NFL Falcons vs Lions Odds, Analysis and Prediction for Week 3

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The Detroit Lions have made a strong start in the 2023 NFL regular season, taking down the Kansas City Chiefs on the road and fighting hard in an overtime loss to the Seattle Seahawks. However, starting tailback David Montgomery suffered a quad injury in the Week 2 loss that has the team in a quandary. Rookie Jahmyr Gibbs is next up on the depth chart, but it seems clear that the coaching staff doesn’t want to overwhelm Gibbs with too much of a workload. Two names that popped up in possible trade scenarios were Cam Akers and Derrick Henry. Akers came off the board when the Rams traded him to the Minnesota Vikings, and Henry may not be available if the Tennessee Titans see themselves as potential contenders this season. He is in the last year of his four-year contract extension, and he has 143 yards and a touchdown so far in 2023. However, he is only averaging 3.6 yards per carry, far below his career average of 4.7. He did run for 1,538 yards and 13 scores a year ago, picking up 4.4 yards per carry, but this downward trend makes you wonder if he is worth a flyer in the trade market. This week, the Lions welcome the run-heavy Atlanta Falcons, who are tied with New Orleans and Tampa Bay atop the NFC South with 2-0 records. Check out our NFL betting thoughts on this matchup between NFL Falcons vs Lions.

Week 3: NFL Falcons vs Lions Betting Odds | Bet NFL Football Lines by Xbet Sportsbook

When: Sunday, September 24, 2023, 1:00 pm ET
Where: Ford Field, Detroit
TV: FOX
Radio: No National Broadcast
Live Stream: FuboTV
NFL Odds: Detroit -3 / O/U 46.5 // Detroit -166 / Atlanta +140

Why should you bet on the Falcons?

The Falcons are pushing for their first 3-0 start to a season in six years. Desmond Ridder has done enough to lead the offense efficiently, picking up 352 passing yards, 2 touchdowns and an interception through two games. His completion rate of 68 percent is more than adequate, and his ball security has been solid. Bijan Robinson leads the team in rushing with 180 yards on 29 carries, just over six yards per attempt, and he and Mack Hollins have combined for 166 receiving yards. On defense, the Falcons allow an average of 17 points per game. Kaden Eliss has been the top tackler with 15, and Jessie Bates III already has a pair of interceptions.

In each of Atlanta’s last nine games, the favorite has gone on to win straight up. In their last eight road games coming after a win, the Falcons have only covered once – which in a line as small as this would suggest that the Falcons are headed for a straight-up loss. On the road, the Falcons have lost the first quarter in five straight games and have lost the first half in seven of their last eight.

Bet on the Falcons to Win Today

Why should you put your money on the Lions?

The Lions have gone just 5-5 in their last ten games at Ford Field; their solid finish to the 2022 regular season showed how home-heavy the first half of their schedule was last season. Jared Goff is putting up franchise quarterback numbers, with a 71.4% completion rate, 576 yards, and four touchdown passes with one interception through two games. Amon-Ra St. Brown and Josh Reynolds have three touchdown catches and 319 receiving yards between them. On the ground, Montgomery was the leading ball carrier with 141 yards and a pair of scores, so Gibbs will have to up his game until the Lions trade for some help. The defense has been a bit leaky, permitting 28.5 points per game. Jerry Jacobs is the team’s top tackler with 13.

Detroit has covered the spread in six straight home games coming after a home loss. However, as home favorites, the Lions have a four-game losing streak in September contests. They have found the end zone first in six of their last seven games when they were favorites coming out of a home loss. The Lions have won the first half in eight straight September games when favored against conference foes.

Bet on the Lions to Win Today

NFL Falcons vs Lions Final Score and Prediction

I like Detroit to keep their solid play going, and the Falcons don’t have a dynamic passer like the Seahawks do to test their secondary. I see the Lions stopping the Atlanta running game and taking advantage of opportunities down the field, and I predict a final score of Detroit 24, Atlanta 16.

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