College Football ATS Picks for Best Games in Week 9

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Sometimes you can make some money doing your sports betting down in the nether regions of the college football world. Take, for example, the Week 7 game between the Nevada Wolfpack and the San Diego State Aztecs. Remember when the Aztecs were on the verge of gaining admission to the Pac-12? That might have turned into an even uglier 2023 season for that five-loss team. Nevada entered the game 0-6 but finally got that first 2023 win – shutting out the Aztecs, 6-0. That game had seen the Aztecs featured as 11 ½-point home favorites with a point total of 48.5. When you have two teams that are really struggling, sometimes anticipating a defensive snoozer pays off. In this game, the two starting quarterbacks went a combined 15 of 37 for 145 yards. It might have been impossible to predict just six total points, but when you have two teams who aren’t doing much right, taking the under and expecting a closer point spread makes sense. The imbalances that appear in college football often result from popular reputations of programs rather than the actual state of those programs, and this was one of those games. Let’s look at some solid College Football ATS Picks from Week 9.

Week 9 College Football ATS Picks

#1 Georgia Bulldogs vs Florida Gators

NCAAF Lines: #1 Georgia (-15.5) vs Florida
When: Saturday, October 28 at 3:30 pm ET
Where: EverBank Stadium, Jacksonville, FL
TV: CBS

That’s right – it’s time for the World’s Largest Outdoor Cocktail Party, as the annual Georgia-Florida football game has been called for over 50 years, although a ban on that name by both schools and the SEC makes that nickname more of a memory. In 1984 and 1985, the fans of the winning teams stormed the field and tore down the goalposts; in 1985, that scene led to more than 65 arrests. The winner takes home the Okefenokee Oar, a two-foot oar that came from a 1,000-year old cypress tree. This week, the Bulldogs won’t have star tight end Brock Bowers, but they have had the bye week to prepare for a Florida team that has lost to Utah and Kentucky this year, allowing 434 total rushing yards in those two setbacks. Expect the Bulldogs to pound the ball in a rivalry that they have won by a combined 49 points over the last two matchups. Bulldogs to win and cover.

Bet on the #1 Georgia vs Florida!

#8 Oregon Ducks at #13 Utah Utes

NCAAF Lines: #8 Oregon (-5.5) at #13 Utah Utes
When: Saturday, October 28 at 3:30 pm ET
Where: Rice-Eccles Stadium, Salt Lake City, UT
TV: FOX

Utah doesn’t enter games as a home underdog very often, and as the win over USC last week showed, Kyle Whittingham has figured out how to run the offense with backup Bryson Barnes. The Utes’ defense gave up an uncharacteristic 6.3 yards per carry against the Trojans last week, and Oregon likes to run the ball around quarterback Bo Nix. This spread seems out of balance given how well Utah plays at home and how well the Utes have played without starting quarterback Cam Rising. In four games at Utah since the Utes came to the Pac-12, Oregon has gone just 2-2 straight up. Utes to cover.

Bet on the #8 Oregon vs #13 Utah!

#20 Duke Blue Devils at #18 Louisville Cardinals

NCAAF Lines: #20 Duke (+4) at #18 Louisville
When: Saturday, October 28 at 3:30 pm ET
Where: Cardinal Stadium, Louisville, KY
TV: ABC

Louisville comes in off the bye week, and it might make sense to bet on this before the line moves. Duke quarterback Riley Leonard (ankle) is questionable, and while the Blue Devils can run the ball well (198.3 yards per game), the Cardinals can stack up against the run, allowing 97.1 yards per contest. Duke might be able to run for a half, but the Cardinals are probably a little under-ranked here after their win over Notre Dame. Cardinals to win and cover.

Bet on the #20 Duke vs #18 Louisville!

#24 USC Trojans at Cal Golden Bears

NCAAF Lines: ##24 USC at (-10) at Cal
When: Saturday, October 28 at 4:00 pm ET
Where: California Memorial Stadium, Berkeley, CA
TV: Pac-12 Network

USC’s loss to Utah has effectively doomed their College Football Playoff chances, but they can still make the last Pac-12 title game. Cal had a bye last week after losing to Utah and Oregon State, giving up a combined 43 points along the way. Caleb Williams should be able to bounce back against a Cal defense that has some coverage issues. The Trojans have failed to cover in their last four games as favorites, but a ten-point spread makes sense given the offensive advantages USC has here. Trojans to win and cover.

Bet on the #24 USC vs Cal!

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