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Air Force at Michigan NCAAF Odds & Betting Preview for Week 3
When: Saturday, September 16, 2017, 12:00 PM ET Where: Michigan Stadium, Ann Arbor, MI TV: BTN Radio: Air Force IMG Sports Network / Michigan IMG Sports Network Live Stream: BTN2Go NCAAF Odds: Michigan -24.5, O/U 53.5Series History
- Total Meetings: 2
- First Meeting: September 26th, 1964. Ann Arbor, Michigan
- Last Meeting: September 8th, 2012. Ann Arbor, Michigan
- All-Time Series: Michigan 2-0-0
- Largest Margin of Victory: Michigan 24-7 (1964)
- Longest Win Streak: Michigan 2 (1964-2012)
- Current Win Streak: Michigan 2 (1964-2012)
Latest Betting Trends
- Air Force is 4-2 ATS in its last 6 games
- Air Force is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
- The total has gone OVER in 4 of Air Force’s last 5 games
- Michigan is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games
- Michigan is 13-3 SU in its last 16 games
- The total has gone OVER in 18 of Michigan’s last 23 games
Why should you bet on the Falcons?
If you saw Tennessee struggle against Georgia Tech in Week One, then you know just how potent the triple option can be. Not many teams run the offense, so preparing to defend it can be maddening — and with the right personnel, it can be hard to stop. Air Force gained 647 yards against VMI, rolling up 32 first downs and holding onto the ball for more than 35 minutes. Quarterback Arion Worthman keyed the attack, going 8 for 12 for 172 yards and a pair of touchdowns and also running for 33 yards and a touchdown. Timothy McVey had 10 carries for 98 yards and another touchdown, and Parker Wilson and Nolan Eriksen combined for 90 yards and a touchdown on just eight carries. So this is an offense that can move. On the defensive side of the ball, Air Force will have a much bigger challenge from Wilton Speight and the Michigan offense than they did against VMI. If you think the Falcons can prevail here, then you see the option giving Michigan just enough fits to keep the Falcon offense on the field long enough to avoid falling behind by 3 ½ touchdowns. VMI was not able to score a single point against Air Force, but we feel confident that Michigan will be able to break through.Team Statistics
Offense:- Average Score For: 62
- Total Yards: 647
- Rush Yards: 457
- Passing Yards: 190
- Average Score Against: 15.5
- Total Yards: 196.5
- Rush Yards: 39.5
- Passing Yards: 156.5
Why should you put your money on the Wolverines?
Even on a day when the offense is not firing on all cylinders, as was the case last week against Cincinnati, Michigan’s defense can step up and carry the game. Against the Bearcats, Michigan had a pair of defensive touchdowns and a safety as part of their scoring, and the Wolverines also rolled up 414 yards on offense and gained 16 first downs. Ball security was a concern for Michigan, as they gave the ball up twice, so if Michigan is going to cover this line, they will have to do a better job of hanging onto the ball. So far, Michigan has permitted just 15.5 points per game. They have not yet run into a triple option team this year, but they do have the sideline-to- sideline pursuit speed that teams need to keep up with an option attack. If you like Michigan here, you think that they can score relatively quickly, while also keeping Air Force from mounting sustained drives with that dangerous option attack.Team Statistics
Offense:- Average Score For: 34.5
- Total Yards: 423.5
- Rush Yards: 204
- Passing Yards: 219.5
- Average Score Against: 0
- Total Yards: 95
- Rush Yards: 55
- Passing Yards: 40
