This top-ten SEC matchup is one of the most exciting Week 11 contests in college football, as Ole Miss will meet Georgia for the first time in seven years. The Bulldogs would clinch the SEC East title and a berth in the SEC Championship with a win, while the Rebels already have one loss (to Alabama) and are looking to keep their scant College Football Playoff hopes alive, sitting a game behind the Crimson Tide in the SEC West. This is a prime-time affair between the hedges at Sanford Stadium, so expect a raucous atmosphere – which could wreak havoc for a penalty-happy Ole Miss team that also struggles to convert third downs. Let’s break down this Saturday night clash as you figure out your sports betting strategy for the coming weekend.
NCAAF #10 Ole Miss Rebels at #2 Georgia Bulldogs Betting Odds
When: Saturday, November 11, 2023, 7:00 pm ET
Where: Sanford Stadium, Athens, GA
TV: ESPN
Radio: No National Broadcast
Live Stream: ESPN+
Why should you bet on the Ole Miss Rebels?
Ole Miss’ only loss this season also came on the road, a 24-10 setback to the Tide in Tuscaloosa. That game was a rarity in terms of low offensive production as the team averages 38.9 points per game overall. They’ve scored 37 offensive touchdowns (16 through the air and 21 on the ground) with just five interceptions. They stopped Texas A&M on Saturday at home, although a wild Aggie comeback meant that the Rebels had to block a late field goal attempt to stave off overtime. Jaxson Dart threw for 387 yards and two scores, and Quinshon Judkins ran the ball 23 times for 102 yards and three touchdowns. Tre Harris caught 11 passes for 213 yards and a score.
However, Ole Miss has a history of wilting against the nation’s top programs, with a 10-game losing streak against top-five teams. Against the spread, things have been different, though, at least in November, as the Rebels have covered in six straight November games when they were the underdog against teams ranked in the top 15. They have also won the first quarter in six straight SEC games. Georgia has shown a penchant for falling into trouble early and then having to take control later in games. Could that cause them problems here?
Bet on Ole Miss to Win Today
College Football Odds #10 Ole Miss vs #2 Georgia | SPREAD | MONEYLINE | TOTAL |
---|---|---|---|
Georgia Bulldogs | -11 | -425 | U 58.5 |
Ole Miss Rebels | +11 | +315 | O 58.5 |
Why should you put your money on the Georgia Bulldogs?
The Georgia team has been a steamroller in 2023, scoring 41 touchdowns and averaging 41.3 points per game. They have 38 offensive touchdowns (16 passing, 22 rushing) with just five interceptions, and their third-down conversion rate is an eye-popping 54.9%. Against Missouri at home last week, the Bulldogs had a quiet first half but broke out after the intermission to win, 30-21. Carson Beck threw for 254 yards and a pair of scores, with Ladd McConkey the top receiver with seven catches for 95 yards. Daijun Edwards carried the ball 16 times for 77 yards.
Straight up, the Bulldogs have dominated ranked opposition at home, with an eight-game home winning streak against top-15 teams. Against the spread, things have been different, as they are 1-6 ATS in their last seven games at home in November. The absence of star tight end Brock Bowers seems to have done some damage to the Bulldogs’ scoring output.
Bet on Georgia to Win Today
Ole Miss vs Georgia Final Score and Prediction
I think that Ole Miss is better than Missouri, and Lane Kiffin has had plenty of time to digest the tape from such slow Georgia starts as their near-loss at Auburn and last week’s nine-point win. I see the Rebels taking advantage early before the Bulldogs get things going. Give me the Rebels to cover in a 31-27 Georgia win.
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