Carolina at New Orleans NFL Wild Card Odds & Preview

Carolina at New Orleans NFL Wild Card Odds & Preview

Written by on January 5, 2018

Two NFC South foes, the New Orleans Saints and the Carolina Panthers, square off in the final NFL wild card game on Sunday afternoon from the Crescent City. Both teams finished the season with identical 11-5 records, but New Orleans swept the season series to win the tiebreaker and take the divisional title, which is why they get to host this game. The two teams both lost in their finales, as Atlanta beat Carolina to take the second wild card, and Tampa Bay beat New Orleans. Check out our NFL Wild Card odds preview for this tilt.

Carolina at New Orleans NFL Wild Card Odds & Preview

When: Sunday, January 7, 2018, 1:05pm ET Where: EverBank Field, Jacksonville TV: CBS Radio: Westwood One Live Stream: NFL Live NFL Wild Card Odds: New Orleans (-7), O/U 48

Weather Forecast

  • Mostly Cloudy: 16°C/61°F
  • Humidity: 68%
  • Precipitation: 22%
  • Cloud Cover: 63%
  • Wind: 14 mph SE
  • Stadium Type: Indoor

Why should you bet on the Panthers?

New Orleans won the two regular-season matchups between the two teams by a combined score of 65-34. Carolina has had a hard time both stopping the run and the pass against the Saints. They permitted 20.4 points per game for the season, though, so they have a better track record overall than their games with the Saints show. Luke Kuechly led the team with 115 tackles and also had three interceptions. However, safety Kurt Coleman (ankle) remains questionable for the playoff game. The Panthers’ offense has been much better this season than it was in 2016. Cam Newton threw for 3,302 yards and 22 touchdowns — although he had 16 interceptions as well. He did run for 754 yards, adding a unique dimension to the Panthers’ attack. Jonathan Stewart only averaged 3.4 yards per carry out of the backfield, and rookie Christian McCaffrey has an explosive element that the Panthers are still figuring out how to include more frequently. Wideout Devin Funchess had two solid games against the Saints, combining for 118 receiving yards in the two matchups. If you like the Panthers, then you think that their defense will do a better job stopping Drew Brees & Co. And remember — it’s hard to beat the same team three times in one season.

Why should you put your money on the Saints?

Drew Brees had another stellar year statistically, throwing for 4,334 yards and 23 touchdowns (with just eight picks) on the season. In the two games against Carolina, he threw for a combined 389 yards and four touchdowns, with no interceptions. The emergence of Alvin Kamara, both running the ball and catching passes out of the backfield, has been the biggest story for the Saints’ offense this year. Mark Ingram has run for 1,124 yards this season, and along with Kamara’s 728 yards, that’s proven to be a huge unit. Wideout Michael Thomas has gained 1,245 yards on the year, and with a unit this good, it’s not hard to see how they average 28.0 points per game. In New Orleans the past few years, the weak link has been their defense. This year, though, they have turned that around. Cameron Jordan has put up an incredible 13 sacks, to lead the team (who has 42 as a whole). They did not look that solid against Tampa Bay in that finale, but letdowns in Week 17 for teams that have made the playoffs are not all that infrequent, and the Buccaneers have played everyone in the NFC South close all season long.

Latest NFL Wild Card Betting Trends

  • Panthers are 6-3 ATS in their last 9 games
  • Panthers are 7-2 SU in their last 9 games
  • The total has gone OVER in 5 of Carolina’s last 7 games
  • Saints are 2-5 ATS in their last 7 games
  • Saints are 11-3 SU in their last 14 games
  • The total has gone OVER in 15 of New Orleans’s last 21 games at home

Expert Pick and Final Score Prediction

The Panthers have taken great strides to re-emerge as a contender this year, but they don’t have the offensive consistency that New Orleans has, and the Saints’ development on defense this year is the real story of this matchup. I see the Panthers playing closer than in previous matchups, but I also see the Saints winning by a final score of 30-24. So I like the Saints to cover — but I also see this game going over the point total, which might be a safer bet.