NFL News: Win Totals Over/Under NFC West
Arizona Cardinals: 9 (Over +115 / Under -135)
The Cardinals started last year 7-0…and finished 11-7. Some of the losses were close, such as a three-point home loss to the Packers and a six-point home loss to the Colts, but they also lost to Carolina at home and Detroit by 18…and then they got routed by 23 in the first round of the playoffs. This season, the schedule starts with three tough games: Kansas City, at Las Vegas and the Rams, which could be an 0-3 start. Then come three potentially easier games: at Carolina, Philadelphia and at Seattle, so they could come back to 3-3, depending on the mental strength of the team – but remember, Kyler Murray asked to come out during that playoff loss, so there are real questions about the toughness of the team’s leadership. A run of New Orleans, at Minnesota, Seattle, at the Rams, San Francisco and the Chargers takes the team into the break, and they could easily be 5-7 at that point. After the bye, they have New England, at Denver, Tampa Bay, at Atlanta, and at San Francisco, so a 7-10 or 8-9 season seems most likely. Take the under.
Los Angeles Rams: 10.5 (Over -110 / Under -110)
The Rams open with a real challenge as Buffalo comes to town, but after that, things open up to the bye: Atlanta, at Arizona, at San Francisco, Dallas and Carolina. Three of those teams are working in new quarterbacks, and Arizona and Dallas have mental toughness issues, so the Rams could be 5-1 at the bye. Then they play San Francisco, at Tampa Bay, Arizona, at New Orleans and at Kansas City, and I have them at 8-3 at that point, with the losses in Tampa and Kansas City. They finish with Seattle, Las Vegas, at Green Bay, Denver, at the Chargers, and at Seattle, and the only tough dates on there are the Packers and Chargers, so I have them at 12-5 or 13-4. Take the over.
San Francisco 49ers: 10 (Over -110 / Under -110)
This will be Trey Lance’s first year running the offense, so ten wins sound a little much. But let’s break it down. The 49ers start with a matchup with another young quarterback (Justin Fields) in Chicago, on the road. Then they play Seattle and at Denver, so they could start 3-0, although 2-1 is more likely. Then they host the Rams (2-2) before playing at Carolina and at Atlanta (4-2). They host the Chiefs and visit the Rams going into their bye (4-4). After the bye, they play the Chargers, at Atlanta, New Orleans and Miami, and they could go 3-1 in that stretch (7-5). Then comes a date with Tampa Bay (7-6). They finish by playing at Seattle, Washington, at Las Vegas and Arizona, and I don’t see them winning out, so take the under.
Seattle Seahawks: 5.5 (Over -120 / Under +100)
I’m curious to see if the Seahawks commit to Drew Lock at quarterback or not. Baker Mayfield is still out there on the trade market, and even Colin Kaepernick represents a more optimistic view than a season with Lock. The season opens with Denver, which will be Russell Wilson’s homecoming. The Seahawks could win an emotional opener…or they could get shredded by Denver’s defense. Then they play at San Francisco, so I have them with an 0-2 start. Games against Atlanta, at Detroit and at New Orleans have them back at 3-2, but then losses to Arizona and at the Chargers move them back to 3-4. They finish with the Giants, at Arizona and at Tampa Bay going into the bye, and I see them at 5-5. After the bye they have Las Vegas and then visit the Rams (5-7). A visit from Carolina should move them to 6-7, but ten games against San Francisco and at Kansas City will push them to 6-9. I think they beat the Jets but lose to the Rams (7-10). So if you must pick on this, take the over – and it might make sense to pick it now, because improving the quarterback position will just push the total higher.
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