New England Patriots Super Bowl 53 Prop Bets

New England Patriots Super Bowl 53 Prop Bets

Written by on January 30, 2019

There are literally thousands of ways for NFL betting enthusiasts to wager on side props during Super Bowl LIII. The length of Gladys Knight’s performance of the national anthem (over/under 1:47); the question as to whether any player will protest the anthem by taking a knee (yes 3-1, no 1-5); the number of plays Tony Romo will correctly predict (over/under 7.5); the jersey of the player who scores the first touchdown (over/under 26.5) are just some examples. You can even bet on what the predominant color of Adam Levine’s shirt will be and which song he will perform first — and what color the liquid will be in the Gatorade bath dumped on the winning coach. We’ve detailed some of the props available in other articles; here we focus on the props that depend on the performance of the New England Patriots.

New England Patriots Super Bowl 53 Prop Bets

Alternate Point Spreads

You don’t have to play the New England -2.5 spread. There are a variety of other point spreads that you can choose, and one that we like is New England +7.5. In that scenario, the Pats have a -350 moneyline, while the Rams have a +275 moneyline to win by more than a touchdown. Even though the -350 moneyline doesn’t have a lot of value, it does come with a lot of certainty. If New England is going to lose, they won’t lose by more than a touchdown. Here are some other Super Bowl 53 alternate point spreads that are available:
  • Patriots -200
  • Rams -3 ½ / +170
 
  • Patriots -450
  • Rams -10 ½ / +350
 
  • Patriots -650
  • Rams -14 ½ / +450
 
  • Patriots -7 ½ / +200
  • Rams -250
 
  • Patriots -10 ½ / +270
  • Rams -340
 
  • Patriots -14 ½ / +375
  • Rams -500
 
  • Patriots -17 ½ / +500
  • Rams -700
 
  • Patriots -21 ½ / +650
  • Rams -1000

Will Tom Brady be the Super Bowl MVP?

This would be his fifth MVP — and he is at even money to win it. The quarterback of the winning team is the most common recipient of this award (which is why Jared Goff is right behind him on the odds sheet at 2-1. Brady was certainly the MVP of the AFC Championship with his darts to Julian Edelman, Chris Hogan and Rob Gronkowski in the fourth period and overtime, and if the Patriots win (and I think they will), it will be Brady hoisting that trophy.

Will Tom Brady complete his first pass?

  • Yes -220 / No +180
Brady’s first pass is likely to be a quick one, either on a hot route or on a checkdown, and those passes are usually his bread and butter. I don’t see him trying to stretch the field on his first pass of the game, as he will likely want to get a rhythm going. To me, those are the passes he completes, so I’d take yes on this wager — especially since he has a career completion percentage around 64.

How many yards will Tom Brady rush for? (O/U 1 ½)

It just takes a sneak or two to get to the “over” here. The Patriots run the sneak on fourth-and-1, and they also run it near the goal line. And what about a scramble? Taking the over here seems like the easy call, particularly with that moneyline.

Will the Patriots lead (or trail) by more than 14 points?

Teams have only built leads of at least 15 points in four of the last 15 Super Bowls. That did happen in Super Bowl LI, when New England fell behind by 25 before storming back to win. Here, though, the ball control that New England shows should keep the number of drives down, and the grinding style that the Rams employed against Dallas and New Orleans should make the No side of this bet.