College Football Week 3 Preview: Top Games, Over/Under Picks, and Expert Analysis

College Football Week 3 Preview: Top Games, Over/Under Picks, and Expert Analysis

Written by on September 12, 2024

Here we analyze the NCAAF Over/Under Picks in Week 3!

The Pac-2 (still officially the Pac-12 but a much smaller league these days) has now become the Pac-6, as Oregon State and Washington State will be joined by San Diego State, Colorado State, Boise State and Fresno State.

This comes in the wake of a collapse of attempts to build an ongoing football alliance between the last two members of the Pac-12 and the Mountain West Conference.

Instead, these four MWC teams will now leave their league, leaving it in a bit of a problem in terms of competitive quality.

Does this make the Pac-12 a Power 5 conference once again? Not at all, but it does give Oregon State and Washington State a league that has some teeth to it.

 

NCAAF Over/Under Picks from Week 3 – Top Games to Watch and Bet On

Going into Week 3 of the 2024 college football season, let’s look at some sports betting picks on the point total.

 

Utah Utes (-18) at Utah State Aggies (O/U 43)

Saturday, September 14, 3:30 pm ET

Utah was able to hold off Baylor last week despite losing Cam Rising (hand). The offense didn’t do much without Rising. He’s still questionable for this week’s rivalry showdown against Utah State. Bryson Barnes would start in Rising’s stead, and this is a fierce rivalry that has not been renewed since 2015. The last three meetings were decided by single figures, and the questions about Rising’s availability and awareness of the rivalry have combined to bring the line down from its opening (-21.5). Utah State got shut out, 48-0, by USC last week, and with Utah likely to be conservative with Rising in a winnable game, I don’t see a lot of scoring.

NCAAF Pick: Take the under.

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Oregon Ducks (-16.5) at Oregon State Beavers (O/U 51)

Saturday, September 14, 3:30 pm ET

The Civil War rolls on, although it’s an early-season game now after the movement of Oregon to the Big Ten. Trent Bray is in his first season with the Beavers, and his defense has allowed just 15 points in the first two games combined. Oregon comes in with significant inconsistency on both offense and defense so far – and their running game has been stultifying, averaging only three yards per carry. Quarterback Dillon Gabriel has the arm to compensate for that in the passing game, but the team is still finding its way, looking anything like a Big Ten contender at this point. This line opened at -14 and has spread, which seems like the wrong way at this point.

NCAAF Pick: Take the under.

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Georgia Bulldogs (-24) at Kentucky Wildcats (O/U 45)

Saturday, September 14, 6:30 pm ET

Georgia enters Week 3 without having permitted a touchdown so far. Kentucky has been a solid offensive team the last few seasons, but after the departure of Will Levis, things have cooled off, and they got drilled by South Carolina last week, 31-6. Brock Vandagriff transferred from Georgia to start at quarterback for Kentucky, and given that Kirby Smart and his defensive staff know Vandagriff and given that it looks like Georgia is going to turn every game into a statement, I don’t see the Wildcats moving the ball much. So can Georgia basically beat this point total by themselves? It wouldn’t surprise me to see something like a 48-0 or 55-6 score here.

NCAAF Pick: Take the over.

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