Baylor and TCU will renew the “Revivalry,” a series between the two largest Christian universities in the state of Texas, this Saturday. The two teams have played 114 times dating back to 1899, when the two sides played to a scoreless tie. The series is extremely close, with TCU having won 55 times, Baylor having won 52 times and seven games ending in ties. TCU has won the last four in a row, dating back to the 2015 season, but Baylor comes in with a perfect record and ranked #11 in the nation. A win would almost certainly propel them into the top ten, given that TCU upset Texas. Can the Bears keep going? Or will TCU bring Baylor’s unbeaten season to an end? We have your sports betting preview of this Big 12 clash right here.
Baylor vs TCU 2019 College Football Week 11 Odds & Preview
Next up: TCU 🗓️» https://t.co/VU843gMBAH#SicEm pic.twitter.com/2ZXrxbEx4j — Baylor Football (@BUFootball) November 5, 2019
- When: Saturday, November 9, 12:00 pm ET
- Where: Amon G. Carter Stadium, Fort Worth, TX
- TV: FS1
- Radio: Baylor IMG Sports Network / TCU Sports Network
- Live Stream: FOX Sports GO
- College Football Week 11 Odds: Baylor -2 / O/U 48.5
Why should you bet on the Bears?
Baylor leads the Big 12 standings going into this game with a 5-0 conference record. However, their unbeaten record does show some potential flaws. After all, they beat Conference USA foe Rice by just eight points and only beat Iowa State by two points at home. However, they did drill Kansas State (who beat Oklahoma) by 19 points on the road, and they beat Oklahoma State on the road by 18. Last week, though, they struggled at home against a weak West Virginia side, winning by just three points. So which Baylor team will show up?
Quarterback Charlie Brewer has been terrific for the Bears this season. He has a 14:3 TD:INT ratio and 2,143 passing yards. His top target has been wideout Denzel Mims, who has caught 38 passes for 618 yards and six scores. If you like Baylor, you think they can put the hammer down on offense like they did at Kansas State and at Oklahoma State, where they ran off three late touchdowns to turn a tight game into a laughter.
Why should you put your money on the Horned Frogs?
TCU comes in with a 4-4 record, but there is more to the story than just the numbers. They did get routed at Iowa State, losing by 25, but their other three losses (to SMU, Kansas State and Oklahoma State) were by no more than a touchdown. At home, TCU has been rock solid, beating Texas by 10, routing Kansas by 37 and beating Arkansas-Pine Bluff by 32. So when it comes to scoring points, the Horned Frogs can get the job done.
The primary issues for TCU have come on defense. They stand at #59 in the FBS rankings in points permitted per game (26.1), but over the last four weeks, that number has climbed, with the team permitting 33.5 points per game over that stretch. Baylor scores 36.1 points per game, good for #24 among FBS teams, and so without a concerted effort on the defensive side of the ball (usually a strong point for teams coached by Gary Patterson), the Horned Frogs will have a hard time staying with the track meet that Baylor likes to run each week.
Final Score Prediction
When it comes to the point spread, neither team has been particularly consistent this season. TCU has covered three times in eight games, while Baylor has covered just four times in their eight straight-up wins. So when it comes to picking a winner against the spread, I like TCU to do the job at home, like they did against Texas, because Baylor has just been too inconsistent as of late, while the Frogs are trending upward. Another solid pick here could be the “over,” because both teams are in the top third of the FBS rankings in points scored. I predict a final score of TCU 37, Baylor 34.