Hugh Freeze left Lynchburg behind after last season, going back to the SEC to take the head coaching job at Auburn, and there was some worry that Liberty would no longer excel in football. Many of Freeze’s recruits stayed behind, though, and new head coach Jamey Chadwell has coached the Flames to an unbeaten regular season. Liberty will host the Conference USA Championship on Friday night, taking on New Mexico State. The two teams met in Week 2, and Liberty rolled, 33-17, covering easily as nine-point favorites. The spread is slightly larger this time around. Can Liberty keep their perfect season going, or will New Mexico State come to town and post an upset? Check out our CUSA Championship Odds and prediction here between New Mexico State vs Liberty.
College Football CUSA Championship Odds New Mexico State Aggies at #25 Liberty Flames Betting Odds
When: Friday, December 1, 2023, 7:00 pm ET
Where: Williams Stadium, Lynchburg, VA
TV: CBS Sports
Radio: No National Broadcast
Live Stream: Hulu
Why should you bet on the New Mexico State Aggies?
The Aggies seemed like unlikely candidates to make the conference championship in the early part of the season, limping out to a 2-3 start. However, they have won eight in a row since then, both against the spread and straight up. This includes four straight-up wins in games that they were the underdogs.Quarterback Diego Pavia leads the offense in both passing and rushing, with 2,727 yards through the air and 23 touchdown passes, along with 806 rushing yards and five scores on the ground. He has either thrown the ball or carried it on the ground for three of every five offensive plays in 2023. In the losses to UMass and Liberty, Pavia threw a total of four interceptions, so when he plays well, the team prospers.
In the team’s eight-game winning streak, Pavia has thrown 11 touchdown passes and run for all five of his touchdowns on the ground. In the last three games, the Aggies have beaten Western Kentucky, Auburn, and Jacksonville State. Against Auburn, the Aggies were 25-point underdogs but won on the road by 21. If the Aggies can keep up this offensive intensity, then they could make it four upsets with straight-up wins in four straight games.
Bet on New Mexico State to Win Today
| Conference USA Championship Odds New Mexico State vs Liberty | SPREAD | MONEYLINE | TOTAL |
|---|---|---|---|
| Liberty Flames | -10.5 | -400 | U 54.5 |
| New Mexico State Aggies | +10.5 | +300 | O 54.5 |
Why should you put your money on the Liberty Flames?
Jamey Chadwell is no stranger to helping small teams accomplish big things – he turned Coastal Carolina into a national story during his time there. He has followed that up with a perfect regular season in 2023. Against the spread, the Flames are just 8-4, though, with a two-game losing streak against the odds. When they have been favored by fewer than 15 points, though, they have covered all six times.
Quarterback Kaidon Salter has put up big-time numbers for the Flames this year, with 2,431 passing yards, 29 passing touchdowns, and just five interceptions. On the ground, he has run for 899 yards and 11 scores. In the Week 2 game against New Mexico State, he threw for 276 yards and ran for 43, accounting for four touchdowns. If he can replicate that performance, and the defense can step up, then Liberty should end their season at 13-0 and as C-USA champs.
Bet on Liberty to Win Today
CUSA Championship Odds Final Score and Prediction New Mexico State vs Liberty
That 31-10 win at Auburn was an eye-popping result for the Aggies, more impressive than any victory that Liberty has managed to pull off this year. It sounds like New Mexico State has turned the page on both sides of the ball, and they should be able to give Liberty all they want. I predict a final score of New Mexico State 27, Liberty 24.
Week 14 College Football Odds for National Championship
| Team | Odds |
|---|---|
| Michigan Wolverines | +190 |
| Georgia Bulldogs | +210 |
| Oregon Ducks | +500 |
| Alabama Crimson Tide | +800 |
| Texas Longhorns | +900 |
| Washington Huskies | +1500 |
| Florida State Seminoles | +2500 |
| Ohio State Buckeyes | +4000 |
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CUSA Championship Odds New Mexico State vs Liberty
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