Buccaneers vs Bills TNF Betting Picks and Prediction for Week 8

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Remember when the Buffalo Bills rolled the Miami Dolphins at home, 48-20? That seems like ancient history for Bills fans now. The Bills followed that up with a sloppy offensive performance against the Jacksonville Jaguars in London – a performance explained by jet lag. The next week, though, the Bills barely escaped the lowly New York Giants, 14-9. Then they struggled for most of the game on offense last week in a 29-25 loss at New England that also featured a defensive collapse, as the Pats had taken the previous four games to score as many points as they scored against the Bills. Offensive coordinator Ken Dorsey is on the hot seat now, as the Bills have a total of ten first-half points in their last three games. Can they get back on track as the Tampa Bay Buccaneers come to town for a midweek date? Check out our NFL betting preview between Buccaneers vs Bills.

NFL TNF Tampa Bay Buccaneers at Buffalo Bills Betting Odds

When: Thursday, October 26, 2023, 8:15 pm ET
Where: New Era Field, Orchard Park, NY
TV: Prime Video
Radio: Westwood One
Live Stream: Prime Video / SiriusXM
NFL Odds: Tampa Bay +8.5 / O/U 42.5

Why should you bet on the Buccaneers?

Tampa has dropped three of their last four games, but they’ve been a much better road team – all three of their losses have come at home. They lost at home last week to Atlanta, with their offense only able to generate a single touchdown – a 40-yard scoring strike to Mike Evans in the first quarter. Baker Mayfield’s production has dipped in the last two games, with that pass to Evans his only scoring pass to go along with two picks. However, he did not practice Monday and is questionable for Thursday’s game with a knee injury. Kyle Trask is the backup. If Mayfield can go, he has a 58.6 QBR, which is 14th in the NFL. He has an excellent pair of wideouts in Mike Evans and Chris Godwin, but Godwin is still looking for his first score in 2023. The running game is struggling as the top tailback, Rachaad white, is only running for 44.3 yards per game and has only scored once. The offense, unsurprisingly, ranks 27th in scoring (17.2 points per game).

Tampa Bay’s defense only allows 17.3 points per game, sixth in the league, but that virtually even point differential means the Bucs will continue to struggle. The team does have a +7 turnover differential which ranks second in the league, and 13 total takeaways. Vita Vea has posted 3 ½ sacks to lead the team.

Bet on the Buccaneers to Win Today

Why should you put your money on the Bills?

The Bills have been favored in all seven games they’ve played in 2023, but they only have a 4-3 record, with puzzling losses to the Jets, Jaguars and Patriots. Josh Allen is tied for the league lead in touchdown passes with 15, but his seven interceptions rank seventh. Ball security is a real problem, keeping the quarterback with the fifth-highest passing yardage in the league from leading his team to dominant wins each week. Stefon Diggs has six touchdown catches and is fourth in the league in yards, but he continues to chafe under the restrictions of this offense and did not speak to reporters after the loss in NEw England. Tight end Dalton Kincaid has stepped into the role that injured Dawson Knox has had to vacate and has done well, with 25 receptions. Tailback James Cook leads the rushing attack but only has 59.9 yards per game.

Even at 4-3, the Bills have a +11.4 scoring margin per game, with the third-ranked offense (28.3 points per game). Leonard Floyd leads the defense with 6 ½ sacks, as Von Miller has seen his snap count decrease the past few weeks. Linebacker Terrel Bernard leads the defense with 68 tackles – 33 more than the next-ranked Bill, who is cornerback Taron Johnson.

Bet on the Bills to Win Today

Buccaneers vs Bills TNF Final Score and Prediction

This line started at Buffalo -7.5 and has jumped by a point as of Wednesday. The Bills’ roster is too good for this malaise to continue, and in their wins from Weeks 2-4, their margin of victory was at least 28 points. Tampa Bay’s secondary is weak enough for Josh Allen to find targets down the field without having to put the ball in danger. Whether Mayfield is limited in mobility by his knee injury or the Bucs have to go with Kyle Trask, this should be a game where the Bills feast.

I predict a final score of Buffalo 30, Tampa Bay 13.

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