NFL Betting On Quarterbacks. When it comes to landing a top-flight franchise quarterback, few teams have been as desperate recently as the Atlanta Falcons.
After finally moving on from Matt Ryan, we’ve seen them cycle through Desmond Ridder before, in the same off-season, inking Kirk Cousins to a mammoth deal and drafting Michael Penix Jr early in the first round.
The Indianapolis Colts have also been desperate in recent years, trying to replace Andrew Luck with everyone from Phillip Rivers to Carson Wentz to…Matt Ryan, before taking the plunge on a rookie with Anthony Richardson last year.
As you plan your sports betting for the NFL season, take a look at our updated quarterback rankings.
NFL Betting Quarterback Power Rankings Ahead of Week 1
The New GOAT
Yes, that title used to belong to Tom Brady, but now it belongs to Patrick Mahomes. He had a lot less talent around him in 2023, and he still led the Chiefs to a comeback win in the Super Bowl.
NFL Betting The Contenders
Lamar Jackson is the defending NFL MVP who put up an 83.0 Pro Football Focus passing grade in 2023, the best of his career. He set a career high with 4,102 passing yards, while continuing to run the ball at an elite level.
Joe Burrow is back from a 2023 season marred by a calf strain in the early going and a torn wrist ligament in his throwing hand that ended his campaign. When he is healthy, though, Burrow is immune to pressure and deadly with his passing accuracy.
Josh Allen led the NFL in rushing touchdowns by a quarterback (18) and had the second-most first-down carries by a quarterback (66). He is unique in terms of strength, size and speed. Can he get the interceptions down?
Postseason Quality
Justin Herbert lost Keenan Allen and Mike Williams in the off-season. He got a new head coach in Jim Harbaugh who wants more of a run-first approach. He did have the third-best PFF passing grade under pressure (68.9) last year, behind Dak Prescott and Jackson.
Dak Prescott posted an 89.8 PFF passing grade during the regular season, trailing only Miami’s Tua Tagovailoa, and under pressure he led the league with a 73.5 mark. Poor decisions and a semi-vertebrate defense doomed the Cowboys, but Prescott took the heat.
Matthew Stafford posted an 83.8 PFF passing grade during the regular season, which ranks seventh, at the age of 35. His arm is still a cannon, and even if the distance is shrinking a bit, he can put the ball in tight windows.
Aaron Rodgers is a big wild card going into 2024. His Achilles is all better, but what does he still have in the tank? He was the MVP in 2020 and 2021, and he has to stay top-ten going into the 2024 season.
Jalen Hurts led the Eagles to a 10-1 start…and to an 11-6 finish. He set career marks in passing yards and touchdowns…as well as lost fumbles and interceptions. He did have at least 10 rushing touchdowns for the third season in a row. He didn’t seem as explosive as he was in 2022, so there are some questions about his health going into this season.
C.J. Stroud had the rookie campaign that everyone thought Joe Burrow would have before his ACL tear. He had the third-most completions of at least 20 yars (32), and his touchdowns and passing yards were all in the top half of the NFL. Leading clutch drives will keep you in the starting job, and Stroud knows how to do that.
Jordan Love led the Packers on a romp in Dallas, knocking the Cowboys out in the wild-card round of the playoffs. He was second in passing touchdowns during the regular season, and after Week 7, his PFF passer rating was 90.4 as he figured out ball placement and accuracy.
Brock Purdy led the 49ers to the Super Bowl, thanks to a 78.3% adjusted completion rate, which landed him in the top five. He takes more risks with the ball than he gets credit for, and he has accuracy down the field.
NFL Betting Next Year’s Champions
Trevor Lawrence has shown periods of elite play, but he needs to string them together before we consider him a regular postseason contender. He had 21 total turnovers in 2023, a number that needs to drop.
Tua Tagovailoa had the lowest time in the pocket of any starting quarterback (2.33 seconds), but he still had an 88.9 PFF passing grade in the regular season, tops in the NFL. Ironically, he made most of his turnovers when he wasn’t under pressure.
