Top 25 College Football Betting Analysis and Opportunities

Top 25 College Football Betting Analysis and Opportunities

Written by on October 13, 2021

Earlier this week, we published an article about your best sports betting choices for Week 7 in college football for straight up matchups. Today, we’re taking a deeper dive and looking at some other matchups that could also bring you some profits. Just about every team in the nation is in the middle of conference play, so you don’t have as many of those wacky outliers (although last week, also a conference week, did provide plenty of surprises).

Check out the college football odds some of our top picks.

NCAA News: Top 25 Analysis and Betting Opportunities

#21 Texas A&M Aggies (-9) at Missouri Tigers (O/U 59.5) (ML A&M -350 / MIZZ +280)

Texas A&M had struggled mightily on offense in losses to Arkansas and Mississippi State before pouring 41 points on, of all teams, Alabama. Backup quarterback Zach Calzada, who went viral for his tearful departure from the field after the loss two weeks ago, rose all the way to the apex of the sport when he led his team to take down the Crimson Tide. So has the Aggie offense finally arrived? Well, Missouri has an absolutely porous defense, so the Aggies will have opportunities to score. Missouri has played five FBS teams so far this season, permitting an average of 39.4 points per game and 342 rushing yards per game — including 7.0 yards per carry. In their last four games, Missouri has permitted 16 combined touchdowns. The Aggie D permits just 16.8 points per game, so they should get some stops. But will the Aggies have a letdown on the road after that huge win? We say no. Aggies to win and cover.

#20 Florida Gators (-11) at LSU Tigers (O/U 59.5) (ML FLA -450 / LSU +350)

Florida is an 11-point favorite going into Baton Rouge? Well, the Tigers just lost star wideout Kayshon Boutte, whose nine receiving touchdowns were more than half the touchdowns that LSU has scored through the air. LSU’s rushing offense is ranked 127th in the nation in rushing yards per game, and that’s with a reasonably strong passing game. Without Boutte, Florida can load the box. On defense, LSU just let Kentucky rush for 330 yards and has permitted over 450 total yards in all four games against teams from Power Five conferences. This game feels a bit odd to me, though, as LSU only lost by five at home to Auburn. SEC games can skew weirdly when both teams are proud, so I think LSU fights hard in this one. They won’t win, but give me LSU to cover.

#12 Oklahoma State Cowboys (+5) at Texas Longhorns (O/U 60) (ML OSU +170 / UT -200)

Which Texas team will we see? The team that went up 28-7 early on Oklahoma…or the team that surrendered that huge lead and lost at the Cotton Bowl last week? The one that hung 70 on Texas Tech, or the one that got routed by Arkansas on the road? Texas has always had an issue with an entitlement culture, which means you don’t expect them to bounce back quickly from getting punched in the collective mouth. Oklahoma State actually has a strong defense this season, holding their opponents under 19 points a game. However, once Casey Thompson took over the starting quarterback job at Texas, the Longhorns have scored 52 points per game. I’m not sure I trust that Texas defense, though, and I see Texas-OU hangover plaguing the Longhorns. I’ll take Oklahoma State to cover.

TCU Horned Frogs (+13.5) at #4 Oklahoma Sooners (O/U 65) (ML TCU +400 / OU -550)

TCU has put up some offense this year, with tailback Zach Evans leading the way. However, the Sooner defense only permits 91.0 rushing yards per contest. That means the Horned Frogs will need a big day from quarterback Max Duggan, who has only gone over 276 passing yards in a game once, back in 2019 against Texas Tech — a team not known for its defense. The Sooner offense might stick with Caleb Williams at quarterback, after his terrific job against Texas, but even if the Sooners go back to Spencer Rattler, they should be able to move the ball, as TCU has permitted over 30 points in all four of their games against FBS competition. I’m not sure about this point spread, but I’m smelling a big day in terms of points. Give me the over in this game.


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