For most NFL games, sports betting begins and ends with wagers like the point spread and the over/under point total. For the Super Bowl, though, a whole legion of prop bets pops ups, ranging from the length of the performance of the national anthem to the outcome of the coin toss — and even to specific words that broadcasters will say. The additional action adds to the fun of the spectacle — and, if you are on the right side of things, can add to your bank account. We’ve put together a list of some of the best and worst choices you can make when it comes to Super Bowl LIV prop betting.
Best and Worst Prop Bets for Super Bowl LIV
Best Prop #1: First Team to 10 Points
- Kansas City -130
- San Francisco +100
You know that the Chiefs fell behind Houston, 24-0, in the divisional round, and then spotted Tennessee a 10-0 lead in the AFC Championship, right? In last year’s AFC Championship, they fell behind the New England Patriots before storming back to force overtime. This isn’t a team that starts strong on offense; instead, they pour it on late. Take San Francisco here.
Worst Prop #1: Coin Toss
- Heads -103
- Tails -103
There is absolutely no skill involved in making this choice. You are looking at pure chance — and the house gets money because of that $3 insertion into the line. If you like putting your money on red or black at the roulette wheel and watching it spin, that’s fine, but I like to have some rational basis behind my sports betting.
Best Prop #2: Longest Touchdown
- Over/Under 44.5 yards
Could Jimmy Garoppolo hook it up with Deebo Samuel for a bomb? Could Patrick Mahomes torch the 49ers with a deep slant to Tyreek Hill? Absolutely. But that would take a breakdown in coverage unlike what each team has shown on their way to the Super Bowl. There’s also the possibility of a long return, but once again, both teams have strong return coverage teams. I think the game will be fairly high scoring, but I don’t see a long touchdown in this game. Take the under here.
Worst Prop #2: Which will be higher — Trump tweets on February 3 or San Francisco’s point total?
Well, Trump’s record for tweets in a day is 142. San Francisco averaged 30 points per game during the regular season. I don’t see them getting too far above 30 in the Super Bowl. The problem comes with gauging what Trump will do on a Sunday. It is hard to predict what Trump will do from one day to the next, but with the Sunday morning talk shows set to focus either on the impending witnesses in his Senate trial or the Senate’s decision to end the trial early, if that vote comes on Friday, he could be in form and fill the Twitterverse. Or he might not. As an American taxpayer, enough of my funds already are at Trump’s disposal, so I’m not likely to send good money after bad.
Best Prop #3: What will be higher — the Oscars that Joker wins, or the passing touchdowns that Patrick Mahomes throws?
Joker was nominated for 11 Academy Awards, more than any other movie. Joaquin Phoenix already won the Golden Globes, Critics’ Choice and SAG Awards for Best Actor and is widely predicted to pick it up again. However, a lot of the prognosticators see 1917 winning a lot of the Oscars for which both movies are nominated, including Best Picture, Best Director and a lot of the editing awards. Joker might win one, two or three. Will Mahomes go over or under that number? I see him throwing two or three. So I’m leaning to the over for this prop. Remember that with prop betting, it’s more about the fun than the actual outcome, but of course you also want to make as much money as you can. Enjoy your Super Bowl wagering!