The world of college football is about to change seismically, with Texas and Oklahoma moving from the Big 12 to the SEC and Washington, Oregon, UCLA, and USC moving from the Pac-12 to the Big Ten. Arizona, Arizona State, Utah, and Colorado left the Pac-12 to join the Big 12, and Stanford, Cal, and SMU may join the ACC. These changes will make it more challenging for the top teams to hit 11 or 12 wins each season starting in 2024. For example, Iowa will lose Northwestern as an opponent in 2024 – and get a trip to USC instead. This year, though, Georgia has a fairly easy stroll through their SEC slate. Let’s take a look at some of the best and worst sports betting options when it comes to College Football Win Total props.
College Football Win Total: 5 Best and 5 Worst for 2023 | Bet College Football Betting Lines
College Football Win Total
Best: Ohio State over 10 ½ wins
The Buckeyes are likely to be big favorites just about every week until the last game of the regular season – a trip to Michigan Stadium. They do face Notre Dame and Wisconsin on the road, and Penn State will be tough to play at home, but this is a team with elite players at tailback and wide receiver. Whichever quarterback wins the battle (between Kyle McCord and Devin Brown), the Buckeyes should be primed for a huge offensive year. Ohio State has won 11 games in eight of the past 10 full regular seasons (excepting 2020, shortened by the COVID-19 pandemic), so this is a solid over pick.
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College Football Win Total
Worst: Cincinnati over 5 ½ games
Cincinnati had already started to come back to earth last year after making the CFP in 2021, and now that Luke Fickell has left for Wisconsin, this could be a rough season. Emory Jones transfers in at quarterback, and the O-line and the receiver group are lal rebuilt. The secondary is also a problem, particularly at quarterback. They have to play BYU, West Virginia, Houston, and Pitt (non-conference) on the road, so it’s hard to find a lot of easy W’s on this schedule.
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College Football Win Total
Best: Kentucky over 7 wins
Excluding 2020, Kentucky has won seven games in the regular seasons in five straight seasons, so getting to the push seems like a no-brainer. Offensive coordinator Liam Coen has returned to Lexington after serving as the L.A. Rams’ OC for a season. Devin Leary transfers in from NC State to call the signals, giving Coen a solid weapon. The Wildcats do see Alabama this year, but they also start with Ball State, Eastern Kentucky, Akron, Vanderbilt, and Florida – a possible 5-0 start. They do play Tennessee, but they get them at home after a bye week, while the Volunteers will have played at Alabama the week before.
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College Football Win Total
Worst: East Carolina over 5 ½ games
The AAC has softened a bit, losing Cincinnati, UCF and Houston to the Big 12, but the Pirates open at Michigan and are starting with a new quarterback, a new featured tailback, and a new receiver group after all those skill players went to the NFL. The defense at East Carolina has never been a real focus, so this could be a slog.
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College Football Win Total
Best: Minnesota under 7 wins
Minnesota went 8-4 in both 2021 and 2022, but now they don’t have quarterback Tanner Morgan or tailback Mo Ibrahim, who leaves with the school’s all time rushing yardage record. The Golden Gophers have North Carolina instead of Colorado in nonconference play, and in Big Ten play, Minnesota has to take on both Ohio State and Michigan; neither of those was on the Golden Gophers’ slate last year.
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College Football Win Total
Worst: Boston College under 5 ½ wins
The O-line had a ton of injuries last year, which meant that quarterback Phil Jurkovec had to run for his life. The Eagles lost him to Pitt via the transfer portal, and wide receiver Zay Flowers is now in the NFL, but this could be a surprise spoiler in the ACC. The O-line will be better as all-conference guard Christian Mahogany returns from injury. Emmett Morehead is the new starting quarterback, and Ryan O’Keefe transferred in from UCF to run routes. The Eagles don’t see Clemson, Notre Dame, or North Carolina in ACC play.
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College Football Win Total
Best: Oklahoma State over 6 ½ wins
The toughest nonconference game that the Cowboys have this year comes against a rebuilding Arizona State team with a new head coach. In conference play, Oklahoma State gets to play all of the new teams (UCF, Houston, Cincinnati, and BYU) but does not have to play Texas. Alan Bowman has transferred in at quarterback, and Mike Gundy tends to produce top-level quarterbacks.
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College Football Win Total
Worst: N.C. State under 6 ½ games
The Wolfpack started 2022 with a 5-1 record but hit the skids and finished 8-5. Quarterback Brennan Armstrong transferred in from Virginia, along with his former OC, Robert Anae. Bradley Rozner transferred in from Rice to play wide receiver, and he will help upgrade the offense. The defense has strong cornerbacks and veteran linebacker Payton Wilson returns from injury. With a fairly accessible non-conference slate, this team should be over .500.
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College Football Win Total
Best: Iowa over 8 ½ wins
The Hawkeyes had a 7-5 regular season last year, losing to Michigan and Ohio State. They don’t have to play either Big Ten East foe this year. They also fell to Iowa State last year for the first time in eight seasons. Iowa always has a mean defense, and the offense can only improve with Cade McNamara transferring in from Michigan to play quarterback.
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College Football Win Total
Worst: Nebraska over 6 ½ games
Matt Rhule made himself a name at Temple, and then he did well enough with Art Briles’ former players at Baylor to get an NFL slot in Carolina. That didn’t work so well, so now he will be the latest attempt to return Cornhusker football to the glory days of Tom Osborne. Jeff Sims will be a decent quarterback, as he can throw and run effectively, but depth is a problem. The O-line and wide receiver group are mixed bags, and the personnel groups could be much better. Rhule has a recruiting challenge ahead of him, and this year could turn out 3-9 or 4-8.
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College Football Betting Odds for National Championship | Top 20
| Updated at August 25th | |
|---|---|
| Team | Odds |
| Georgia Bulldogs | +222 |
| Alabama Crimson Tide | +580 |
| Ohio State Buckeyes | +710 |
| Michigan Wolverines | +890 |
| LSU Tigers | +1350 |
| USC Trojans | +1450 |
| Clemson Tigers | +1600 |
| Florida State Seminoles | +2100 |
| Penn State Nittany Lions | +2100 |
| Texas Longhorns | +2300 |
| Tennessee Volunteers | +2800 |
| Notre Dame Fighting Irish | +2900 |
| Washington Huskies | +3100 |
| Oregon Ducks | +3400 |
| Oregon State Beavers | +5000 |
| Texas A&M Aggies | +5400 |
| Oklahoma Sooners | +5600 |
| Washington State Cougars | +6000 |
| Utah Utes | +6000 |
| Wisconsin Badgers | +6600 |
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