2019 College Football Week 11 Odds, Overview & Top Picks

SMU’s shot at their first unbeaten season since 1982 came to an end on Saturday night in Memphis, as the Tigers held on to beat the Mustangs, 54-48. The prime-time matchup on ABC brought ESPN’s College GameDay to Memphis for the first time, and the matchup paid off — but ended up as a push, as the point spread was exactly six points in a lot of books. The top three teams in the nation (Alabama, LSU and Ohio State) were all idle for the first time in decades, and Georgia made a statement by beating Florida in the World’s Largest Cocktail Party. Out west, Oregon State thumped Arizona by 18, to give the Beavers a 4-4 record, more wins that they won in 2017 and 2018 combined. Don’t look now, but the Beavers are also 3-2 in conference play. Purdue spoiled Nebraska’s hopes at a shot at the Big Ten West title with a four-point win. What sort of shenanigans will ensue in College Football Week 11? Don’t miss our sports betting overview, along with the latest NCAAF odds.

2019 College Football Week 11 Odds, Overview & Top Picks

The first College Football Playoff rankings of the season will be released Tuesday night. For playoff contenders, starting 3rd has been bad news. by @ralphdrussoAPhttps://t.co/GLVzoLVpof

— AP Top 25 (@AP_Top25) November 5, 2019

LSU (+6) at Alabama

This game features the top-ranked Tigers and the second-ranked Crimson Tide, but if we’re honest with each other, this game doesn’t mean all that much in terms of College Football Playoff standings. Unless one team routs the other, they will both remain in the top four, because the CFP committee has shown in the past that it will allow SEC teams to make the national semifinals even if they don’t make their own conference championship game. LSU’s offense is as good as it has been since the Les Miles era, but it won’t matter much in the SEC if they can’t prove themselves against the Tide. Alabama quarterback Tua Tagovailoa should be back from his ankle injury, and I see Alabama winning a nail-biter. College Football Week 11 Prediction: Alabama 31, LSU 27

Penn State (-6.5) at Minnesota

This will be the first major test on the Golden Gophers’ schedule. If they win, they basically sew up the Big Ten West title, and they would also put Penn State on the ropes as far as a Big Ten East title would go. In Big Ten play, Minnesota has won their last four games by a combined 127 points, with their most impressive result coming in a 34-7 rout of Nebraska on October 12. They come out of their bye this week to face a Nittany Lions team that is similarly rested, having beaten Michigan State by 21 on the road two weeks ago. The two teams’ scores against Purdue are similar, so I’m not sure why the Nittany Lions are favored by this wide a spread on the road, except for the movement of betting money. College Football Week 11 Prediction: Minnesota 30, Penn State 28

Missouri (+14.5) at Georgia

The Bulldogs are back in charge of the SEC East after beating Florida in Jacksonville last weekend. Now they have a beatable SEC East opponent coming to town. This should be easy, right? It wasn’t so easy against South Carolina, and I’m not sure Georgia has the mental strength in a trap game situation to a team with a quick-strike offense like what Missouri has. College Football Week 11 Prediction: Georgia 34, Missouri 24

Baylor (-1) at TCU

The Bears are still unbeaten — but they still haven’t cracked the top ten. Why? Because they haven’t played anyone elite yet. That will change over the next three weeks as they face TCU, Oklahoma and Texas. TCU struggled in the first half of the season but then posted a surprising upset of Texas. Baylor has an explosive offense, but TCU has a defense that can be stifling when they decide to be. It’s possible that this could be a trap game for the Bears, with their eyes on the upcoming matchups against the Sooners and Longhorns. Even so, I see Matt Rhule keeping the Bears focused. College Football Week 11 Prediction: Baylor 24, TCU 20