Kirk Cousins keeps putting up great numbers, but his teams don’t go anywhere. He did have his 2023 cut short when he tore an Achilles tendon after eight games. Now he’s 36 years old and heading into play with a new season. Can he push that streak of PFF passing grades above 80.0 to seven?
Jared Goff led the Detroit Lions to the NFC Championship – and a 17-point lead in that game over San Francisco. He had an 85.2 PFF passing grade in 2023, the best of his career. His turnovers were down. However, his play when under pressure is still a problem, and when the 49ers turned up the heat, he wilted.
Kyler Murray had a decent eight-game season in 2023 as he returned from an ACL tear. Before his ACL tear, though, his 2022 season had been poor. Which Murray will we see in 2024?
Geno Smith had solid seasons in 2022 and 2023. However, the numbers conceal some concerning trends. He started 2022 playing terrific ball, but the second half was a problem with ball security. In 2023, he also struggled with ball security, but he finished the season strong. He’s 33, and he still hasn’t answered the question about being a franchise quarterback.
Baker Mayfield had an up-and-down 2023 until the last four games, when he put the Buccaneers on his back and carried them to an NFC South title. In the playoffs, he engineered a dismantling of the Philadelphia Eagles. Will that Mayfield show up again in 2024?
Questions to Answer
Caleb Williams might quickly climb this list – but then again, he might not. He has solid wide receiver talent around him in Chicago, which isn’t a sentence we write very often.
Derek Carr has had a PFF passing grade between 77.5 and 83.5 in four of the last five campaigns.Last year, he had 25 touchdown passes against eight picks. His numbers aren’t bad, but it’s been a long time since he delivered in big games.
Russell Wilson looked awful in his first season with Denver and then just human in his second – much like he looked in his last season in Seattle. That means it’s been three full seasons since we’ve seen him play at an elite level. Is he an improvement over Kenny Pickett in Pittsburgh? We’ll see.
Deshaun Watson has the largest contract in NFL history but has done nothing but disappoint the Cleveland Browns. Thanks to suspension and injury, he has played six games apiece in his two seasons on Lake Erie, and he had surgery on his throwing shoulder last season. Is he healthy? Can he bounce back?
Quarterbacks of the Future?
Anthony Richardson played four games in 2023. At times, he showed elite talent, both with his arms and his legs. However, his concussions and other injuries showed that he needs to learn how to manage contact in the NFL. Hopefully he also spent time in the off-season working on timing and accuracy.
Bryce Young was one of the few quarterbacks to beat C.J. Stroud last year. However, his PFF passing grade (52.6) came in 41st among qualifying quarterbacks (there are just 32 starters). However, he had a dreadful roster around him, so he wasn’t able to hide his lack of strength and size as easily as he did at Alabama.
Drake Maye put up some huge throws in college the last two years. Expect for that gunslinger mindset to produce some big plays in the NFL…and some backbreaking turnovers as he negotiates the learning curve.
Jayden Daniels just won the Heisman Trophy and will likely start Week 1 for Washington. He can run well and has a cannon of an arm. His offensive coordinator, Kliff Kingsbury, did pretty well with a similar quarterback out in Arizona, until things fell apart.
Will Levis had four touchdown passes in his starting debut last year (Week 8). His arm strength is not in question, but his decision-making must improve.
Time to Go?
Daniel Jones finished behind Tyrod Taylor and Tommy DeVito in PFF ranking last year. Those two quarterbacks were the others on the Giants depth cart with him. He only played six games.
Gardner Minshew will compete with Aidan O’Connell for the starting job in Las Vegas. O’Connell had better efficiency and a higher adjusted completion percentage.
Sam Darnold should start for Minnesota while J.J. McCarthy learns the offense. Darnold got some starts in Carolina this past season but still doesn’t look like a franchise quarterback.
Jarrett Stidham has only gotten above a 56.0 PFF passing grade once in his NFL career. It won’t be long before Bo Nix gets the starting job in Denver.
