in Little Rock. That still sounds like 5-7 to me. I’m taking the under.