The Denver Broncos (6-5) have a crucial matchup on Sunday in Houston against the Texans (6-5). According to Pro Football Focus, the Broncos have a 64% chance of getting into the postseason if they can win Sunday. If they lose, that chance drops to just 21%. The Texans have a 54% chance of getting into the postseason with a win; a loss would drop their odds to just 18%. If they get in, that would be an amazing story – the Broncos started the year 0-3, and that third loss was an absolute embarrassment, a 70-20 rout in Miami, just the third time a team had hit 70 or more points in an NFL regular-season game, and the first time since 1966. They didn’t look much better after that, lurching to a 1-5 start, but since then they have reeled off five wins in a row, including a 29-12 shellacking of the Cleveland Browns last week. Check out our NFL betting prediction about this matchup between Broncos vs Texans on the edge of the AFC playoff picture.
NFL Denver Broncos at Houston Texans Game Odds and Analysis
When: Sunday, December 3, 2023, 12:00 pm ET
Where: Caesars Superdome, New Orleans
TV: CBS
Radio: KOA 850 AM Denver / KILT 610 AM Houston
Live Stream: Hulu
NFL Odds: Houston -3.5 / O/U 47.5 // Denver +160 / Houston -185
Why should you bet on the Denver Broncos?
The Broncos’ five-game winning streak is no joke – they have stopped Green Bay, Kansas City, Buffalo, Minnesota, and Cleveland. Russell Wilson continues to have a bounceback season, with a 20:4 TD:INT ratio and a 68.3% pass completion rate. Jerry Jeudy and Courtland Sutton have combined for nine touchdown catches and over 1,000 receiving yards; Sutton’s highlight-reel catches sealed the wins over Kansas City and Minnesota. On the ground, the Broncos run for 115.5 yards per game, led by Javonte Williams’ 538 yards.
The Broncos’ defense has improved significantly since that awful day in Miami. The team permits 25.5 points per game, and Alex Singleton leads the team with 110 tackles. The sack leader is Nik Bonitto, with seven. In Week 13, the Broncos have historically done well, going 8-2 against the spread in their last 10 games at this point in the season. They have also scored the first touchdown of the game in four straight contests when entering as the underdog despite winning the week before.
Bet on the Broncos to Win Today
| Broncos vs Texans NFL Week 13 Odds | SPREAD | MONEYLINE | TOTAL |
|---|---|---|---|
| Houston Texans | -3.5 | -185 | U 47.5 |
| Denver Broncos | +3.5 | +160 | O 47.5 |
Why should you put your money on the Houston Texans?
Houston started 0-2 but has gone 6-3 since then, but they had a three-game winning streak snapped last week by Jacksonville; the Jaguars are now 8-3, two games ahead of Houston in the AFC South. C.J. Stroud continues his impressive rookie campaign, posting a 19:5 TD:INT ratio and a 63.7% pass completion rate. Tank Dell and Nico Collins have combined for a dozen receiving touchdowns, and tight end Dalton Schultz has earned his free-agent deal, catching 40 balls. Devin Singletary is the top tailback with 489 yards and a pair of touchdowns, and the team runs for 98.7 yards per game.
On defense, the Texans are serviceable, permitting 21.1 points per game. Jonathan Greenard has been a terror in the pass rush, with seven sacks, and Blake Cashman is the top tackler with 78. However, the Texans have gone 0-8 in their last eight Sunday games as the favorite, and they have lost three straight when favored in games coming after a game against an AFC South opponent. They have started well after losses, though, scoring the game’s first touchdown in four of their last five contests after a loss.
Bet on the Texans to Win Today
Broncos vs Texans Final Score and Prediction
The Broncos have come back from what looked like a very dark place to start the season. Russell Wilson looks like an elite leader once again, and Courtland Sutton is flashing his brilliant form at wide receiver again as well. C.J. Stroud has had an amazing rookie season so far, but the Broncos are finishing games better right now. I predict a final score of Denver 23, Houston 20.
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