Broncos vs Chiefs TNF Odds, Analysis and Prediction for Week 6

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The biggest question the Kansas City Chiefs face as they prepare to welcome the Denver Broncos to town for a midweek AFC West showdown is whether Travis Kelce’s low ankle sprain will heal enough in time for him to play just four days after suffering the injury. The sprain happened just before halftime of the Chiefs’ win over the Vikings, and while he limped off the field, he came back in after the intermission to catch a scoring pass, leap over a Minnesota safety to convert a key third down, and to lead the Chiefs in catches and receiving yards. The problem is that sprained ankles tend to get stiffer and swell more in the 1-2 days after the injury. He took part in practice on Tuesday with limitations, but he remains questionable for Thursday. Don’t miss the Broncos vs Chiefs TNF analysis to consider in your NFL betting plans.

Week 6 NFL Broncos vs Chiefs TNF Betting Odds: Follow the Travis Kelce injury report before you lock in any sports betting on this game. In the meantime, don’t miss our thoughts on the contest.

When: Thursday Night Football, October 12, 2023, 8:15 pm ET
Where: Arrowhead Stadium, Kansas City
TV: Prime Video
Radio: Westwood One
Live Stream: Prime Video
NFL Odds: Kansas City -10.5 / O/U 47 // Denver +430 / Kansas City -600

Why should you bet on the Denver Broncos?

It’s likely that Broncos fans expected a major upgrade on the field when the team brought in Sean Payton as head coach. However, things look just about as bad as they did in 2022, with the team starting 1-4 and residing in the basement of the AFC West. The Broncos were up on the Jets last week, 13-8, at halftime, but then the Jets put up 16 unanswered points, making it 24-13, and Denver couldn’t catch back up. The Broncos did get a crucial pick with 2:20 left in regulation, but then Russell Wilson fumbled the ball on a sack, and the Jets got the clinching touchdown. The Broncos were outgained by almost 100 yards and lost the time of possession battle by over nine minutes. The offense fumbled a ball that led to a scoop-and-score and gave up a safety.

For the season, the offense has been better than average, ranked 11th with 24.2 points per game. Russell Wilson has a solid 11:2 TD:INT ratio, going 109 of 163 for 1,210 yards. However, he has taken 15 sacks in five games. The running game has featured Jaleel McLaughlin (22 carries for 160 yards), Javonte Williams (38 for 138) and Samaje Perine (24 for 88). The problems have come on defense, as the Broncos are dead last in points permitted per game (36.2). That’s not a promising number with a game against the high-octane Chiefs on tap.

Bet on the Broncos to Win Today

Why should you put your money on the Chiefs?

After dropping their season opener at home to Detroit, the Chiefs have reeled off a four-game winning streak. They also have a 15-game winning streak against the Denver Broncos. Against Minnesota last week, the Kansas City offense took a while to get going, leading 7-3 after one quarter and tied at 13 at the half. However, the third quarter saw the Chiefs score two unanswered touchdowns and didn’t let the Vikings catch back up.

Kansas City is seventh in the league in passing offense (258 yards per game) and 12th in rushing offense (123 yards per game). They score 25.6 points per game (ninth overall) while oly allowing 16 points (fifth overall). Patrick Mahomes has thrown for 1,287 yards and posted a 10:4 TD:INT ratio. Isaiah Pacheco is the team’s leading rusher with 325 yards and three touchdowns. The top receiver is Kelce (222 yards, 3 TD), but Rashee Rice (17 catches, 173 yards, 2TD) and Justin Watson (10 catches, 219 yards) have filled in nicely while Kadarius Toney figures out his drop issues.

Bet on the Kansas City Chiefs to Win Today

Broncos vs Chiefs TNF Final Score and Prediction

The Broncos’ defense allowed 28 points against Chicago two weeks ago and followed that up by allowing 31 against the Jets. Neither of those offenses comes close in talent and execution to what the Chiefs are pulling off right now. The Kansas City defense has been doing well enough in recent games despite a lack of elite competition, and the Denver defense isn’t loaded at this point. I predict a final score of Kansas City 34, Denver 16.

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