Buffalo at Cincinnati Week 11 Betting Lines & Pick

Fresh off a bye week, the Buffalo Bills (4-5) are hoping to translate their extra-rest into a win when they hit the road to the Paul Brown Stadium to take on the Cincinnati Bengals (3-5- 1). In the NFL betting lines, the Bengals have been installed as 3-point favorites, and Cincinnati will be looking to pay its fans with a home win plus cover. But with Buffalo having a full two weeks to prepare for this game, the Bengals will certainly have their work cut out for them. Join us below as we take you through an NFL odds preview of this game.

Buffalo at Cincinnati Week 11 Betting Lines & Pick

Let’s get to it. #GoBills #BeatTheBengals pic.twitter.com/4umZ10fM9C

— Buffalo Bills (@buffalobills) November 16, 2016

Where: Paul Brown Stadium, Cincinnati, Ohio When: Sunday, November 20, 2016 1:00 PM ET TV: FOX Radio: Buffalo / Cincinnati Live Stream: NFL Live NFL Lines: Cincinnati (-3), OVER/UNDER 47

Why Bet on Buffalo?

One could easily make a case for Buffalo being unlucky rather than poor in the three-game losing skid that they bring with them into Sunday’s game. During that three-game stretch, the Bills have played solidly in offense, scoring 25 points in each of those contests, including the controversial 31-25 loss to the Seahawks on Nov. 7th. QB Tyrod Taylor and his offense should therefore go into Cincinnati feeling buoyant of their chances to do well, especially with star running back LeSean McCoy healthy and ready to take advantage of Cincy’s questionable run defense. After all, Buffalo is impressively 7-3 SU and ATS in its last 10 overall games against Cincinnati. If there’s one place that the Bills have to work on, though, it is their defense that has been surprisingly leaky in recent times; something that is uncharacteristic of Ryan-coached teams. This, of course, shouldn’t be too difficult a job to do, as Cincinnati’s offense (20.78 PPG scoring this season) has struggled to translate yardages into points, and the Bills will most likely come into this game with a better defensive mindset after their bye.

Why Bet on Cincinnati?

In spite of playing well and holding a lead late into the game against the Giants in New York on Monday Night, the Bengals couldn’t get past the final hurdles of the encounter, losing 21-20. QB Andy Dalton went efficiently 16 for 24 for 204 yards and TD in the win, but he also threw an interception and failed to capitalize on his team’s scoring opportunities in the red zone. In order to have a different outcome against the dynamic and high-scoring Bills (26.33 PPG scoring), Dalton will have no option but to do a better job in passing the ball, taking advantage of his top talents like A.J. Green. Cincinnati’s run offense, which tallied just 78 rushing yards vs. Giants, will also need to get into the act. Defensively, the Bengals haven’t fared that badly, but they will definitely need to come up big in protecting Dalton and putting up a strong front down the stretch of games where they’ve played rather shakily against good opponents. If all that happens, then the Bengals—who’ve won their last three straight games against the Bills, including the 34- 21 win over Buffalo when the two teams met in 2015—should be good for the win this Sunday.

Betting Predictions and Picks

With both teams playing rather unconvincingly in recent times and combining for just three wins in their last 10 totals games this season, I can’t really say with certainty who will win this game. For that reason, I’ll be banking on the more predictable side of total betting, which looks ripe for an OVER. Dalton has a knack for putting up big numbers at home (and at 1:00 PM games) and the Bills have been lighting up this season, even in their losses. Playing well enough to go above 47 points should therefore be very possible this Sunday, especially with the Bills being extra- rested and Cincy looking to put up a strong fight and hopefully make ground in the AFC North title race. Final Score Prediction: Cincinnati 27, Buffalo 25 Writer’s NFL Pick: OVER 47