Jaguars vs Saints TNF Betting Picks and Prediction for Week 7

Jaguars vs Saints TNF Betting Picks and Prediction for Week 7

Written by on October 18, 2023

The Jacksonville Jaguars have surged to a 4-2 start and lead the AFC South, riding a three-game winning streak after stopping Indianapolis on Sunday, 37-20. However, quarterback Trevor Lawrence sprained his knee in the win. At this time, it looks like a game-time decision; the injury happened late in the fourth quarter, so backup signal-caller C.J. Beathard only had to come on for victory formation. I wouldn’t do any heavy NFL betting on Jaguars vs Saints TNF until we know about Lawrence’s status, but in the meantime, peruse our preview.

 

Week 7 NFL Jaguars vs Saints TNF Betting Odds: If the Jaguars had a full week of rest and recovery, Lawrence would likely play, but with the short week, he remains questionable for Thursday Night Football.

 

When: Thursday, October 19, 2023, 8:15 pm ET
Where: Mercedes-Benz Superdome, New Orleans
TV: Prime Video
Radio: Westwood One
Live Stream: Prime Video
NFL Odds: New Orleans -1 / O/U 40 // New Orleans -120 / Jacksonville +100

 

Why should you bet on the Jacksonville Jaguars?

Jacksonville faces its first true road game in the United States since Week 1, when they won beat the Colts at Lucas Oil Stadium. Since then, they have had three home games and a pair of games in London. Lawrence went 20 of 30 for 181 yards and two touchdowns, along with a pick. Travis Etienne Jr ran for 55 yards with two scores. Despite going just 4 of 14 on third down and picking up only 233 total yards, the Jaguars were able to deliver the rout.

Defense played a significant role in the win. Despite permitting 354 yards of offense (310 coming through the air), the Jaguars got three interceptions and a fumble and posted three sacks. For the season, the Jaguars are right in the middle of the league offensively (13th in total offense, 15th in rushing, 12th in passing). Their run defense ranks third in the league, but the pass defense has been very generous, coming in 31st. Their sack rate is 28th; these last two numbers need to improve for the Jaguars to dominate outside their fairly soft division.

Bet on the Jaguars to Win Today

 

Why should you put your money on the New Orleans Saints?

The New Orleans Saints are off to a 3-3 start, but thanks to the inconsistent play in their division, they are only a half-game out of the division lead. They have a +13 point differential, thanks in large part to their 34-0 shellacking of the New England Patriots up at Gillette Stadium. This past week, the Saints lost in Houston to the Texans, as Alvin Kamara had a chance to tie the game late but was tackled close to the goal line. The Saints did pick up 430 yards of offense (341 passing), and picked up 24 first downs, but they could not finish drives. Derek Carr went 32 of 50 for 342 yards with a touchdown but also had a costly interception. Chris Olave caught seven passes for 96 yards.

On defense, the Saints permitted 297 yards of offense but took C.J. Stroud’s first NFL interception and had five tackles for loss, including a pair of sacks. Their unit is fifth in total defense, ninth against the run and fifth against the pass. Their red-zone defense ranks eighth, and they are 12th in turnover differential. They tend to get in their own way, ranking 27th in penalties per game. If you like the Saints, you see their defense bottling up the Jaguars and their offense converting enough chances to grind out a close win.

Bet on the Saints to Win Today

 

Jaguars vs Saints TNF Final Score and Prediction

If Trevor Lawrence can go, I see the Jaguars coming in and winning. Lawrence has the offense firing on all cylinders. If he can’t, I think the Saints can grind out a defensive struggle and get the win. New Orleans has both Alvin Kamara and Michael Thomas healthy at the same time for the first time in a while, and eventually they will take advantage of that consistently.

 
 

2023-24 NFL Conference Championship Odds

Odds to Win 2024 AFC Championship
AFC Team Odds
Kansas City Chiefs +216
Miami Dolphins +410
Buffalo Bills +430
Baltimore Ravens +810
Jacksonville Jaguars +1150
Cincinnati Bengals +1250
Cleveland Browns +1350
Los Angeles Chargers +1575
Pittsburgh Steelers +3400
New York Jets +4400
Houston Texans +4800
Las Vegas Raiders +6400
Tennessee Titans +6800
Indianapolis Colts +7500
New England Patriots +17000
Denver Broncos +20000
AFC Lines to Win
Odds to Win 2024 NFC Championship
NFC Team Odds
San Francisco 49ers +163
Philadelphia Eagles +275
Detroit Lions +570
Dallas Cowboys +590
Seattle Seahawks +1900
New Orleans Saints +2300
Tampa Bay Buccaneers +3200
Atlanta Falcons +3700
Minnesota Vikings +3800
Los Angeles Rams +4100
Green Bay Packers +4100
Washington Commanders +6200
New York Giants +14000
Chicago Bears +22000
Arizona Cardinals +28000
Carolina Panthers +38000
NFC Lines to Win
 
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Jaguars vs Saints TNF

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