The Best and Worst Super Bowl LII Props to Bet On

The Best and Worst Super Bowl LII Props to Bet On

Written by on January 31, 2018

For most of the games played in the National Football League, sports betting enthusiasts only have a couple of choices when it comes to wagers — betting against the spread, betting straight up with a moneyline and picking the over/under on the combined point total. In the case of the Super Bowl, though, prop bets pop up for just about every detail of the game. For Super Bowl LII, there are over 400 different prop bets that wagerers have to choose from, dealing with everything from the first player to score a touchdown to how many tweets President Trump will send during the game. Take a look at our review of some of the best — and some of the worst — choices you have before you in the Super Bowl LII props.

The Best and Worst SB LII Props to Bet On

Best: Will (insert player) score a touchdown?

Zach Ertz (+140)

The Patriots have a soft spot in the middle of their defense, as their linebackers have been exposed time and time again. We saw this with the crossing routes that Jacksonville used in the first half to build their lead, and we’ll see it again with Ertz running seam routes into the middle and finding openings in the zone. One of those openings has a great shot to be in the end zone.

Tom Brady (+1000)

This prop doesn’t count if Brady throws a touchdown pass — Brady has to make it to paydirt himself. If the Patriots find themselves in a goal-line situation, the Eagles aren’t likely to expect Brady to put his 40-year-old body on the line with a sneak, but he has shown great skill at finding the right seam behind his line to pull off a sneak in short-yardage situation. Given the odds here, this is a great value bet.

Best: Total Field Goals by New England (1.5 — Over -145, Under +125)

There will be several drives when the Patriots are able to move it down the field, into field goal range, only to have a key sack or pass deflection by the Eagles bring up fourth down. The Patriots do like to gamble and go for it in this situation, but the field goal unit will get several attempts here. I’d definitely take the over on this wager.

Best: Total Sacks by Both Teams (4.5 — Over -110, Under -110)

The two teams have combined for 15 sacks in the postseason so far — 11 by New England and four by the Eagles. Neither Nick Foles nor Tom Brady is a particularly mobile quarterback, but both are good at getting the ball out relatively quickly. Even with that said, the fact that we have two elite defensive lines and two secondaries that can generate coverage sacks, I would take the over on this prop.

Worst: Pink’s Hair Color during the National Anthem

  • White/Blonde 5-4
  • Pink/Red 7-4
  • Blue/Purple 5-1
  • Brown/Black 5-1
  • Green 5-1
Yes, Pink is a Philadelphia Eagles fan. But do you think she’s going to come out with a green hairdo on international television and take a side in this? I like my wagers to have something to do with the research that I put into the game, and there’s just no way to guess what decision Pink will make here.

Worst: Which owner will appear first during the broadcast?

  • Robert Kraft (New England) (-140)
  • Jeffrey Lurie (Philadelphia) (EVEN)
Again, this is one of those bets that takes the research out — and doesn’t offer that much fun in return. This seems like an outcome of a capricious decision by a TV producer on the basis of which camera is facing the right way at the right time.

Worst: What will be greater? Philadelphia touchdowns in SB 52 or Blocks by 76ers center Joel Embiid on 2/3/18

This would probably be a “best” prop — given how entertaining Embiid is as a performer, and given how well the 76ers are playing this season. However, given the number of games Embiid has to rest as a part of recuperating from a lengthy string of injuries, he might not even play in the game. With that relatively high probability, this bet loses a lot of its fun.