College Football Week 10: Betting AP Top 25 Teams & Ranking Analysis - 2024 Season

College Football Week 10: Betting AP Top 25 Teams & Ranking Analysis – 2024 Season

Betting AP Top 25 Teams | Which Group of Five team is the likeliest candidate for one of the 12 slots in the College Football Playoff?

Right now, that would be 15th-ranked Boise State, who held off UNLV last week, 29-24. That was the toughest remaining date on the Broncos’ schedule, and they only have one loss – a three-point loss to know top-ranked Oregon.

It is not beyond the realm of possibility to see the Broncos cruising to a conference championship, which would likely see them rise further up the AP Top 25.

Another team that kept its CFP hopes alive was 16th-ranked Kansas State. The Wildcats trailed Kansas in the last four minutes of regulation but nailed a field goal to win, giving themselves a 4-1 record in Big 12 play.

That makes the Wildcats’ “Farmageddon” rivalry date with 11th-ranked Iowa State a red-letter day on the last week of the regular season, assuming both teams keep winning.

 

Betting AP Top 25 Teams in the Week 10 of the College Football

Let’s look at the updated AP Top 25 as well as some thoughts on contending teams to consider in your NCAAF betting plans.

 

Oregon Ducks

Did the Ducks blink after reaching #1 last week? Absolutely not. They took then-#20 Illinois apart, dropping 35 points on the Illini in the first half and rolling to a 38-9 win. They’ve already beaten Ohio State, but since then their defense has ramped things up, shutting out Purdue in West Lafayette and then keeping Illinois to 293 yards of offense and those nine points. Other than Ohio State and Boise State, no one has scored more than 14 points against the Ducks. Their red-zone defense could improve, as opponents had an 88% touchdown rate on red-zone drives going into the Illinois game, but the Ducks improved that number as well, limiting the Illini to two touchdowns on four red-zone possessions.

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Georgia Bulldogs

Which Bulldogs will show up in Jacksonville for The World’s Largest Outdoor Cocktail Party with the Florida Gators? Will it be the defensively brilliant Bulldogs who browbeat Texas in a 30-15 win in Austin? Linebacker Jalon Walker and end Mykel Williams were outstanding up front. Both the Gators and next week’s opponent, the Ole Miss Rebels, have pesky offenses that can do damage. Georgia has played five SEC games and has allowed 12, 41, 13, 31, and 15 points – not a sign of consistency. Going into the bye week, they were 19th in the nation in the fewest yards permitted per game and 26th in the fewest yards permitted per play. To finish SEC play unbeaten, those rankings likely need to improve.

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AP Top 25 Vanderbilt Commodores

Who knew the Commodores would be so tough this year in SEC play? They almost pulled off another raucous home upset as the Texas Longhorns escaped Nashville with a 27-24 win on Saturday. For the Longhorns, Quinn Ewers started the day with a pick on a tipped ball on their first possession, but he recovered with 17 straight completions after that miscue and had three touchdown passes on the day. The Texas defense pried the ball away from the Vandy offense three times, raising the Commodores’ turnover total to five for the season. Texas has a nine-game road winning streak and enters a bye week before a home date with Florida on November 9.

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Penn State Nittany Lions

How good is Penn State? The Nittany Lions beat Wisconsin last week, but Drew Allar went down with a left knee injury. He’s questionable with Ohio State coming up on the schedule. His backup, sophomore Beau Pribula, went 11 of 13 for 98 yards and a touchdown in the 28-13 win. However, Allar had the sixth-best QBR in the nation coming into the Wisconsin game (86.8) and he went 14 of 18 for 148 yards and a touchdown in the first half. It would be a shame if he couldn’t bounce back in time for the Ohio State game, and the Nittany Lions end up on the wrong end of another chance to contend in the Big Ten.

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Miami Hurricanes (FL)

Miami (FL) has an intriguing date with Duke coming up this weekend. Manny Diaz is the Hurricanes’ former head coach, and their pass offense pushed SMU hard at times in a 28-27 overtime loss. Miami drubbed Florida State, 36-14, last week, but each week the Seminoles find ways to look worse. The Hurricanes barely escaped their game with Louisville, 52-45, and their defense has not been particularly good against even serviceable opposition, particularly in the tackling game. Duke runs the ball hard, and Maalik Murphy has shown he can drop deep balls into a bucket. Syracuse is another offense that could expose the Hurricanes.

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Indiana Hoosiers

The Hoosiers are another surprise unbeaten team waiting for a chance to jump into the top five. They rolled over Washington, 31-17, with backup quarterback Tayven Jackson running the offense. Kurtis Rourke (thumb) should return to the job soon, but even with Jackson in the game, the Hoosiers became the first FBS program since Kansas State in 1998 to go 8-0 without trailing at any point in any game. That team fell to Texas A&M in double overtime in the Big 12 Championship. How far will Indiana go? They should be favored in three of their last four regular-season contests, except for their visit to Ohio Stadium on November 23. Even if they lose that game, they will have a strong case to get into the CFP.

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AP Top 25 BYU Cougars

BYU escaped Oklahoma State two weeks ago and was on upset alert going into their game at UCF on Saturday, but they roared out to a 17-0 lead and built a lead that got as large as 24 in their 37-24 victory. They have a bye week coming up before their rivalry date with Utah. The Utes are struggling, so BYU should get through that and sit at 9-0…but we know how rivalry games can go.

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Clemson Tigers

Clemson has done just about everything right since that Week 1 embarrassment against Georgia. Stanford did run for 236 yards against them, but in their next three games, no opposing team gained more than 90 yards on the ground. In ACC play, Clemson has permitted 107 points, but 54 of those came when the Tigers had built huge leads and were playing reserves – such as the fourth quarter last week when Virginia added three garbage-time touchdowns in a 48-31 Clemson win.

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Notre Dame Fighting Irish

Yes, the Fighting Irish lost to Northern Illinois in Week 2…the same NIU team that lost to Buffalo the next week. However, they’ve been terrific in their wins. That opening win over Texas A&M has looked better each week as the Aggies’ performance has also improved. They trounced Navy last week, 51-14, behind two passing touchdowns from Riley Leonard, 265 rushing yards and four touchdowns on the ground, and five fumble recoveries by the defense. Is Notre Dame a CFP team? They tend to get rated more highly than they deserve because of their program reputation, but they are also playing terrific ball right now.

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Betting AP Top 25 Teams After Week 9, 2024 Season

RANK SCHOOL POINTS RECORD PREV
1 Oregon (61) 8-0 1549 1
2 Georgia (1) 6-1 1467 2
3 Penn State 7-0 1417 3
4 Ohio State 6-1 1324 4
5 Miami (FL) 8-0 1283 6
6 Texas 7-1 1276 5
7 Tennessee 6-1 1081 7
8 Notre Dame 7-1 1000 12
9 BYU 8-0 995 11
10 Texas A&M 7-1 972 14
T-11 Clemson 6-1 968 9
T-11 Iowa State 7-0 968 10
13 Indiana 8-0 952 13
14 Alabama 6-2 706 15
15 Boise State 6-1 619 17
16 LSU 6-2 577 8
17 Kansas State 7-1 571 16
18 Pittsburgh 7-0 570 19
19 Ole Miss 6-2 471 18
20 SMU 7-1 400 22
21 Army 7-0 312 23
22 Washington State 7-1 220 NR
23 Colorado 6-2 152 NR
24 Illinois 6-2 113 20
25 Missouri 6-2 44 21
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Betting AP Top 25 Teams in the Week 10

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