Did you know that the Dallas Cowboys had never lost a game that they had led by at least 14 points going into the fourth quarter? Dating all the way back to 1960, the team had posted a 195-0 record in those situations. This past Sunday, though, that 62-year streak came to an end. Cowboys coach Mike McCarthy returned to Lambeau Field for the first time since the end of a 13-year coaching stint there, dressed to look like Vince Lombardi in a cashmere coat and scarf. At the end, though, he was slamming his headset to the ground as a fourth-and-4 gamble did not pay off in overtime, and the Packers ended up scoring the game-winning field goal after turning a 28-14 deficit into a 31-28 win. Let’s take a look at some of the top matchups from Week 11 as you consider your NFL online betting choices.
NFL News: Week 11 Rundown (TNF, SNF, MNF, Top Early/Late Games)
→ Thursday, November 10
Tennessee Titans (+3) at Green Bay Packers (O/U 41.5)
(8:15 pm ET, Prime Video)
The Packers are now 4-6 after beating Dallas, but they still trail Minnesota by 4 ½ games in the NFC North, so at this point, they are just playing for their wild-card lives while hoping that the Vikings start to take on some water. The Packers’ defense gives up 140.6 yards per game on the ground, so expect Derrick Henry to have a big day for the Titans. On offense, though, the Packers seem to have found new life. Aaron Rodgers found rookie Christian Walker for three touchdown passes en route to a 107-yard receiving day. The tailback tandem of Aaron Jones and A.J. Dillon pounded the will out of the Dallas defense; it would not surprise me to see two teams grinding the clock down with the running game on a chilly Thursday night. Packers to win and cover.
→ Sunday, November 13 (1:00 games)
N.Y. Jets (+3) at New England Patriots (38.5)
The Jets have a one-game lead over New England in the AFC East standings, but the Patriots have already beaten the Jets once this year, overcoming a dreadful first half to win, 22-17, down in New York. Since then, though, the Jets have beaten Buffalo, so their confidence should be even higher. Both teams had their bye last week, so they have both gotten plenty of rest and preparation. In their first meeting, Zach Wilson was just 20 of 41. He did throw a pair of touchdown passes and had a 355-yard day, but he also had three interceptions, which were the key to the Patriots’ win. In post-came comments, Wilson pointed out that he had grown tired of checking down and decided to try some deep balls, which was why the interceptions came. It seems that coach Robert Saleh has corrected that tendency in the weeks since. Wilson has thrown seven picks overall in two full games against the Patriots. I see the Jets shoring up ball security and getting the season split. Jets to cover.
→ Sunday, November 20 (4:25 pm)
Dallas Cowboys (-1) at Minnesota Vikings (47.5)
The Vikings (8-1) have a two-game lead on Dallas (6-3), but their offensive numbers are eerily similar. Minnesota ranks 16th in yards per play on the season, while Dallas ranks 18th. The differences come on defense. Dallas comes in sixth in yards permitted per play, 10th in third-down defense, 12th in red zone defense and first in sack percentage. How have Philadelphia and Green Bay countered that? They pounded the ball on the ground, taking advantage of soft play by the Cowboys’ front seven. For the Vikings, their defense is 28th in yards permitted per play, ninth in third-down defense, 31st in red zone defense and 11th in sack percentage. However, Dallas has seen some problems emerge on offense, as the line isn’t giving Dak Prescott that much time. When his throws aren’t quite on the mark, top wide receiver CeeDee Lamb isn’t making the adjustments that he needs to make to contest the ball, which has led to a couple of interceptions that could have been avoided. Take the Vikings now before this line shifts. Vikings to cover.
→ Sunday, November 20 (8:20 pm ET)
Kansas City Chiefs (-7) at L.A. Chargers (50)
The Chiefs beat the Chargers at home back in Week 2, 27-24, but it took a late pick-six to do it. The Chargers only gave up 22 points last week in San Francisco, but the problem was that the Chargers only managed 16. Chargers coach Brandon Staley was the first to try playing two deep safeties to neutralize Mahomes, and it worked, but the Chiefs have adjusted. Juju Smith-Schuster has emerged as the team’s #2 option behind Travis Kelce, running underneath routes and making big catches while absorbing contact. Smith-Schuster entered the concussion protocol in Week 10, though, so it will be interesting to see who takes on that role if he cannot go. The Chargers are not likely to have Keenan Allen or Mike Williams (or both) running routes again, which will put the clamps on their offense as well. Chargers to cover.
→ Monday, November 21 (8:20 pm ET)
San Francisco 49ers (-8) vs Arizona Cardinals
(in Mexico City) (44)
The key question for Arizona is the health of quarterback Kyler Murray, whose hamstring kept him out against the Rams last week. Colt McCoy filled in and led the team to victory; having DeAndre Hopkins running routes definitely makes life easier. The Cardinals’ defense is not as solid as the Chargers’, so the 49ers should find easier sledding to the end zone. This is a big line for an international game; we don’t know how reliable the grass field at Stadia Azteca wil be. Last week, the grass field in Munich saw some players slip at key times. Also, Arizona has beaten San Francisco in three of their last four meetings. Cardinals to cover.
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