Buccaneers vs 49ers Betting Picks and Analysis for Week 11

Buccaneers vs 49ers Betting Picks and Analysis for Week 11

Written by on November 16, 2023

Tampa Bay quarterback Baker Mayfield has the best QBR and TD:INT ratio of any of the quarterbacks in the NFC South. That’s not a particularly high bar, but Pro Football Focus has ranked him in the top five signal-callers in the NFL pretty consistently this season. The Buccaneers did drop four games in a row with Mayfield at the helm, though, before the Bucs bounced back to rout Tennessee last week. Going into the off-season, many pundits project that the Bucs will either trade up to get a quarterback like J.J. McCarthy of Michigan or USC’s Caleb Williams or keep Mayfield around as a veteran mentor to someone like Washington’s Michael Penix Jr or LSU’s Jayden Daniels. Check out our NFL betting thoughts on this potential playoff showdown between Buccaneers vs 49ers.

 

NFL Tampa Bay Buccaneers at San Francisco 49ers Betting Odds

When: Sunday, November 19, 2023, 4:05 pm ET
Where: Levi’s Stadium, Santa Clara, CA
TV: FOX
Radio: No National Broadcast
Live Stream: Hulu

 

Why should you bet on the Tampa Bay Buccaneers?

Ending a four-game skid last week was nice, but the Buccaneers need to keep winning to have a shot at an NFC South title or a wild-card playoff berth. On the road, the Bucs have gone 2-2 in their last four. Baker Mayfield has played well, with a 14:5 TD:INT ratio and a 64.6% pass completion rate. Chris Godwin and Mike Evans have caught seven touchdown passes and gained 1,259 receiving yards between them. The running game has been less helpful as the team only runs for 78.1 yards per game. Through nine games, Rachaad White is the top rusher, but he only has picked up 429 yards and three scores.

The Tampa Bay defense has stood tall this season, permitting just 19.2 points and 354.1 yards per contest. Vita Vea leads the pass rush with 4 ½ sacks, and Lavonte David is the top tackler with 83. The Buccaneers have not pursued prosperity well after a win; in their last seven games coming after a victory, they have lost the first quarter. However, they have hit the end zone first in 10 of their last 12 games as underdogs on the road against NFC foes.

Bet on the Buccaneers to Win Today

 
Buccaneers vs 49ers Week 11 Odds SPREAD MONEYLINE TOTAL
San Francisco 49ers -11.5 -650 U 41.5
Tampa Bay Buccaneers +11.5 +450 O 41.5

 

Why should you put your money on the San Francisco 49ers?

The 49ers looked like they might be in real trouble before last week’s game in Jacksonville. The team’s 5-0 start had skidded to a 5-3 record, as Brock Purdy had thrown all five of his interceptions during that three-game losing streak. The team was struggling to move the ball, and the defense was wearing down because of the extended time it had to spend on the field.

All that turned around in a 34-3 thumping of the Jacksonville Jaguars as the 49ers’ pass rush smothered the Jags’ offense and Purdy was back to his confident, accurate game. On the year, George Kittle and Brandon Aiyuk have combined for seven touchdown catches and 1,234 receiving yards. Christian McCaffrey has caught 38 passes and also run for 747 yards and nine scores. The defense permits just 15.9 points and 304.6 yards per games, thanks in part to a pass rush led by Nick Bosa’s constant pressure and 4 ½ sacks. The 49ers have 14-game winning streaks straight up and against the spread against NFC opposition.

Bet on the 49ers to Win Today

 

Buccaneers vs 49ers Final Score and Prediction

This is a sizeable point spread, but remember that the 49ers won by 31 last week on the road against a team that has played much better. Of the 49ers’ six wins, in fact, only one (Week 2 at the Rams) has come by fewer than this line’s 11 ½ points. I predict a final score of San Francisco 27, Tampa Bay 13.

 
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