When @PatrickMahomes threw 🔟 TDs in the first two games of the 2018 season 😳 pic.twitter.com/JLZzsc115p
— NFL (@NFL) June 28, 2024
Previous Betting News | MyBookie News Archive
Quarterback Odds, June 3, 2024
The NFL has been a pass-first league for a couple of decades now, which means that a team’s fortunes largely depend on its quarterback. Even great quarterbacks can’t win without a solid O-line and quality skill players at tailback and wide receiver, but the reason why so many regular-season and Super Bowl MVP trophies go to quarterbacks is that the offense goes through their hands each play. As we approach training camp this summer, let’s look at some of the top quarterbacks to keep our eyes on as we start formulating NFL betting strategies for the season.
NFL Betting News: Top Quarterbacks to Watch in 2024
NFL 2024 #1 Patrick Mahomes Kansas City Chiefs
Until someone stops the Kansas City Chiefs and can shut down this offense, Mahomes will be on top of the rankings. Yes, the Tampa Bay Buccaneers stomped the Chiefs in Super Bowl in LV, but Mahomes had an O-line in front of him that had neither starting tackle due to injury, so he spent the game running for his life. While Mahomes has a transcendental arm – he can make pinpoint throws down the field while dancing instead of setting his feet – his greatest strength is his adaptability. When receivers aren’t open, he can pull the ball down and run, but even while he’s scrambling, he can whip the ball into the second level of the defense.
NFL Betting #2 Brock Purdy San Francisco 49ers
Who knew that Mr. Irrelevant from the 2022 draft would be so high on this list after a season and a half as the starter in San Francisco? You can say that it’s really the work of Christian McCaffrey, Brandon Aiyuk and George Kittle making Purdy look great, but remember that four-game slump last year, when Purdy lost his edge and started throwing interceptions? The 49ers lost all four of those games. Then he found his mojo again and started managing the pocket well. He can also throw on the run, although he’s not as mobile as Mahomes. He’s gotten the Purdy to two NFC Championships in his two seasons, reaching the Super Bowl once.
NFL 2024 #3 Josh Allen Buffalo Bills
The pluses with Josh Allen include a cannon of an arm, his bruising running style, and the fact that he can make any throw on a football field. The minuses have to do with his daredevil mentality. He believes he can make any throw, which means he forces the ball into windows where defenders end up waiting for the ball to get there. With a basic overhaul of the wide receiver group underway in Buffalo, it will be fascinating to see how that new chemistry works.
NFL 2024 #4 Joe Burrow Cincinnati Bengals
Burrow basically lost his first season and his most recent season to injury. He bounced back from his rookie-season injury to lead the Bengals to the Super Bowl. How will he recover this time? He does best when he can sit in the pocket and pick his opponents apart. Tee Higgins and Ja’Marr Chase are expected to be back, which means he has one of the top wide receiver pairings in the league. The team also upgraded the O-line, so expect him to have the Bengals contending once again.
NFL Betting #5 C.J. Stroud Houston Texans
Just one season into his NFL career and C.J. Stroud is listed among the elite quarterbacks. He showed in his rookie campaign that he can hit receivers accurately down the field and also keep his head when the speed of the game comes right at him. The team added Stefon Diggs to a receiver group that already had Nico Collins and Tank Dell, and with Dalton Schultz at tight end, he has four quality options on the field. The defense got some upgrades as well. I expect the Texans to defend their AFC South crown and get two wins, and maybe even three or four, in the playoffs this time around.
NFL 2024 #6 Lamar Jackson Baltimore Ravens
How did the defending regular-season MVP slip to #6 on this list? Yes, he was back to his elite self in 2023. However, the fact that the Chiefs were able to hold the Ravens to 10 points in the AFC Championship was telling. Jackson still doesn’t have a terrific wide receiver group around him as the Ravens’ front office continues to overlook that need. Adding Derrick Henry at tailback should unlock the running game significantly, keeping defenses from loading the box and focusing on Jackson. Getting some legit deep threats would make this team even better.
Live Super Bowl 59 Betting Odds For Today
Bet NFL Football Lines in Xbet Sportsbook
NFL Betting 2024/25 Season
Love betting NFL football? | Xbet Sportsbook offers up to date NFL lines for Regular Season
